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Near-Gaussian probability densities are common in many important physical applications. Here we develop an asymptotic expansion methodology for computing entropic functionals for such densities. The expansion proposed is a close relative of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-29 Gordon V. Chavez , Richard Kleeman

We introduce a new approximate multiresolution analysis (MRA) using a single Gaussian as the scaling function, which we call Gaussian MRA (GMRA). As an initial application, we employ this new tool to accurately and efficiently compute the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-06-07 Gregory Beylkin , Lucas Monzon , Ignas Satkauskas

We derive a simple and precise approximation to probability density functions in sampling distributions based on the Fourier cosine series. After clarifying the required conditions, we illustrate the approximation on two examples: the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-27 Shigekazu Nakagawa , Hiroki Hashiguchi , Yoko Ono

Both Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) and composite likelihood methods are useful for Bayesian and frequentist inference, respectively, when the likelihood function is intractable. We propose to use composite likelihood score…

Computation · Statistics 2015-02-25 Erlis Ruli , Nicola Sartori , Laura Ventura

The likelihood function is a crucial element of parameter estimation. In analyses of galaxy overdensities and weak lensing shear, one often approximates the likelihood of the power spectrum with a Gaussian distribution. The posterior…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-16 L. Sun , Q. Wang , H. Zhan

Gaussian Process (GP) models are popular statistical surrogates used for emulating computationally expensive computer simulators. The quality of a GP model fit can be assessed by a goodness of fit measure based on optimized likelihood.…

Computation · Statistics 2013-09-27 Andrew Butler , Thomas D. Humphries , Pritam Ranjan , Ronald D. Haynes

Variational Bayesian inference is an important machine-learning tool that finds application from statistics to robotics. The goal is to find an approximate probability density function (PDF) from a chosen family that is in some sense…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Timothy D. Barfoot , Gabriele M. T. D'Eleuterio

In Bayesian statistics probability distributions express beliefs. However, for many problems the beliefs cannot be computed analytically and approximations of beliefs are needed. We seek a loss function that quantifies how "embarrassing" it…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-07 Reimar H. Leike , Torsten A. Enßlin

Non-Gaussian likelihoods, ubiquitous throughout cosmology, are a direct consequence of nonlinearities in the physical model. Their treatment requires Monte-Carlo Markov-chain or more advanced sampling methods for the determination of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-05-24 Lennart Röver , Lea Carlotta Bartels , Björn Malte Schäfer

We use the spherical collapse (SC) approximation to derive expressions for the smoothed redshift-space probability distribution function (PDF), as well as the $p$-order hierarchical amplitudes $S_p$, in both real and redshift space. We…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-06 Robert J. Scherrer , Enrique Gaztanaga

Approximate Bayesian computing is a powerful likelihood-free method that has grown increasingly popular since early applications in population genetics. However, complications arise in the theoretical justification for Bayesian inference…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-03 Suzanne Thornton , Wentao Li , Min-ge Xie

Generalized linear models (GLMs) are routinely used for modeling relationships between a response variable and a set of covariates. The simple form of a GLM comes with easy interpretability, but also leads to concerns about model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-10 Davide Agnoletto , Tommaso Rigon , David B. Dunson

Fitting regression models for intensity functions of spatial point processes is of great interest in ecological and epidemiological studies of association between spatially referenced events and geographical or environmental covariates.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-25 Yongtao Guan , Abdollah Jalilian , Rasmus Waagepetersen

Theoretical predictions of physical observables often involve extrapolations to regions that are poorly constrained by laboratory experiments and astrophysical observations. Without properly quantified theoretical errors, such model…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2015-06-22 J. Piekarewicz , Wei-Chia Chen , F. J. Fattoyev

This work examines the problem of using finite Gaussian mixtures (GM) probability density functions in recursive Bayesian peer-to-peer decentralized data fusion (DDF). It is shown that algorithms for both exact and approximate GM DDF lead…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-07-10 Nisar R. Ahmed

The Bayesian evidence is a key tool in model selection, allowing a comparison of models with different numbers of parameters. Its use in analysis of cosmological models has been limited by difficulties in calculating it, with current…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-02-01 Juan Garcia-Bellido

We propose a general framework using spike-and-slab prior distributions to aid with the development of high-dimensional Bayesian inference. Our framework allows inference with a general quasi-likelihood function. We show that highly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-21 Yves Atchade , Anwesha Bhattacharyya

One of the principle efforts in cosmic microwave background (CMB) research is measurement of the parameter fnl that quantifies the departure from Gaussianity in a large class of non-minimal inflationary (and other) models. Estimators for…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-27 Tristan L. Smith , Marc Kamionkowski , Benjamin D. Wandelt

This paper deals with the Bayesian estimation of high dimensional Gaussian graphical models. We develop a quasi-Bayesian implementation of the neighborhood selection method of Meinshausen and Buhlmann (2006) for the estimation of Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-29 Yves Atchade

Introducing inequality constraints in Gaussian process (GP) models can lead to more realistic uncertainties in learning a great variety of real-world problems. We consider the finite-dimensional Gaussian approach from Maatouk and Bay (2017)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-04 Andrés F. López-Lopera , François Bachoc , Nicolas Durrande , Olivier Roustant
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