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We study a general class of birth-and-death processes with state space $\mathbb{N}$ that describes the size of a population going to extinction with probability one. This class contains the logistic case. The scale of the population is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-20 J. -R. Chazottes , P. Collet , S. Méléard

We introduce a class of branching processes in which the reproduction or lifetime distribution at a given time depends on the total cumulative number of individuals who have been born in the population until that time. We focus on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-03 Sophie Hautphenne , Minyuan Li

We study a class of branching processes in which a population consists of immortal individuals equipped with a fitness value. Individuals produce offspring with a rate given by their fitness, and offspring may either belong to the same…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-01 Steffen Dereich , Cecile Mailler , Peter Morters

Using a panel of 102 countries from PWT 10.0 covering 1970-2019, we examine the veracity of the assumption that a time-homogeneous, first-order process describes the evolution of the cross-country distribution of per capita output, an…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-10 Davide Fiaschi , Paul Johnson

We consider a birth-death process with the birth rates $i\lambda$ and death rates $i\mu +i(i-1)\theta$, where $i$ is the current state of the process. A positive competition rate $\theta$ is assumed to be small. In the supercritical case…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-19 Serik Sagitov , Altynay Shaimerdenova

Under mild non-degeneracy assumptions on branching rates in each generation, we provide a criterion for almost-sure extinction of a multi-type branching process with time-dependent branching rates. We also provide a criterion for the total…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Pratima Hebbar , Leonid Koralov , Mark Perlman

We examine the distributional properties of a Feller diffusion $(X(\tau))_{\tau \in [0, t]}$ conditioned on the current population $X(t)$ having a single ancestor at time zero. The approach is novel and is based on an interpretation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-24 Conrad J. Burden , Robert C. Griffiths

In this paper we consider two branching processes living in a joint random environment. Assuming that both processes are critical we address the following question: What is the probability that both populations survive up to a large time…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Nikita Elizarov , Vitali Wachtel

he starting process with countable number of types \mu(t) generates a stopped branching process \xi(t). The starting process stops, by falling into the nonempty set S. It is assumed, that the starting process is subcritical, indecomposable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-09 Iryna Kyrychynska , Ostap Okhrin , Yaroslav Yeleyko

We study the following model for a diploid population of constant size $N$: Every individual carries a random number of (genetic) elements. Upon a reproduction event each of the two parents passes each element independently with probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Peter Pfaffelhuber , Anton Wakolbinger

In order to model random density-dependence in population dynamics, we construct the random analogue of the well-known logistic process in the branching process' framework. This density-dependence corresponds to intraspecific competition…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Amaury Lambert

We study branching processes of independently splitting particles in the continuous time setting. If time is calibrated such that particles live on average one unit of time, the corresponding transition rates are fully determined by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-01 Serik Sagitov

Let $(Z_n)$ be a supercritical branching process in a random environment $% \zeta$, and $W$ be the limit of the normalized population size $Z_n/\mathbb{E%}(Z_n|\zeta)$. We show necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-13 Xingang Liang , Quansheng Liu

We consider the well-known problem of the computation of the (limiting) time-dependent performance characteristics of one-dimensional continuous-time birth and death processes on $\mathbb{Z}$ with time varying and possible state-dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-18 Yacov Satin , Rostislav Razumchik , Alexander Zeifman , Ivan Kovalev

We study survival properties of inhomogeneous Galton-Watson processes. We determine the so-called branching number (which is the reciprocal of the critical value for percolation) for these random trees (conditioned on being infinite), which…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-22 Erik Broman , Ronald Meester

We present a statistical analysis of biological evolution processes. Specifically, we study the stochastic replication-mutation-death model where the population of a species may grow or shrink by birth or death, respectively, and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky

We study time continuous branching processes with exponentially distributed lifetimes, with two types of cells that proliferate according to binary fission. A range of possible system dynamics are considered, each of which is characterized…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Nam H Nguyen , Marek Kimmel

This paper considers a population process on a dynamically evolving graph, which can be alternatively interpreted as a queueing network. The queues are of infinite-server type, entailing that at each node all customers present are served in…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Michel Mandjes , Nicos Starreveld , René Bekker

Let ${Z_{n},n\geq 0} $ be a critical branching process in random environment and let $T$ be its moment of extinction. Under the annealed approach we prove, as $n\to \infty ,$ a limit theorem for the number of particles in the process at…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-19 C. Boeinghoff , E. E. Dyakonova , G. Kersting , V. A. Vatutin

Let $\omega=(\omega_i)_{i\in\mathbb Z}=(\mu^{L}_i,...,\mu^{1}_i,\lambda_i)_{i\in \mathbb Z}$, which serves as the environment, be a sequence of i.i.d. random nonnegative vectors, with $L\ge1$ a positive integer. We study birth and death…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Hua-Ming Wang