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In this paper we study the iterated birth process of which we examine the first-passage time distributions and the hitting probabilities. Furthermore, linear birth processes, linear and sublinear death processes at Poisson times are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-23 L. Beghin , E. Orsingher

In this paper we focus on spatial Markov population models, describing the stochastic evolution of populations of agents, explicitly modelling their spatial distribution, representing space as a discrete, finite graph. More specifically, we…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2016-10-27 Luca Bortolussi , Cheng Feng

We consider a spatial branching process with emigration in which children either remain at the same site as their parents or migrate to new locations and then found their own colonies. We are interested in asymptotics of the partition of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-15 Jean Bertoin

We study the full counting statistics of current of large open systems through the application of random matrix theory to transition-rate matrices. We develop a method for calculating the ensemble-averaged current-cumulant generating…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-31 Uliana Mordovina , Clive Emary

Recent statistical and computational analyses have shown that a genealogical most recent common ancestor (MRCA) may have lived in the recent past. However, coalescent-based approaches show that genetic most recent common ancestors for a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-05-15 Frederick A. Matsen , Steven N. Evans

A stochastic model, the product of a circulant matrix and a random normal vector, is shown to produce an evolutive long memory time series with a power law spectral density. The distribution of the time series, a beta location scale family…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Robert Kimberk

We consider a branching population where individuals live and reproduce independently. Their lifetimes are i.i.d. and they give birth at a constant rate b. The genealogical tree spanned by this process is called a splitting tree, and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-05 Nicolas Champagnat , Benoît Henry

We consider a stochastic population model where the intrinsic or demographic noise causes cycling between states before the population eventually goes extinct. A master equation approach coupled with a WKB (Wentzel-Kramers-Brillouin)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-12-16 Garrett Nieddu , Lora Billings , Eric Forgoston

We consider a population growth model given by a two-type continuous-state branching process with immigration and competition, introduced by Ma. We study the relative frequency of one of the types in the population when the total mass is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-07 Imanol Nuñez , José Luis Pérez

This is a survey of some recent results on the rational circulant covariance extension problem: Given a partial sequence $(c_0,c_1,\dots,c_n)$ of covariance lags $c_k=\mathbb{E}\{y(t+k)\overline{y(t)}\}$ emanating from a stationary periodic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-18 Anders Lindquist , Giorgio Picci

We describe the processes obtained by time reversal of a class of stationary jump-diffusion processes that model the dynamics of genetic variation in populations subject to repeated bottlenecks. Assuming that only one lineage survives each…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Martin Hutzenthaler , Jesse E. Taylor

The question of whether a population will persist or go extinct is of key interest throughout ecology and biology. Various mathematical techniques allow us to generate knowledge regarding individual behaviour, which can be analysed to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-28 Stuart T. Johnston , Matthew J. Simpson , Edmund J. Crampin

We introduce the following model for the evolution of a population. At every discrete time $j\geq 0$ exactly one individual is introduced in the population and is assigned a death probability $c_j$ sampled from $C$, a fixed probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-20 Luiz Renato Fontes , Fabio P. Machado , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We consider a population of particles with unit life length. Dying each particle produces offspring whose size depends on the random environment specifying the reproduction law of all particles of the given generation and on the number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-27 V. A. Vatutin , E. E. Dyakonova

We consider the Maki-Thompson model for the stochastic propagation of a rumour within a population. We extend the original hypothesis of homogenously mixed population by allowing for a small-world network embedding the model. This structure…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Elena Agliari , Angelica Pachon , Pablo M. Rodriguez , Flavia Tavani

We consider Markov jump processes describing structured populations with interactions via density dependance. We propose a Markov construction with a distinguished individual which allows to describe the random tree and random sample at a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Vincent Bansaye

Understanding how stochastic and non-linear deterministic processes interact is a major challenge in population dynamics theory. After a short review, we introduce a stochastic individual-centered particle model to describe the evolution in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-29 Regis Ferriere , Viet Chi Tran

We study a continuous time Mutually Catalytic Branching model on the $\mathbb{Z}^{d}$. The model describes the behavior of two different populations of particles, performing random walk on the lattice in the presence of branching, that is,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Alexandra Jamchi Fugenfirov , Leonid Mytnik

We study a branching random walk on $\r$ with an absorbing barrier. The position of the barrier depends on the generation. In each generation, only the individuals born below the barrier survive and reproduce. Given a reproduction law,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Bruno Jaffuel

We use the illness-death model (IDM) for chronic conditions to derive a new analytical relation between the transition rates between the states of the IDM. The transition rates are the incidence rate (i) and the mortality rates of people…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-23 Maryam Saem , Ralph Brinks