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In this paper, we propose a nonparametric way to test the hypothesis that time-variation in intraday volatility is caused solely by a deterministic and recurrent diurnal pattern. We assume that noisy high-frequency data from a discretely…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-26 Kim Christensen , Ulrich Hounyo , Mark Podolskij

Consider generalized adapted stochastic integrals with respect to independently scattered random measures with second moments. We use a decoupling technique, known as the "principle of conditioning", to study their stable convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Giovanni Peccati , Murad S. Taqqu

The Central Limit Theorem states that, in the limit of a large number of terms, an appropriately scaled sum of independent random variables yields another random variable whose probability distribution tends to a stable distribution. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-04-08 Damián H. Zanette , Inés Samengo

The standard small-time functional central limit theorem of semimartingales has been established in (Gerhold, S., Kleinert, M., Porkert, P., and Shkolnikov, M. (2015). Small time central limit theorems for semimartingales with applications.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Pietro Maria Sparago

The dynamics of one parameter diagonal group actions on finite volume homogeneous spaces has a partially hyperbolic feature. In this paper we extend the Liv\v{s}ic type result to these possibly noncompact and nonaccessible systems. We also…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-03-27 Ronggang Shi

This paper is the third part of our study started with Cattiaux, Le\'{o}n and Prieur [Stochastic Process. Appl. 124 (2014) 1236-1260; ALEA Lat. Am. J. Probab. Math. Stat. 11 (2014) 359-384]. For some ergodic Hamiltonian systems, we obtained…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Patrick Cattiaux , José R. León , Clémentine Prieur

This article studies the finite sample behaviour of a number of estimators for the integrated power volatility process of a Brownian semistationary process in the non semi-martingale setting. We establish three consistent feasible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Phillip Murray , Riccardo Passeggeri , Almut E. D. Veraart , Mikko S. Pakkanen

Through certain appropriate constructions, we establish periodic solutions in distribution for some stochastic differential equations with infinite-dimensional Levy noise. Additionally, we obtain the corresponding periodic measures and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Xinying Deng , Yong Li , Xue Yang

In this paper we study covariance estimation with missing data. We consider missing data mechanisms that can be independent of the data, or have a time varying dependency. Additionally, observed variables may have arbitrary (non uniform)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-17 Eduardo Pavez , Antonio Ortega

A central limit theorem is established for a sum of random variables belonging to a sequence of random fields. The fields are assumed to have zero mean conditional on the past history and to satisfy certain conditional $\alpha$-mixing…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Abdollah Jalilian , Arnaud Poinas , Ganggang Xu , Rasmus Waagepetersen

We consider the problem of efficient inference of the Average Treatment Effect in a sequential experiment where the policy governing the assignment of subjects to treatment or control can change over time. We first provide a central limit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 Thomas Cook , Alan Mishler , Aaditya Ramdas

We study a symmetric diffusion $X$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$ in divergence form in a stationary and ergodic environment, with measurable unbounded and degenerate coefficients. We prove a quenched local central limit theorem for $X$, under some…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-15 Alberto Chiarini , Jean-Dominique Deuschel

An efficient estimator is constructed for the quadratic covariation or integrated co-volatility matrix of a multivariate continuous martingale based on noisy and nonsynchronous observations under high-frequency asymptotics. Our approach…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Markus Bibinger , Nikolaus Hautsch , Peter Malec , Markus Reiß

This article provides a central limit theorem for a consistent estimator of population eigenvalues with large multiplicities based on sample covariance matrices. The focus is on limited sample size situations, whereby the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-31 Jianfeng Yao , Romain Couillet , Jamal Najim , Merouane Debbah

Stochastic gradient algorithms are more and more studied since they can deal efficiently and online with large samples in high dimensional spaces. In this paper, we first establish a Central Limit Theorem for these estimates as well as for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-17 Antoine Godichon-Baggioni

In this paper, we show how to estimate the asymptotic (conditional) covariance matrix, which appears in central limit theorems in high-frequency estimation of asset return volatility. We provide a recipe for the estimation of this matrix by…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-26 Kim Christensen , Mark Podolskij , Nopporn Thamrongrat , Bezirgen Veliyev

The main result of this paper is a general central limit theorem for distributions defined by certain renewal type equations. We apply this to weakly self-avoiding random walks. We give good error estimates and Gaussian tail estimates which…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Erwin Bolthausen , Christine Ritzmann

In this work, a generalised version of the central limit theorem is proposed for nonlinear functionals of the empirical measure of i.i.d. random variables, provided that the functional satisfies some regularity assumptions for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Benjamin Jourdain , Alvin Tse

Let $(\Omega, \A, \mu)$ be a Lebesgue space and $T$ an ergodic measure preserving automorphism on $\Omega$ with positive entropy. We show that there is a bounded and strictly stationary martingale difference sequence defined on $\Omega$…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mohamed El Machkouri , Dalibor Volny

The central limit theorem of martingales is the fundamental tool for studying the convergence of stochastic processes, especially stochastic integrals and differential equations. In this paper, general central limit theorems and functional…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-08 Li-Xin Zhang