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Consider the random variable $\mathrm{Tr}( f_1(W)A_1\dots f_k(W)A_k)$ where $W$ is an $N\times N$ Hermitian Wigner matrix, $k\in\mathbb{N}$, and choose (possibly $N$-dependent) regular functions $f_1,\dots, f_k$ as well as bounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Jana Reker

It is well known that estimating the expectation of any given bounded random variable with values in $[-B, B]$ has a sample complexity of $\mathrm{O}(B^2/\epsilon^2)$ that is independent of the underlying probability measure. We show that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-29 Yan Li

Let $X_1,X_2,...,X_n$ be a sequence of independent or locally dependent random variables taking values in $\mathbb{Z}_+$. In this paper, we derive sharp bounds, via a new probabilistic method, for the total variation distance between the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-11 Michael V. Boutsikas , Eutichia Vaggelatou

In this paper, we study distributional properties of the sequence of partial quotients in the continued fraction expansion of fractions $a/N$, where $N$ is fixed and $a$ runs through the set of mod $N$ residue classes which are coprime with…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-25 Christoph Aistleitner , Bence Borda , Manuel Hauke

We provide finite-sample distribution approximations, that are uniform in the parameter, for inference in linear mixed models. Focus is on variances and covariances of random effects in cases where existing theory fails because their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Matteo Bottai

We consider the distribution in residue classes modulo primes $p$ of Euler's totient function $\phi(n)$ and the sum-of-proper-divisors function $s(n):=\sigma(n)-n$. We prove that the values $\phi(n)$, for $n\le x$, that are coprime to $p$…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-28 Noah Lebowitz-Lockard , Paul Pollack , Akash Singha Roy

In this article, we develop a framework to study the large deviation principle for matrix models and their quantized versions, by tilting the measures using the limits of spherical integrals obtained in [46,47]. As examples, we obtain 1. a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-25 Serban Belinschi , Alice Guionnet , Jiaoyang Huang

We study the convergence of statistical estimators used in the estimation of large deviation functions describing the fluctuations of equilibrium, nonequilibrium, and manmade stochastic systems. We give conditions for the convergence of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-09 Christian M. Rohwer , Florian Angeletti , Hugo Touchette

We use the macroscopic fluctuation theory (MFT) to evaluate the probability distribution P of extreme values of integrated current J at a specified time t=T in the symmetric simple exclusion process (SSEP) on an infinite line. As shown…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-19 Arkady Vilenkin , Baruch Meerson , Pavel V. Sasorov

Recently it has been shown that when an equation that allows so-called pulled fronts in the mean-field limit is modelled with a stochastic model with a finite number $N$ of particles per correlation volume, the convergence to the speed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Debabrata Panja , Wim van Saarloos

Consider the normalized partial sums of a real-valued function $F$ of a Markov chain, \[\phi_n:=n^{-1}\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}F(\Phi(k)),\qquad n\ge1.\] The chain $\{\Phi(k):k\ge0\}$ takes values in a general state space $\mathsf {X}$, with…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Sean P. Meyn

In this paper we study the variance of the Euler totient function (normalized to $\varphi(n)/n$) in the integers $\mathbb{Z}$ and in the polynomial ring $\mathbb{F}_q[T]$ over a finite field $\mathbb{F}_q$. It turns out that in…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-14 Tom van Overbeeke

We define a class of random measures, spatially independent martingales, which we view as a natural generalisation of the canonical random discrete set, and which includes as special cases many variants of fractal percolation and Poissonian…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-02-27 Pablo Shmerkin , Ville Suomala

Recent Monte Carlo simulations of a grafted semiflexible polymer in 1+1 dimensions have revealed a pronounced bimodal structure in the probability distribution of the transverse (bending) fluctuations of the free end, when the total contour…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 P. Benetatos , T. Munk , E. Frey

The zero bias distribution $W^*$ of $W$, defined though the characterizing equation $\mathit{EW}f(W)=\sigma^2Ef'(W^*)$ for all smooth functions $f$, exists for all $W$ with mean zero and finite variance $\sigma^2$. For $W$ and $W^*$ defined…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Larry Goldstein

We consider estimating the proportion of random variables for two types of composite null hypotheses: (i) the means or medians of the random variables belonging to a non-empty, bounded interval; (ii) the means or medians of the random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Xiongzhi Chen

Models of diffusion driven pattern formation that rely on the Turing mechanism are utilized in many areas of science. However, many such models suffer from the defect of requiring fine tuning of parameters or an unrealistic separation of…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2015-03-17 Thomas Butler , Nigel Goldenfeld

The theory of large deviations deals with the probabilities of rare events (or fluctuations) that are exponentially small as a function of some parameter, e.g., the number of random components of a system, the time over which a stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-03-01 Hugo Touchette

We extend results of Zeitouni-Zelditch on large deviations principles for zeros of Gaussian random polynomials $s$ in one complex variable to certain non-Gaussian ensembles that we call $P(\phi)_2$ random polynomials. The probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-20 Renjie Feng , Steve Zelditch

Using martingale methods, we obtain some upper bounds for large and moderate deviations of products of independent and identically distributed elements of GL d (R). We investigate all the possible moment conditions, from super-exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-25 Christophe Cuny , Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède