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We study the asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution in a broad class of statistical models where the "true" solution occurs on the boundary of the parameter space. We show that in this case Bayesian inference is consistent, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-02 Natalia A. Bochkina , Peter J. Green

We revisit the Markov approximation necessary to derive ordinary Brownian motion from a model widely adopted in literature for this specific purpose. We show that this leads to internal inconsistencies, thereby implying that further search…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 A. Rocco , P. Grigolini

We study the statistical properties of the time-averaged mean-square displacements (TAMSD). This is a standard non-local quadratic functional for inferring the diffusion coefficient from an individual random trajectory of a diffusing tracer…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-03 Alexei Andreanov , Denis Grebenkov

We present an extension of local sensitivity analysis, also referred to as the perturbation approach for uncertainty quantification, to Bayesian inverse problems. More precisely, we show how moments of random variables with respect to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Jürgen Dölz , David Ebert

We study the problem of non-parametric Bayesian estimation of the intensity function of a Poisson point process. The observations are $n$ independent realisations of a Poisson point process on the interval $[0,T]$. We propose two related…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-31 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

This short note is motivated by a recently discovered connection between a drift-diffusion process in $n$-dimensional Euclidean space with a divergence-free drift sampled from a stationary and isotropic Gaussian ensemble of critical scaling…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Sefika Kuzgun , Felix Otto , Christian Wagner

Consider the motion of a Brownian particle in three dimensions, whose two spatial coordinates are standard Brownian motions with zero drift, and the remaining (unknown) spatial coordinate is a standard Brownian motion with a non-zero drift.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-19 Philip Ernst , Goran Peskir , Quan Zhou

A family of reflected Brownian motions is used to construct Dyson's process of non-colliding Brownian motions. A number of explicit formulae are given, including one for the distribution of a family of coalescing Brownian motions.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jon Warren

Assuming that a stochastic process $X=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ is a sum of a compound Poisson process $Y=(Y_t)_{t\geq 0}$ with known intensity $\lambda$ and unknown jump size density $f,$ and an independent Brownian motion $Z=(Z_t)_{t\geq 0},$ we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-06 Shota Gugushvili

The density distribution function of the integral of the exponential Brownian motion is determined explicitly in the form of a rapidly convergent series.

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-14 Leonid Tolmatz

We implement Bayesian model selection and parameter estimation for the case of fractional Brownian motion with measurement noise and a constant drift. The approach is tested on artificial trajectories and shown to make estimates that match…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-04-05 Jens Krog , Lars H. Jacobsen , Frederik W. Lund , Daniel Wüstner , Michael A. Lomholt

The balance held by Brownian motion between temporal regularity and randomness is embodied in a remarkable way by Levy's forgery of continuous functions. Here we describe how this property can be extended to forge arbitrary dependences…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-06-11 Vincent Wens

In this paper, we present a nonparametric method to estimate the heterogeneity of a random medium from the angular distribution of intensity transmitted through a slab of random material. Our approach is based on the modeling of forward…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-02-06 Nicolas Le Bihan , Ludovic Margerin

We discuss non-parametric density estimation and regression for astrophysics problems. In particular, we show how to compute non-parametric confidence intervals for the location and size of peaks of a function. We illustrate these ideas…

This article considers a nonparametric method for detecting change points in non-stationary time series. The proposed method will divide the time series into several segments so that between two adjacent segments, the normalized spectral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Zixiang Guan , Gemai Chen

In this paper, we present a theoretical and computational workflow for the non-parametric Bayesian inference of drift and diffusion functions of autonomous diffusion processes. We base the inference on the partial differential equations…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Maximilian Kruse , Sebastian Krumscheid

Starting with a Brownian motion, we define and study a novel diffusion process by combining stickiness and oscillation properties. The associated stochastic differential equation, resolvent and semigroup are provided. Also the trivariate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-08 Wajdi Touhami

In this paper, following earlier results in [2] we derive the asymptotic distribution as $t \to \infty$, of the excursion of Brownian motion straddling $t$, into an interval $(a,b)$, conditional on the event that there is such an excursion.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-25 Rajeev Bhaskaran

A mixture of light-gas particles and Brownian heavy particles is analyzed within the framework of a post-Newtonian Boltzmann equation to determine the Fokker-Planck equation for the Brownian motion. For each species, the equilibrium…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-07-16 Gilberto M. Kremer

We consider processes which have the distribution of standard Brownian motion (in the forward direction of time) starting from random points on the trajectory which accumulate at $-\infty$. We show that these processes do not have to have…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-01 Krzysztof Burdzy , Michael Scheutzow