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Lyapunov exponents describe the asymptotic behavior of the singular values of large products of random matrices. A direct computation of these exponents is however often infeasible. By establishing a link between Lyapunov exponents and an…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-12-24 David Sutter , Omar Fawzi , Renato Renner

In this paper, we compute the tightest possible bounds on the probability that the optimal value of a combinatorial optimization problem in maximization form with a random objective exceeds a given number, assuming only knowledge of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Divya Padmanabhan , Selin Damla Ahipasaoglu , Arjun Ramachandra , Karthik Natarajan

The article studies the almost surely asymptotics of extreme values $\bar{\xi}_n = \max_{1\leq i \leq n} \xi_i$, where $ \xi , \xi_1 , \xi_2 , \ldots$ are discrete identically distributed random variables. One of the main results on this…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Kateryna Akbash , Ivan Matsak

In this paper we investigate the probability distribution of the sum $Y$ of $\ell$ independent identically distributed random variables taking values in $\mathbb{Z}_p$. Our main focus is the regime of small values of $\ell$, which is less…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-19 Simone Costa

Given a stable L\'{e}vy process $X=(X_t)_{0\le t\le T}$ of index $\alpha\in(1,2)$ with no negative jumps, and letting $S_t=\sup_{0\le s\le t}X_s$ denote its running supremum for $t\in [0,T]$, we consider the optimal prediction problem…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-10 Violetta Bernyk , Robert C. Dalang , Goran Peskir

In this text we study, for positive random variables, the relation between the behaviour of the Laplace transform near infinity and the distribution near zero. A result of De Bruijn shows that $E(e^{-\lambda X}) \sim \exp(r\lambda^\alpha)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-27 Jochen Voss

Exact upper and lower bounds on the ratio $\mathsf{E}w(\mathbf{X}-\mathbf{v})/\mathsf{E}w(\mathbf{X})$ for a centered Gaussian random vector $\mathbf{X}$ in $\mathbb{R}^n$, as well as bounds on the rate of change of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-20 Iosif Pinelis

Let $\mathbf{v}_i$ be vectors in $\mathbb{R}^d$ and $\{\varepsilon_i\}$ be independent Rademacher random variables. Then the Littlewood-Offord problem entails finding the best upper bound for $\sup_{\mathbf{x} \in \mathbb{R}^d}…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-09-03 Kyle Luh , David Xiang

We study the exact constants in the moment inequalities for sums of centered independent random variables: improve their asymptotics, low and upper bounds, calculate more exact asymptotics, elaborate the numerical algorithm for their…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 B. Naimark , E. Ostrovsky

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be independent identically distributed random vectors in $\mathbb{R}^d$. We consider upper bounds on $\max_x \mathbb{P}(a_1X_1+\cdots+a_nX_n=x)$ under various restrictions on $X_i$ and the weights $a_i$. When…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-04 Tomas Juškevičius , Valentas Kurauskas

We explore asymptotically optimal bounds for deviations of distributions of independent Bernoulli random variables from the Poisson limit in terms of the Shannon relative entropy and R\'enyi/Tsallis relative distances (including Pearson's…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-15 S. G. Bobkov , G. P. Chistyakov , F. Götze

Consider a discrete-time martingale, and let $V^2$ be its normalized quadratic variation. As $V^2$ approaches 1, and provided that some Lindeberg condition is satisfied, the distribution of the rescaled martingale approaches the Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-22 Jean-Christophe Mourrat

Although there is an extensive literature on the maxima of Gaussian processes, there are relatively few non-asymptotic bounds on their lower-tail probabilities. The aim of this paper is to develop such a bound, while also allowing for many…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-02 Miles E. Lopes , Junwen Yao

In this article we derive the best possible upper bound for $E[\max{X_i}-\min_i{X_i}]$ under given means and variances on $n$ random variables $X_i$. The random vector $(X_1,...,X_n)$ is allowed to have any dependence structure, provided $E…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-18 Nickos Papadatos

Known Bernstein-type upper bounds on the tail probabilities for sums of independent zero-mean sub-exponential random variables are improved in several ways at once. The new upper bounds have a certain optimality property.

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-15 Iosif Pinelis

In the paper we obtain some new upper bounds for exponential sums over multiplicative subgroups G of F^*_p having sizes in the range [p^{c_1}, p^{c_2}], where c_1,c_2 are some absolute constants close to 1/2. As an application we prove that…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-25 Ilya D. Shkredov

The well-known "Janson's inequality" gives Poisson-like upper bounds for the lower tail probability \Pr(X \le (1-\eps)\E X) when X is the sum of dependent indicator random variables of a special form. We show that, for large deviations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Svante Janson , Lutz Warnke

A novel, non-trivial, probabilistic upper bound on the entropy of an unknown one-dimensional distribution, given the support of the distribution and a sample from that distribution, is presented. No knowledge beyond the support of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Joseph DeStefano , Erik Learned-Miller

We consider the convex hull of a finite sample of i.i.d. points uniformly distributed in a convex body in $\R^d$, $d\geq 2$. We prove an exponential deviation inequality, which leads to rate optimal upper bounds on all the moments of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-13 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

This paper considers a variation of the full-information secretary problem where the random variables to be observed are independent but not necessary identically distributed. The main result is a sharp lower bound for the optimal win…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-12 Pieter C. Allaart , Jose A. Islas