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In this paper, the time dynamics of the daily means of wind speed measured in complex mountainous regions are investigated. For 293 measuring stations distributed over all Switzerland, the Fisher information measure and the Shannon entropy…

The problem of three-dimensional (3-D) wind profile prediction is addressed based a trinion wind model, which inherently reckons the coupling of the three perpendicular components of a wind field. The augmented trinion statistics are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-15 Xiaoming Gou , Zhiwen Liu , Wei Liu , Yougen Xu

We model the transport of solar energetic particles (SEPs) in the solar wind. We propagated relativistic test particles in the field of a steady three-dimensional magnetohydrodynamic simulation of the solar wind. We used the code MPI-AMRVAC…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-19 Houeibib Ahmed , Pantellini Filippo , Griton Lea

Precipitation in complex terrain is governed by orographic processes operating at scales of a few kilometers, yet climate models typically run at resolutions of 50--100~km where this topographic detail is absent. Dynamical downscaling with…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-04-29 Douglas Brinkerhoff , Elizabeth Fischer

An empirical model for forecasting solar wind speed related geomagnetic events is presented here. The model is based on the estimated location and size of solar coronal holes. This method differs from models that are based on photospheric…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 S. Robbins , C. J. Henney , J. W. Harvey

A comprehensive statistical model is developed for vertical profiles of the horizontal wind and temperature throughout the troposphere based on several-years radiosonde measurements of strong winds. The profiles measured under quite…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-29 A. Virtser , I. Kupershmidt , Yu. M. Shtemler

Fluctuations represent a major challenge for the incorporation of electric power from large wind-farms into power grids. Wind farm power output fluctuates strongly in time, over various time scales. Understanding these fluctuations,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2014-12-24 Richard J. A. M. Stevens , Charles Meneveau

In power system operation, characterizing the stochastic nature of wind power is an important albeit challenging issue. It is well known that distributions of wind power forecast errors often exhibit significant variability with respect to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-12-05 Zhiwen Wang , Chen Shen , Feng Liu

The Southwestern South Atlantic (SWSA) is a key region for climate research and renewable energy assessment, yet high-resolution meteorological data are scarce. We present a multiresolution dataset spanning February 2017--November 2018,…

Precisely forecasting wind speed is essential for wind power producers and grid operators. However, this task is challenging due to the stochasticity of wind speed. To accurately predict short-term wind speed under uncertainties, this paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-27 Sisheng Liang , Long Nguyen , Fang Jin

Travel time on a route varies substantially by time of day and from day to day. It is critical to understand to what extent this variation is correlated with various factors, such as weather, incidents, events or travel demand level in the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-17 Shuguan Yang , Sean Qian

Wind energy makes a significant contribution to global power generation. Predicting wind turbine capacity is becoming increasingly crucial for cleaner production. For this purpose, a new information priority accumulated grey model with time…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-22 Jie Xia , Xin Ma , Wenqing Wu , Baolian Huang , Wanpeng Li

The objective of this paper is to employ machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques to obtain from input data (storm features) available in or derived from the HURDAT2 database models capable of simulating important hurricane…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-09-16 Rikhi Bose , Adam L. Pintar , Emil Simiu

Data Assimilation (DA) has enabled huge improvements in the skill of terrestrial operational weather forecasting. In this study, we use a variational DA scheme with a computationally efficient solar wind model and in situ observations from…

Space Physics · Physics 2021-08-04 Matthew Lang , Jake Witherington , Harriet Turner , Matt Owens , Pete Riley

In a growing renewable based energy system, accurate and reliable wind power forecasts are crucial for grid stability, balancing supply and demand and market risk management. Even though short-term weather forecasts have been thoroughly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Eloi Lindas , Yannig Goude , Philippe Ciais

The solar-wind energy flux measured near the ecliptic is known to be independent of the solar-wind speed. Using plasma data from Helios, Ulysses, and Wind covering a large range of latitudes and time, we show that the solar-wind energy flux…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-04 G. Le Chat , K. Issautier , N. Meyer-Vernet

The simulation of stochastic wind loads is necessary for many applications in wind engineering. The proper orthogonal decomposition (POD)-based spectral representation method is a popular approach used for this purpose due to its…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Thays Guerra Araujo Duarte , Srinivasan Arunachalam , Arthriya Subgranon , Seymour M J Spence

Atmospheric wind speeds and their fluctuations at different locations (onshore and offshore) are examined. One of the most striking features is the marked intermittency of probability density functions (PDF) of velocity differences -- no…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 F. Böttcher , St. Barth , J. Peinke

This is a relevant problem because the design of most cities prioritizes the use of motorized vehicles, which has degraded air quality in recent years, having a negative effect on urban health. Modeling, predicting, and forecasting ambient…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-10-07 Jamal Toutouh

Unconditional and conditional statistics is used for studying the histograms of magnetic field multi-scale fluctuations in the solar wind near the solar cycle minimum in 2008. The unconditional statistics involves the magnetic data during…

Space Physics · Physics 2015-10-01 Vörös , Z. , M. Leitner , Y. Narita , G. Consolini , P. Kovács , A. Tóth , J. Lichtenberger