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The size that an epidemic can reach, measured in terms of the number of fatalities, is an extremely relevant quantity. It has been recently claimed [Cirillo & Taleb, Nature Physics 2020] that the size distribution of major epidemics in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-18 Alvaro Corral

A new version of a Strong Law of Large Numbers is proposed in this note for pairwise independent random variables. The main goal is to relax the assumption on a finite expectation for each term.

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Alina Akhmiarova , Alexander Veretennikov

Identifying the statistical distribution that best fits citation data is important to allow robust and powerful quantitative analyses. Whilst previous studies have suggested that both the hooked power law and discretised lognormal…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2016-03-07 Mike Thelwall

PyPWA is a toolkit designed to optimize parametric models describing data and generate simulated distributions according to a model. Its software has been written within the python ecosystem with the goal of performing Amplitude or Partial…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-06-06 Mark Jones , Peter Hurck , William Phelps , Carlos W. Salgado

The use of statistical software in academia and enterprises has been evolving over the last years. More often than not, students, professors, workers, and users, in general, have all had, at some point, exposure to statistical software.…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-21 Rui Portocarrero Sarmento , Vera Costa

Many natural processes exhibit power-law behavior. The power-law exponent is linked to the underlying physical process and therefore its precise value is of interest. With respect to the energy content of nanoflares, for example, a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-05-24 Elke D'Huys , David Berghmans , Daniel B. Seaton , Stefaan Poedts

The size or energy of diverse structures or phenomena in geoscience appears to follow power-law distributions. A rigorous statistical analysis of such observations is tricky, though. Observables can span several orders of magnitude, but the…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-04-29 Álvaro Corral , Álvaro González

Logarithmic transformation of the data has been recommended by the literature in the case of highly skewed distributions such as those commonly found in information science. The purpose of the transformation is to make the data conform to…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2009-11-19 Loet Leydesdorff , Stephen Bensman

Skewness and kurtosis are fundamental statistical moments commonly used to quantify asymmetry and tail behavior in probability distributions. Despite their widespread application in statistical mechanics, condensed matter physics, and…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-06-23 Carlo De Michele , Samuele De Bartolo

This paper introduces a new classification scheme - head/tail breaks - in order to find groupings or hierarchy for data with a heavy-tailed distribution. The heavy-tailed distributions are heavily right skewed, with a minority of large…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-10-22 Bin Jiang

Power-law distributions have been widely observed in different areas of scientific research. Practical estimation issues include how to select a threshold above which observations follow a power-law distribution and then how to estimate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-13 Holger Drees , Anja Janßen , Sidney I. Resnick , Tiandong Wang

Two separate statistical tests are described and developed in order to test un-binned data sets for adherence to the power-law form. The first test employs the TP-statistic, a function defined to deviate from zero when the sample deviates…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-10-22 J. D. Hague , B. R. Becker , M. S. Gold , J. A. J. Matthews , J. Urbář

Taylor's law, also known as fluctuation scaling in physics and the power-law variance function in statistics, is an empirical pattern widely observed across fields including ecology, physics, finance, and epidemiology. It states that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-13 Pok Him Cheng , Joel E. Cohen , Hok Kan Ling , Sheung Chi Phillip Yam

This paper introduces a new Python package specifically designed to address calibration of probabilistic classifiers under dataset shift. The method is demonstrated in binary and multi-class settings and its effectiveness is measured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Ivan Petej

We propose an approach to estimate the number of samples required for a model to reach a target performance. We find that the power law, the de facto principle to estimate model performance, leads to large error when using a small dataset…

PySINDy is a Python package for the discovery of governing dynamical systems models from data. In particular, PySINDy provides tools for applying the sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics (SINDy) (Brunton et al. 2016) approach to…

The yaglm package aims to make the broader ecosystem of modern generalized linear models accessible to data analysts and researchers. This ecosystem encompasses a range of loss functions (e.g. linear, logistic, quantile regression),…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-13 Iain Carmichael , Thomas Keefe , Naomi Giertych , Jonathan P Williams

In particle physics, workflow management systems are primarily used as tailored solutions in dedicated areas such as Monte Carlo production. However, physicists performing data analyses are usually required to steer their individual,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-05-14 Marcel Rieger

We fit the exponent of the Pareto distribution, that is equivalent or can approximate the continuous power law distribution given a cutoff point, using linear regression (LR). We use LR on the logged variables of the empirical tail (one…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-21 Samuel Forbes

We formulate conditions for convergence of Laws of Large Numbers and show its links with of the parts of mathematical analysis such as summation theory, convergence of orthogonal series. We present also applications of the Law of Large…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Paweł J. Szabłowski