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Let $T$ be the Student one- or two-sample $t$-, $F$-, or Welch statistic. Now release the underlying assumptions of normality, independence and identical distribution and consider a more general case where one only assumes that the vector…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-23 Dmitrii Zholud

Let $(\xi_i,\mathcal{F}_i)_{i\geq1}$ be a sequence of martingale differences. Set $X_n=\sum_{i=1}^n \xi_i $ and $ \langle X \rangle_n=\sum_{i=1}^n \mathbf{E}(\xi_i^2|\mathcal{F}_{i-1}).$ We prove Cram\'er's moderate deviation expansions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Xiequan Fan , Qi-Man Shao

We introduce a method for the theoretical analysis of exponential random graph models. The method is based on a large-deviations approximation to the normalizing constant shown to be consistent using theory developed by Chatterjee and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-21 Sourav Chatterjee , Persi Diaconis

In the case of finite measures on finite spaces, we state conditions under which {\phi}- projections are continuously differentiable. When the set on which one wishes to {\phi}- project is convex, we show that the required assumptions are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-18 Gery Geenens , Ivan Kojadinovic , Tommaso Martini

Normal approximations for descents and inversions of permutations of the set $\{1,2,...,n\}$ are well known. A number of sequences that occur in practice, such as the human genome and other genomes, contain many repeated elements. Motivated…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-28 Mark Conger , D. Viswanath

This paper consists of two halves. In the first half of the paper, we consider real-valued functions $f$ whose domain is the vertex set of a graph $G$ and that are Lipschitz with respect to the graph distance. By placing a uniform…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-05-30 Matthew Yancey

In this article, we establish the mod-$\phi$ convergence of the major index of a uniform random standard tableau whose shape converges in the Thoma simplex. This implies various probabilistic estimates, in particular speed of convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-25 Pierre-Loïc Méliot , Ashkan Nikeghbali

We consider a Cox process with Poisson shot noise intensity which has been widely applied in insurance, finance, queue theory, statistic, and many other fields. Cox process is flexible because its intensity depends on not only the time but…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-03 Zailei Cheng , Youngsoo Seol

Large-deviations theory deals with tails of probability distributions and the rare events of random processes, for example spreading packets of particles. Mathematically, it concerns the exponential fall-of of the density of thin-tailed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-04 Erez Aghion , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

For a measure preserving transformation $T$ of a probability space $(X,\mathcal F,\mu)$ we investigate almost sure and distributional convergence of random variables of the form $$x \to \frac{1}{C_n} \sum_{i_1<n,...,i_d<n}…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-12-03 Manfred Denker , Mikhail Gordin

Nearest neighbor cells in $R^d,d\in\mathbb{N}$, are used to define coefficients of divergence ($\phi$-divergences) between continuous multivariate samples. For large sample sizes, such distances are shown to be asymptotically normal with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-06 Yu. Baryshnikov , Mathew D. Penrose , J. E. Yukich

We show that the fluctuations of the largest eigenvalue of any generalized Wigner matrix $H$ converge to the Tracy-Widom laws at a rate nearly $O(N^{-1/3})$, as the matrix dimension $N$ tends to infinity. We allow the variances of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Kevin Schnelli , Yuanyuan Xu

We investigate a class of stochastic fragmentation processes involving stable and unstable fragments. We solve analytically for the fragment length density and find that a generic algebraic divergence characterizes its small-size tail.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. L. Krapivsky , E. Ben-Naim , I. Grosse

Motivated by discrete kinetic models for non-cooperative molecular motors on periodic tracks, we consider random walks (also not Markov) on quasi one dimensional (1d) lattices, obtained by gluing several copies of a fundamental graph in a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-04-26 Alessandra Faggionato , Vittoria Silvestri

We define and study a natural category of graph limits. The objects are pairs $(\pi,\mu)$, where $\pi$ (the distribution of vertices) is an abstract probability measure on some abstract measurable space $(X,\mathcal{A})$ and $\mu$ (the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2026-03-04 Martin Doležal , Wiesław Kubiś

We consider the asymptotic behaviour of a family of unidimensional lattice fermion models, which are in exact correspondence with certain probability laws on partitions and on unitary matrices. These models exhibit limit shapes, and in the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-02-09 Harriet Walsh

We study the distribution of the area and perimeter of the convex hull of the "true" self-avoiding random walk in a plane. Using a Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling method, we obtain the distributions also in their far tails, down to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-10-31 Hendrik Schawe , Alexander K. Hartmann

This article studies the convergence rate of the sample mean for $\varphi$-mixing dependent random variables with finite means and infinite variances. Dividing the sample mean into sum of the average of the main parts and the average of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-20 F. Q. Tang , D. Han

This note examines the infinite divisibility of density-based transformations of normal random variables. We characterize a class of density-based transformations of normal variables which produces non-infinitely divisible distributions. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-03 A. Murillo-Salas , F. J. Rubio

The coarse spatial resolution of gridded climate models, such as general circulation models, limits their direct use in projecting socially relevant variables like extreme precipitation. Most downscaling methods estimate the conditional…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-06 Louise Largeau , Tom Beucler , David Leutwyler , Gregoire Mariethoz , Valerie Chavez-Demoulin , Erwan Koch
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