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Gaussian functions are commonly used in different fields, many real signals can be modeled into such form. Research aiming to obtain a precise fitting result for these functions is very meaningful. This manuscript intends to introduce a new…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-15 Wei Chen

The Poisson model is frequently employed to describe count data, but in a Bayesian context it leads to an analytically intractable posterior probability distribution. In this work, we analyze a variational Gaussian approximation to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Simon Arridge , Kazufumi Ito , Bangti Jin , Chen Zhang

Variational methods are attractive for computing Bayesian inference for highly parametrized models and large datasets where exact inference is impractical. They approximate a target distribution - either the posterior or an augmented…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-21 Michael Stanley Smith , Ruben Loaiza-Maya , David J. Nott

The direct Gaussian copula model with discrete marginal distributions is an appealing data-analytic tool but poses difficult computational challenges due to its intractable likelihood. A number of approximations/surrogates for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-08 John Hughes

We discuss a Bayesian methodology for the solution of the inverse problem underlying the determination of parton distribution functions (PDFs). In our approach, Gaussian Processes (GPs) are used to model the PDF prior, while Bayes theorem…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-07-03 Alessandro Candido , Luigi Del Debbio , Tommaso Giani , Giacomo Petrillo

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) refers to a family of inference methods used in the Bayesian analysis of complex models where evaluation of the likelihood is difficult. Conventional ABC methods often suffer from the curse of…

Computation · Statistics 2016-07-08 Jingjing Li , David J. Nott , Yanan Fan , Scott A. Sisson

In this paper we study algorithms to find a Gaussian approximation to a target measure defined on a Hilbert space of functions; the target measure itself is defined via its density with respect to a reference Gaussian measure. We employ the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-08-11 Frank J. Pinski , Gideon Simpson , Andrew M. Stuart , Hendrik Weber

We show how to use a variational approximation to the logistic function to perform approximate inference in Bayesian networks containing discrete nodes with continuous parents. Essentially, we convert the logistic function to a Gaussian,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Kevin Murphy

To investigate and specify the statistical properties of cosmological fields with particular attention to possible non-Gaussian features, accurate formulae for the bispectrum and the bispectrum covariance are required. The bispectrum is the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-30 Sandra Martin , Peter Schneider , Patrick Simon

We present a framework for approximate Bayesian inference when only a limited number of noisy log-likelihood evaluations can be obtained due to computational constraints, which is becoming increasingly common for applications of complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-01 Marko Järvenpää , Jukka Corander

We introduce an approach to quickly and accurately approximate the cumulative distribution function of multivariate Gaussian distributions arising from spatial Gaussian processes. This approximation is trivially parallelizable and simple to…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-31 Mauricio Nascimento , Benjamin A. Shaby

Bayesian inference is often used in cosmology and astrophysics to derive constraints on model parameters from observations. This approach relies on the ability to compute the likelihood of the data given a choice of model parameters. In…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-09-16 Joel Akeret , Alexandre Refregier , Adam Amara , Sebastian Seehars , Caspar Hasner

One-point probability distribution functions (PDFs) of the cosmic matter density are powerful cosmological probes that extract non-Gaussian properties of the matter distribution and complement two-point statistics. Computing the covariance…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-09 Cora Uhlemann , Oliver Friedrich , Aoife Boyle , Alex Gough , Alexandre Barthelemy , Francis Bernardeau , Sandrine Codis

We investigate whether a Gaussian likelihood, as routinely assumed in the analysis of cosmological data, is supported by simulated survey data. We define test statistics, based on a novel method that first destroys Gaussian correlations in…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-15 Elena Sellentin , Alan F. Heavens

We numerically investigate non-Gaussianities in the late-time cosmological density field in Fourier space. We explore various statistics, including the two-point and three-point probability distribution function (PDF) of phase and modulus,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-06-14 Jian Qin , Jun Pan , Yu Yu , Pengjie Zhang

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) can be used for model fitting when the likelihood function is intractable but simulating from the model is feasible. However, even a single evaluation of a complex model may take several hours,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-19 Marko Järvenpää , Michael Gutmann , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

The gravitational evolution of the cosmic one-point Probability Distribution Function (PDF) can be estimated using an analytic approximation that combines gravitational Perturbation Theory (PT) with the Edgeworth expansion around a Gaussian…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. Fosalba , E. Gaztanaga , E. Elizalde

If two probability density functions (PDFs) have values for their first $n$ moments which are quite close to each other (upper bounds of their differences are known), can it be expected that the PDFs themselves are very similar? Shown below…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-16 Pranava Chaitanya Jayanti , Konstantina Trivisa

Context: Statistical properties of the cosmic density fields are to a large extent encoded in the shape of the one-point density probability distribution functions (PDF). In order to successfully exploit such observables, a detailed…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-20 Francis Bernardeau

One of the major goals of cosmological observations is to test theories of structure formation. The most straightforward way to carry out such tests is to compute the likelihood function L, the probability of getting the data given the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Scott Dodelson , Lam Hui , Andrew Jaffe