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Mean-field game theory relies on approximating games that are intractable to model due to a very large to infinite population of players. While these kinds of games can be solved analytically via the associated system of partial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Anna C. M. Thöni , Yoram Bachrach , Tal Kachman

The inferential models (IM) framework provides prior-free, frequency-calibrated, posterior probabilistic inference. The key is the use of random sets to predict unobservable auxiliary variables connected to the observable data and unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Ryan Martin , Chuanhai Liu

In this work, we investigate the large-scale mean-field variational inference (MFVI) problem from a mini-batch primal-dual perspective. By reformulating MFVI as a constrained finite-sum problem, we develop a novel primal-dual algorithm…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Jinhua Lyu , Tianmin Yu , Ying Ma , Naichen Shi

This paper studies the risk-averse mean-variance optimization in infinite-horizon discounted Markov decision processes (MDPs). The involved variance metric concerns reward variability during the whole process, and future deviations are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Shuai Ma , Xiaoteng Ma , Li Xia

This work considers the allocation problem for multivariate stratified random sampling as a problem of integer non-linear stochastic multiobjective mathematical programming. With this goal in mind the asymptotic distribution of the vector…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-07 Jose A. Diaz-Garcia , Rogelio Ramos-Quiroga

We derive and present explicit algorithms to facilitate streamlined computing for variational inference for models containing higher level random effects. Existing literature, such as Lee and Wand (2016), is such that streamlined…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-07 Tui H. Nolan , Marianne Menictas , Matt P. Wand

Bayesian analyses combine information represented by different terms in a joint Bayesian model. When one or more of the terms is misspecified, it can be helpful to restrict the use of information from suspect model components to modify…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-27 Xuejun Yu , David J. Nott , Michael Stanley Smith

This paper studies a continuous-time market {under stochastic environment} where an agent, having specified an investment horizon and a target terminal mean return, seeks to minimize the variance of the return with multiple stocks and a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-28 Wan-Kai Pang , Yuan-Hua Ni , Xun Li , Ka-Fai Cedric Yiu

We consider mean-field control problems in discrete time with discounted reward, infinite time horizon and compact state and action space. The existence of optimal policies is shown and the limiting mean-field problem is derived when the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-16 Nicole Bäuerle

We propose a framework for computing, optimizing and integrating with respect to a smooth marginal likelihood in statistical models that involve high-dimensional parameters/latent variables and continuous low-dimensional hyperparameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Timothée Stumpf-Fétizon , Jonathan Weare

We investigate a first-order mean field planning problem of the form \begin{equation} \left\lbrace\begin{aligned} -\partial_t u + H(x,Du) &= f(x,m) &&\text{in } (0,T)\times \mathbb{R}^d, \\ \partial_t m - \nabla\cdot (m\,H_p(x,Du)) &= 0…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-08-05 Carlo Orrieri , Alessio Porretta , Giuseppe Savaré

Max-stable random fields play a central role in modeling extreme value phenomena. We obtain an explicit formula for the conditional probability in general max-linear models, which include a large class of max-stable random fields. As a…

Computation · Statistics 2010-11-29 Yizao Wang , Stilian A. Stoev

Robust estimation for modern portfolio selection on a large set of assets becomes more important due to large deviation of empirical inference on big data. We propose a distributionally robust methodology for high-dimensional mean-variance…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-12 Ruike Wu , Yanrong Yang , Han Lin Shang , Huanjun Zhu

In this paper, we introduce a bilevel optimization framework for addressing inverse mean-field games, alongside an exploration of numerical methods tailored for this bilevel problem. The primary benefit of our bilevel formulation lies in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-13 Jiajia Yu , Quan Xiao , Tianyi Chen , Rongjie Lai

We formulate and investigate a mean field optimization (MFO) problem over a set of probability distributions $\mu$ with a prescribed marginal $m$. The cost function depends on an aggregate term, which is the expectation of $\mu$ with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-01 Kang Liu , Laurent Pfeiffer

This paper extends and generalizes previous works on constructing combinatorial multivector fields from continuous systems (see [10]) and the construction of combinatorial vector fields from data (see [2]) by introducing an optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Dominic Desjardins Côté , Donald Woukeng

Variational inequalities are a formalism that includes games, minimization, saddle point, and equilibrium problems as special cases. Methods for variational inequalities are therefore universal approaches for many applied tasks, including…

We propose a novel mean field games (MFGs) based GAN(generative adversarial network) framework. To be specific, we utilize the Hopf formula in density space to rewrite MFGs as a primal-dual problem so that we are able to train the model via…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Shaojun Ma , Haomin Zhou , Hongyuan Zha

This paper aims to systematically solve stochastic team optimization of large-scale system, in a rather general framework. Concretely, the underlying large-scale system involves considerable weakly-coupled cooperative agents for which the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-18 Xinwei Feng , Ying Hu , Jianhui Huang

We propose a fast and theoretically grounded method for Bayesian variable selection and model averaging in latent variable regression models. Our framework addresses three interrelated challenges: (i) intractable marginal likelihoods, (ii)…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Gregor Zens , Mark F. J. Steel