English
Related papers

Related papers: Efficient Prediction Designs for Random Fields

200 papers

Decision makers often need to rely on imperfect probabilistic forecasts. While average performance metrics are typically available, it is difficult to assess the quality of individual forecasts and the corresponding utilities. To convey…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-03 Shengjia Zhao , Stefano Ermon

Synthesis of bulletproof strategies in imperfect information scenarios is a notoriously hard problem. In this paper, we suggest that it is sometimes a viable alternative to aim at "reasonably good" strategies instead. This makes sense not…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Wojciech Jamroga , Damian Kurpiewski

Recent advances in deep reinforcement learning (deep RL) enable researchers to solve challenging control problems, from simulated environments to real-world robotic tasks. However, deep RL algorithms are known to be sensitive to the problem…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Joanne Taery Kim , Sehoon Ha

A standard objective in computer experiments is to approximate the behaviour of an unknown function on a compact domain from a few evaluations inside the domain. When little is known about the function, space-filling design is advisable:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-03 Luc Pronzato , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

A frequently studied performance measure in online optimization is competitive analysis. It corresponds to the worst-case ratio, over all possible inputs of an algorithm, between the performance of the algorithm and the optimal offline…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-30 Antoine Lhomme , Nicolas Catusse , Nadia Brauner

This paper introduces a conformal inference method to evaluate uncertainty in classification by generating prediction sets with valid coverage conditional on adaptively chosen features. These features are carefully selected to reflect…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-31 Yanfei Zhou , Matteo Sesia

Predictive models are often introduced to decision-making tasks under the rationale that they improve performance over an existing decision-making policy. However, it is challenging to compare predictive performance against an existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Luke Guerdan , Amanda Coston , Kenneth Holstein , Zhiwei Steven Wu

In regression problems where there is no known true underlying model, conformal prediction methods enable prediction intervals to be constructed without any assumptions on the distribution of the underlying data, except that the training…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-31 Wenyu Chen , Kelli-Jean Chun , Rina Foygel Barber

We extend the classic regret minimization framework for approximating equilibria in normal-form games by greedily weighing iterates based on regrets observed at runtime. Theoretically, our method retains all previous convergence rate…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Hugh Zhang , Adam Lerer , Noam Brown

Decision diagrams (DDs) have emerged as a state-of-the-art method for exact multiobjective integer linear programming. When the DD is too large to fit into memory or the decision-maker prefers a fast approximation to the Pareto frontier,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Rahul Patel , Elias B. Khalil , David Bergman

In this paper, we study the peak-aware energy scheduling problem using the competitive framework with machine learning prediction. With the uncertainty of energy demand as the fundamental challenge, the goal is to schedule the energy output…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-11-20 Russell Lee , Mohammad H. Hajiesmaili , Jian Li

This paper focuses on the design of spatial experiments to optimize the amount of information derived from the experimental data and enhance the accuracy of the resulting causal effect estimator. We propose a surrogate function for the mean…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-29 Jin Zhu , Jingyi Li , Hongyi Zhou , Yinan Lin , Zhenhua Lin , Chengchun Shi

We develop adaptive discretization algorithms for locally optimal experimental design of nonlinear prediction models. With these algorithms, we refine and improve a pertinent state-of-the-art algorithm in various respects. We establish…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Jochen Schmid , Philipp Seufert , Michael Bortz

We present a new, deterministic, distributed MAP estimation algorithm for Markov Random Fields called Local Highest Confidence First (Local HCF). The algorithm has been applied to segmentation problems in computer vision and its performance…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Michael J. Swain , Lambert E. Wixson , Paul B. Chou

Environmental monitoring is a task that requires to surrogate system-wide information with limited sensor readings. Under the proximity principle, an environmental monitoring system can be based on the virtual sensing logic and then rely on…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-17 M. Lambardi di San Miniato , R. Bellio , L. Grassetti , P. Vidoni

Context: Software engineering has a problem in that when we empirically evaluate competing prediction systems we obtain conflicting results. Objective: To reduce the inconsistency amongst validation study results and provide a more formal…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Martin Shepperd , Stephen G. MacDonell

In many global optimization problems motivated by engineering applications, the number of function evaluations is severely limited by time or cost. To ensure that each evaluation contributes to the localization of good candidates for the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Julien Villemonteix , Emmanuel Vazquez , Eric Walter

We propose a new approach to competitive analysis in online scheduling by introducing the novel concept of competitive-ratio approximation schemes. Such a scheme algorithmically constructs an online algorithm with a competitive ratio…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2012-11-01 Elisabeth Günther , Olaf Maurer , Nicole Megow , Andreas Wiese

We introduce the study of search games between a mobile Searcher and an immobile Hider in a new setting in which the Searcher has some potentially erroneous information, i.e., a prediction on the Hider's position. The objective is to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-05 Spyros Angelopoulos , Thomas Lidbetter , Konstantinos Panagiotou

Autonomous exploration is a crucial aspect of robotics, enabling robots to explore unknown environments and generate maps without prior knowledge. This paper proposes a method to enhance exploration efficiency by integrating neural…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Seunghwan Kim , Heejung Shin , Gaeun Yim , Changseung Kim , Hyondong Oh