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An understanding of wind speed and direction as a function of height are critical to the proper modeling of atmospheric turbulence. We have used radiosonde data from launch sites near significant astronomical observatories and created mean…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-20 Lewis C. Roberts, , L. William Bradford

Near-surface atmospheric conditions can differ sharply over tens to hundreds of meters due to land cover and topography, yet this variability is absent from current weather analyses and forecasts. It is unclear whether such meter-scale…

Differences between time-averaged and ensemble-averaged wind are studied for the case of changing wind direction. We consider a flow driven by a temporally turning pressure gradient in both an idealized case of a staggered cube array and a…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-05-16 Jukka-Pekka Keskinen , Antti Hellsten

Wind energy plays a critical role in the transition towards renewable energy sources. However, the uncertainty and variability of wind can impede its full potential and the necessary growth of wind power capacity. To mitigate these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Stefan Jonas , Kevin Winter , Bernhard Brodbeck , Angela Meyer

Using a method for stochastic data analysis, borrowed from statistical physics, we analyze synthetic data from a Markov chain model that reproduces measurements of wind speed and power production in a wind park in Portugal. We first show…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-11 Frank Raischel , Teresa Scholz , Vitor V. Lopes , Pedro G. Lind

A regression modeling method of space weather prediction is proposed. It allows forecasting Dst index up to 6 hours ahead with about 90% correlation. It can also be used for constructing phenomenological models of interaction between the…

Space Physics · Physics 2010-01-12 Aleksei Parnowski

Accurate production forecasts are essential to continue facilitating the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. This paper illustrates how to obtain probabilistic day-ahead forecasts of wind power generation via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Max Bruninx , Diederik van Binsbergen , Timothy Verstraeten , Ann Nowé , Jan Helsen

Wind downscaling is essential for improving the spatial resolution of weather forecasts, particularly in operational Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP). This study advances wind downscaling by extending the DownGAN framework introduced by…

Low-fidelity analytical models of turbine wakes have traditionally been used for wind farm planning, performance evaluation, and demonstrating the utility of advanced control algorithms in increasing the annual energy production. In…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-08-26 Aditya H. Bhatt , Federico Bernardoni , Stefano Leonardi , Armin Zare

Today, low-altitude fixed-wing Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) are largely limited to primitively follow user-defined waypoints. To allow fully-autonomous remote missions in complex environments, real-time environment-aware navigation is…

Motivated by the pursuit of safe, reliable, and weather-tolerant urban air mobility (UAM) solutions, this work proposes a generative modeling approach for characterizing microweather wind velocities. Microweather, or the weather conditions…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Tristan A. Shah , Michael C. Stanley , James E. Warner

There is increasing interest in very short-term and higher-resolution wind power forecasting (from minutes to hours ahead), especially offshore. Statistical methods are of utmost relevance, since weather forecasts cannot be informative for…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-07 Amandine Pierrot , Pierre Pinson

High-resolution, near-ground wind-speed data are critical for improving the accuracy of weather predictions and climate models,$^{1-3}$ supporting wildfire control efforts,$^{4-7}$ and ensuring the safe passage of airplanes during takeoff…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-16 Roni H. Goldshmid , John O. Dabiri , John E. Sader

The volatile nature of wind power generation creates challenges in achieving secure power grid operations. It is, therefore, necessary to make accurate wind power prediction and its uncertainty quantification. Wind power forecasting usually…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-29 Jingxing Wang , Abdullah Alshelahi , Mingdi You , Eunshin Byon , Romesh Saigal

The main objective of this paper is finding effective gearbox condition monitoring methods by using continuously recorded monitoring SCADA (Supervisory Control and Data Accusation) data points. Typically for wind turbine gearbox condition…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-10 Alan Rezazadeh

In order to address the growing need for more accurate space weather predictions, a new model named EUHFORIA (EUropean Heliospheric FORecasting Information Asset) was recently developed (Pomoell and Poedts, 2018). We present first results…

Several novel wind energy systems produce wakes with annular cross-sections, which are qualitatively different from the wakes with circular cross-sections commonly generated by conventional horizontal-axis wind turbines and by compact…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-09-27 Sam Kaufman-Martin , Nicholas Naclerio , Pedro May , Paolo Luzzatto-Fegiz

Wind speed and direction variations across the rotor affect power production. As utility-scale turbines extend higher into the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) with larger rotor diameters and hub heights, they increasingly encounter more…

The task of simplifying the complex spatio-temporal variables associated with climate modeling is of utmost importance and comes with significant challenges. In this research, our primary objective is to tailor clustering techniques to…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-21 Alexis Boulin , Elena Di Bernardino , Thomas Laloë , Gwladys Toulemonde

Accurate stochastic simulations of hourly precipitation are needed for impact studies at local spatial scales. Statistically, hourly precipitation data represent a difficult challenge. They are non-negative, skewed, heavy tailed, contain a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-22 Erwan Koch , Philippe Naveau