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Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED) is a principled framework for making efficient use of limited experimental resources. Unfortunately, its applicability is hampered by the difficulty of obtaining accurate estimates of the expected…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-15 Adam Foster , Martin Jankowiak , Eli Bingham , Paul Horsfall , Yee Whye Teh , Tom Rainforth , Noah Goodman

Our ultimate goal is to build robust policies for robots that assist people. What makes this hard is that people can behave unexpectedly at test time, potentially interacting with the robot outside its training distribution and leading to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Jerry Zhi-Yang He , Zackory Erickson , Daniel S. Brown , Anca D. Dragan

In the present paper we consider design criteria which depend on several designs simultaneously. We formulate equivalence theorems based on moment matrices (if criteria depend on designs via moment matrices) or with respect to the designs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-30 Maryna Prus

Judging scholarly posters creates a challenge to assign the judges efficiently. If there are many posters and few reviews per judge, the commonly used Balanced Incomplete Block Design is not a feasible option. An additional challenge is an…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-04 Xiaoyue Niu , James L. Rosenberger

Analyzing massive spatial datasets using Gaussian process model poses computational challenges. This is a problem prevailing heavily in applications such as environmental modeling, ecology, forestry and environmental heath. We present a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-07 Suman Majumder , Yawen Guan , Brian J. Reich , Arvind K. Saibaba

Comparison data arises in many important contexts, e.g. shopping, web clicks, or sports competitions. Typically we are given a dataset of comparisons and wish to train a model to make predictions about the outcome of unseen comparisons. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-25 Stephen Ragain , Alexander Peysakhovich , Johan Ugander

Models like support vector machines or Gaussian process regression often require positive semi-definite kernels. These kernels may be based on distance functions. While definiteness is proven for common distances and kernels, a proof for a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-11 Martin Zaefferer , Thomas Bartz-Beielstein , Günter Rudolph

For geospatial modelling and mapping tasks, variants of kriging - the spatial interpolation technique developed by South African mining engineer Danie Krige - have long been regarded as the established geostatistical methods. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-10 Charlie Kirkwood , Theo Economou , Nicolas Pugeault

This article studies the benefits of using spatially randomized experimental designs which partition the experimental area into distinct, non-overlapping units with treatments assigned randomly. Such designs offer improved policy evaluation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Ying Yang , Chengchun Shi , Fang Yao , Shouyang Wang , Hongtu Zhu

We initiate a systematic study of utilizing predictions to improve over approximation guarantees of classic algorithms, without increasing the running time. We propose a systematic method for a wide class of optimization problems that ask…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Antonios Antoniadis , Marek Eliáš , Adam Polak , Moritz Venzin

The increasing availability of large-scale global datasets has generated a demand for scalable spatial prediction methods defined on spherical domains. Classical spatial models that rely on Euclidean distance representations are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Hao-Yun Huang , Wen-Ting Wang , Ping-Hsun Chiang , Wei-Ying Wu

We study a sequence of independent one-shot non-cooperative games where agents play equilibria determined by a tunable mechanism. Observing only equilibrium decisions, without parametric or distributional knowledge of utilities, we aim to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Luke Snow , Vikram Krishnamurthy

Suppose an online platform wants to compare a treatment and control policy, e.g., two different matching algorithms in a ridesharing system, or two different inventory management algorithms in an online retail site. Standard randomized…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-27 Peter Glynn , Ramesh Johari , Mohammad Rasouli

I provide a novel approach to characterizing the set of interim realizable allocations, in the spirit of Matthews (1984) and Border (1991). The approach allows me to identify precisely why exact characterizations are difficult to obtain in…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-10-11 Quitzé Valenzuela-Stookey

We consider the problem of predicting values of a random process or field satisfying a linear model $y(x)=\theta^\top f(x) + \varepsilon(x)$, where errors $\varepsilon(x)$ are correlated. This is a common problem in kriging, where the case…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-13 Holger Dette , Andrey Pepelyshev , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

In order to improve offline map matching accuracy of low-sampling-rate GPS, a map matching algorithm based on conditional random fields (CRF) and route preference mining is proposed. In this algorithm, road offset distance and the…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2015-10-07 Xu Ming , Du Yi-man , Wu Jian-ping , Zhou Yang

In the application of machine learning to real-life decision-making systems, e.g., credit scoring and criminal justice, the prediction outcomes might discriminate against people with sensitive attributes, leading to unfairness. The commonly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-21 Suyun Liu , Luis Nunes Vicente

This paper proposes probabilistic conformal prediction (PCP), a predictive inference algorithm that estimates a target variable by a discontinuous predictive set. Given inputs, PCP construct the predictive set based on random samples from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Zhendong Wang , Ruijiang Gao , Mingzhang Yin , Mingyuan Zhou , David M. Blei

Extreme edge-AI systems, such as those in readout ASICs for radiation detection, must operate under stringent hardware constraints such as micron-level dimensions, sub-milliwatt power, and nanosecond-scale speed while providing clear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Shubha R. Kharel , Prashansa Mukim , Piotr Maj , Grzegorz W. Deptuch , Shinjae Yoo , Yihui Ren , Soumyajit Mandal

Algorithmic fairness seeks to identify and correct sources of bias in machine learning algorithms. Confoundingly, ensuring fairness often comes at the cost of accuracy. We provide formal tools in this work for reconciling this fundamental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-22 Susan Wei , Marc Niethammer
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