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The discounted central limit theorem concerns the convergence of an infinite discounted sum of i.i.d. random variables to normality as the discount factor approaches $1$. We show that, using the Fourier metric on probability distributions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-12 Guy Katriel

Motivated by the Central Limit Theorem, in this paper, we study both universal and non-universal simulations of random variables with an arbitrary target distribution $Q_{Y}$ by general mappings, not limited to linear ones (as in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-05 Lei Yu

Recent work in dynamic causal inference introduced a class of discrete-time stochastic processes that generalize martingale difference sequences and arrays as follows: the random variates in each sequence have expectation zero given certain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Walter Dempsey , Easton Huch

In this paper, we consider the nonstationary matrix-valued time series with common stochastic trends. Unlike the traditional factor analysis which flattens matrix observations into vectors, we adopt a matrix factor model in order to fully…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-25 Degui Li , Yayi Yan , Qiwei Yao

Bitseki and Delmas (2021) have studied recently the central limit theorem for kernel estimator of invariant density in bifurcating Markov chains models. We complete their work by proving a moderate deviation principle for this estimator.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-03 S. Valère Bitseki Penda

We study the isotonic regression estimator over a general countable pre-ordered set. We obtain the limiting distribution of the estimator and study its properties. It is proved that, under some general assumptions, the limiting distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-06 Dragi Anevski , Vladimir Pastukhov

We consider the problem of estimating the common mean of independently sampled data, where samples are drawn in a possibly non-identical manner from symmetric, unimodal distributions with a common mean. This generalizes the setting of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-09 Ankit Pensia , Varun Jog , Po-Ling Loh

We study nonasymptotic (finite-sample) confidence intervals for treatment effects in randomized experiments. In the existing literature, the effective sample sizes of nonasymptotic confidence intervals tend to be looser than the…

We establish a central limit theorem and prove a moderate deviation principle for stochastic scalar conservation laws. Due to the lack of viscous term, this is done in the framework of kinetic solution. The weak convergence method and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Zhengyan Wu , Rangrang Zhang

The task of analyzing extreme events with censoring effects is considered under a framework allowing for random covariate information. A wide class of estimators that can be cast as product-limit integrals is considered, for when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-14 Martin Bladt , Christoffer Øhlenschlæger

We consider estimation of the spot volatility in a stochastic boundary model with one-sided microstructure noise for high-frequency limit order prices. Based on discrete, noisy observations of an It\^o semimartingale with jumps and general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-20 Markus Bibinger

We propose a new estimator for the spot covariance matrix of a multi-dimensional continuous semi-martingale log asset price process which is subject to noise and non-synchronous observations. The estimator is constructed based on a local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-11 Markus Bibinger , Nikolaus Hautsch , Peter Malec , Markus Reiß

While right-censored time-to-event outcomes have been studied for decades, handling time-to-event covariates, also known as right-censored covariates, is now of growing interest. So far, the literature has treated right-censored covariates…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-10 Jesus E. Vazquez , Marissa C. Ashner , Yanyuan Ma , Karen Marder , Tanya P. Garcia

We prove quenched versions of a central limit theorem, a large deviations principle as well as a local central limit theorem for expanding on average cocycles. This is achieved by building an appropriate modification of the spectral method…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-25 Davor Dragičević , Julien Sedro

The martingale posterior framework is a generalization of Bayesian inference where one elicits a sequence of one-step ahead predictive densities instead of the likelihood and prior. Posterior sampling then involves the imputation of unseen…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Edwin Fong , Andrew Yiu

In this paper, we introduce a novel approach to solve the (mean-covariance) steering problem for a fairly general class of linear continuous-time stochastic systems subject to input delays. Specifically, we aim at steering delayed linear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-27 Gabriel Velho , Riccardo Bonalli , Jean Auriol , Islam Boussaada

We establish the central limit theorem for linear processes with dependent innovations including martingales and mixingale type of assumptions as defined in McLeish [Ann. Probab. 5 (1977) 616--621] and motivated by Gordin [Soviet Math.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Magda Peligrad , Sergey Utev

We study the validity of an averaging principle for a slow-fast system of stochastic reaction diffusion equations. We assume here that the coefficients of the fast equation depend on time, so that the classical formulation of the averaging…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-19 Sandra Cerrai , Alessandra Lunardi

The classical condition on the existence of uniformly exponentially consistent tests for testing the true density against the complement of its arbitrary neighborhood has been widely adopted in study of asymptotics of Bayesian nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-01 Yang Xing

Ordinary differential equations obtained as limits of Markov processes appear in many settings. They may arise by scaling large systems, or by averaging rapidly fluctuating systems, or in systems involving multiple time-scales, by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-24 Hye-Won Kang , Thomas G. Kurtz , Lea Popovic
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