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As contemporary software-intensive systems reach increasingly large scale, it is imperative that failure detection schemes be developed to help prevent costly system downtimes. A promising direction towards the construction of such schemes…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-27 Alexey Artemov , Evgeny Burnaev

This paper addresses the open problem of conducting change-point analysis for interval-valued time series data using the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) framework. Motivated by financial time series, we analyze data that includes daily…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-15 Li-Hsien Sun , Zong-Yuan Huang , Chi-Yang Chiu , Ning Ning

In this paper we study the theoretical properties of the simultaneous multiscale change point estimator (SMUCE) proposed by Frick et al. (2014) in regression models with dependent error processes. Empirical studies show that in this case…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-15 Holger Dette , Theresa Schüler , Mathias Vetter

Sequential change point detection for multivariate autocorrelated data is a very common problem in practice. However, when the sensing resources are limited, only a subset of variables from the multivariate system can be observed at each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-02 Haijie Xu , Xiaochen Xian , Chen Zhang , Kaibo Liu

Moments when a time series changes its behavior are called change points. Occurrence of change point implies that the state of the system is altered and its timely detection might help to prevent unwanted consequences. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Mikhail Hushchyn , Kenenbek Arzymatov , Denis Derkach

A change point detection (CPD) framework assisted by a predictive machine learning model called "Predict and Compare" is introduced and characterised in relation to other state-of-the-art online CPD routines which it outperforms in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Anna-Christina Glock , Florian Sobieczky , Johannes Fürnkranz , Peter Filzmoser , Martin Jech

We study the problem of detecting multiple change points in the mean vectors of an independent sequence of high-dimensional observations. We propose a family of ridge-regularized CUSUM statistics built upon the adaptable ridge-regularized…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Haoran Li , Haotian Xu

We study the probabilistic behavior of persistence-based statistics and propose a novel nonparametric framework for detecting structural changes in high-dimensional random point clouds. We establish moment bounds and tightness results for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Toshiyuki Nakayama

Relative entropy, as a divergence metric between two distributions, can be used for offline change-point detection and extends classical methods that mainly rely on moment-based discrepancies. To build a statistical test suitable for this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-19 Matthieu Garcin , Louis Perot

Very long and noisy sequence data arise from biological sciences to social science including high throughput data in genomics and stock prices in econometrics. Often such data are collected in order to identify and understand shifts in…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-15 Yue S. Niu , Ning Hao , Heping Zhang

Multivariate time series may be subject to partial structural changes over certain frequency band, for instance, in neuroscience. We study the change point detection problem with high dimensional time series, within the framework of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-31 Xinyu Zhang , Kung-Sik Chan

The paper is about detecting changes in the parameters of certain parameterized stochastic models. We apply CUSUM (Cumulated Sums) type test statistics that are based on martingale difference sequences.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-22 Fanni Nedényi

Offline change point detection retrospectively locates change points in a time series. Many nonparametric methods that target i.i.d. mean and variance changes fail in the presence of nonlinear temporal dependence, and model based methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-19 Noah D. Gade , Jordan Rodu

The ability to detect change-points in a dynamic network or a time series of graphs is an increasingly important task in many applications of the emerging discipline of graph signal processing. This paper formulates change-point detection…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-19 Heng Wang , Minh Tang , Youngser Park , Carey E. Priebe

We provide an online framework for analyzing data recorded by smart watches during running activities. In particular, we focus on identifying variations in the behavior of one or more measurements caused by changes in physical condition,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-24 Mattia Stival , Mauro Bernardi , Petros Dellaportas

The goal of the change-point detection is to discover changes of time series distribution. One of the state of the art approaches of the change-point detection are based on direct density ratio estimation. In this work we show how existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Mikhail Hushchyn , Andrey Ustyuzhanin

Testing for change points in sequences of covariance matrices is an important and equally challenging problem in statistical methodology with applications in various fields. Motivated by the observation that even in cases where the ratio…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Nina Dörnemann , Holger Dette

We consider the change-point detection in multivariate continuous and integer valued time series. We propose a Wald-type statistic based on the estimator performed by a general contrast function; which can be constructed from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-29 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

From a sequence of similarity networks, with edges representing certain similarity measures between nodes, we are interested in detecting a change-point which changes the statistical property of the networks. After the change, a subset of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-06 Shanshan Cao , Yao Xie

This article introduces a novel Bayesian method for asynchronous change-point detection in multivariate time series. This method allows for change-points to occur earlier in some (leading) series followed, after a short delay, by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-28 Carson McKee , Maria Kalli
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