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In simulation-based inferences for partially observed Markov process models (POMP), the by-product of the Monte Carlo filtering is an approximation of the log likelihood function. Recently, iterated filtering [14, 13] has originally been…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-26 Dao Nguyen

A new approach to nonlinear modelling is presented which, by incorporating the global behaviour of the model, lifts shortcomings of both least squares and total least squares parameter estimates. Although ubiquitous in practice, a least…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Patrick E. McSharry , Leonard A. Smith

This article discusses a partially adapted particle filter for estimating the likelihood of a nonlinear structural econometric state space models whose state transition density cannot be expressed in closed form. The filter generates the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-05 Jamie Hall , Michael K. Pitt , Robert Kohn

Twisted particle filters are a class of sequential Monte Carlo methods recently introduced by Whiteley and Lee to improve the efficiency of marginal likelihood estimation in state-space models. The purpose of this article is to extend the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-30 Juha Ala-Luhtala , Nick Whiteley , Kari Heine , Robert Piche

The Poisson log-normal model is a latent variable model that provides a generic framework for the analysis of multivariate count data. Inferring its parameters can be a daunting task since the conditional distribution of the latent…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Julien Stoehr , Stephane S. Robin

This paper proposes a new feature screening method for the multi-response ultrahigh dimensional linear model by empirical likelihood. Through a multivariate moment condition, the empirical likelihood induced ranking statistics can exploit…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Jun Lu , Qinqin Hu , Lu Lin

The particle filter is a popular Bayesian filtering algorithm for use in cases where the state-space model is nonlinear and/or the random terms (initial state or noises) are non-Gaussian distributed. We study the behavior of the error in…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-29 Ziyu Liu , Shihong Wei , James C. Spall

(Neal and Hinton, 1998) recast maximum likelihood estimation of any given latent variable model as the minimization of a free energy functional $F$, and the EM algorithm as coordinate descent applied to $F$. Here, we explore alternative…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-21 Juan Kuntz , Jen Ning Lim , Adam M. Johansen

We consider distributed estimation of the inverse covariance matrix, also called the concentration or precision matrix, in Gaussian graphical models. Traditional centralized estimation often requires global inference of the covariance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-15 Zhaoshi Meng , Dennis Wei , Ami Wiesel , Alfred O. Hero

Straightforward methods for adapting the familiar chi^2 statistic to histograms of discrete events and other Poisson distributed data generally yield biased estimates of the parameters of a model. The bias can be important even when the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-03-12 Joseph W. Fowler

In many public health problems, an important goal is to identify the effect of some treatment/intervention on the risk of failure for the whole population. A marginal proportional hazards regression model is often used to analyze such an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Donglin Zeng

Likelihood-free inference is quickly emerging as a powerful tool to perform fast/effective parameter estimation. We demonstrate a technique of optimizing likelihood-free inference to make it even faster by marginalizing symmetries in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-14 Deep Chatterjee , Philip C. Harris , Maanas Goel , Malina Desai , Michael W. Coughlin , Erik Katsavounidis

Estimating parameters of a diffusion process given continuous-time observations of the process via maximum likelihood approaches or, online, via stochastic gradient descent or Kalman filter formulations constitutes a well-established…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 Jan Albrecht , Sebastian Reich

The maximum likelihood estimation of the left-truncated log-logistic distribution with a given truncation point is analyzed in detail from both mathematical and numerical perspectives. These maximum likelihood equations often do not possess…

This paper considers estimation of large dynamic factor models with common and idiosyncratic trends by means of the Expectation Maximization algorithm, implemented jointly with the Kalman smoother. We show that, as the cross-sectional…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-23 Matteo Barigozzi , Matteo Luciani

An algorithm is proposed, analyzed, and tested for solving continuous nonlinear-equality-constrained optimization problems where the objective and constraint functions are defined by expectations or averages over large, finite numbers of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-14 Frank E. Curtis , Lingjun Guo , Daniel P. Robinson

Maximizing the precision in estimating parameters in a quantum system subject to instrumentation constraints is cast as a convex optimization problem. We account for prior knowledge about the parameter range by developing a worst-case and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2008-04-01 Robert L. Kosut

Parameter estimation in ordinary differential equations, although applied and refined in various fields of the quantitative sciences, is still confronted with a variety of difficulties. One major challenge is finding the global optimum of a…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2013-02-11 Daniel Kaschek , Jens Timmer

We develop a pseudo-likelihood theory for rank one matrix estimation problems in the high dimensional limit. We prove a variational principle for the limiting pseudo-maximum likelihood which also characterizes the performance of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Curtis Grant , Aukosh Jagannath , Justin Ko

We present a maximum-likelihood method for parameter estimation in terahertz time-domain spectroscopy. We derive the likelihood function for a parameterized frequency response function, given a pair of time-domain waveforms with known…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-04-18 Laleh Mohtashemi , Paul Westlund , Derek G. Sahota , Graham B. Lea , Ian Bushfield , Payam Mousavi , J. Steven Dodge
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