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Persistence-Based Statistics for Detecting Structural Changes in High-Dimensional Point Clouds

Statistics Theory 2025-12-30 v2 Algebraic Topology Probability Statistics Theory

Abstract

We study the probabilistic behavior of persistence-based statistics and propose a novel nonparametric framework for detecting structural changes in high-dimensional random point clouds. We establish moment bounds and tightness results for classical persistence statistics-total and maximum persistence-under general distributions, with explicit variance-scaling behavior derived for Gaussian mixture models. Building on these results, we introduce a bounded and normalized statistic based on persistence landscapes combined with the Jensen-Shannon divergence, and we prove its Holder continuity with respect to perturbations of the input point clouds. The resulting measure is stable, scale- and shift-invariant, and well suited for finite-sample nonparametric inference via permutation testing. An illustrative numerical study using dynamic attribute vectors from decentralized governance data demonstrates the practical applicability of the proposed method. Overall, this work provides a statistically rigorous and computationally stable approach to change-point detection in complex, high-dimensional data.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2511.00938,
  title  = {Persistence-Based Statistics for Detecting Structural Changes in High-Dimensional Point Clouds},
  author = {Toshiyuki Nakayama},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2511.00938},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

45 pages, 3 figures, under review