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Heliophysics theory and modeling build understanding from fundamental principles to motivate, interpret, and predict observations. Together with observational analysis, they constitute a comprehensive scientific program in heliophysics. As…

With the increasing impact of algorithmic decision-making on human lives, the interpretability of models has become a critical issue in machine learning. Counterfactual explanation is an important method in the field of interpretable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Ao Xu , Tieru Wu

Sphere packings are essential to the development of physical models for powders, composite materials, and the atomic structure of the liquid state. There is a strong scientific need to be able to assess the fit of packing models to data,…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-10-31 Jeffrey Picka

Cosmological probes pose an inverse problem where the measurement result is obtained through observations, and the objective is to infer values of model parameters which characterize the underlying physical system -- our Universe. Modern…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-21 Timur Takhtaganov , Zarija Lukic , Juliane Mueller , Dmitriy Morozov

Nuclear matter at finite temperature and barion density exhibits several phase transitions that could happen at the early stages of the Universe evolution and could be realized in heavy-ion or hadron-hadron collisions. Microscopic…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-02-26 V. I. Yukalov , E. P. Yukalova

We provide an analytical argument for understanding the likely nature of parameter shifts between those coming from an analysis of a dataset and from a subset of that dataset, assuming differences are down to noise and any intrinsic…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-28 Steven Gratton , Anthony Challinor

There is as yet no theoretical framework to guide the search for emergent constraints. As a result, there are significant risks that indiscriminate data-mining of the multidimensional outputs from GCMs could lead to spurious correlations…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-11-05 Mark S. Williamson , Peter M. Cox , Femke J. M. M. Nijsse

The Turing mechanism describes the emergence of spatial patterns due to spontaneous symmetry breaking in reaction-diffusion processes and underlies many developmental processes. Identifying Turing mechanisms in biological systems defines a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-20 David Schnörr , Christoph Schnörr

In this study, we investigate the impact of covariance within uncertainties on the inference of cosmological and astrophysical parameters, specifically focusing on galaxy stellar mass functions derived from the CAMELS simulation suite.…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-30 Yongseok Jo , Shy Genel , Joel Leja , Benjamin Wandelt

While efficient distribution learning is no doubt behind the groundbreaking success of diffusion modeling, its theoretical guarantees are quite limited. In this paper, we provide the first rigorous analysis on approximation and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-06 Kazusato Oko , Shunta Akiyama , Taiji Suzuki

The purpose of this article is to develop a general parametric estimation theory that allows the derivation of the limit distribution of estimators in non-regular models where the true parameter value may lie on the boundary of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Junichiro Yoshida , Nakahiro Yoshida

Diffusion models are powerful generative models that produce high-quality samples from complex data. While their infinite-data behavior is well understood, their generalization with finite data remains less clear. Classical learning theory…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-02 Claudia Merger , Sebastian Goldt

Simplified representations of macromolecules help in rationalising and understanding the outcome of atomistic simulations, and serve to the construction of effective, coarse-grained models. The number and distribution of coarse-grained…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2021-10-27 Roberto Menichetti , Marco Giulini , Raffaello Potestio

In recent years, disease mapping studies have become a routine application within geographical epidemiology and are typically analysed within a Bayesian hierarchical model formulation. A variety of model formulations for the latent level…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-07 Andrea Riebler , Sigrunn H. Sørbye , Daniel Simpson , Håvard Rue

The Ising model is a celebrated example of a Markov random field, introduced in statistical physics to model ferromagnetism. This is a discrete exponential family with binary outcomes, where the sufficient statistic involves a quadratic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-08 Somabha Mukherjee

The determination of the fundamental parameters of the Standard Model (and its extensions) is often limited by the presence of statistical and theoretical uncertainties. We present several models for the latter uncertainties (random,…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-04-26 Jérôme Charles , Sébastien Descotes-Genon , Valentin Niess , Luiz Vale Silva

The task of distribution generalization concerns making reliable prediction of a response in unseen environments. The structural causal models are shown to be useful to model distribution changes through intervention. Motivated by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-14 Kang Du , Yu Xiang

Matrix theories exhibit the phenomenon of spacetime emergence in certain regimes of their dynamics. In this work, I posit that the key to this emergence is a hierarchy between two timescales -- very slow modes that an observer measures plus…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2025-12-30 Vatche Sahakian

Reaction-diffusion (Turing) systems are fundamental to the formation of spatial patterns in nature and engineering. These systems are governed by a set of non-linear partial differential equations containing parameters that determine the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Jordon Kho , Winston Koh , Jian Cheng Wong , Pao-Hsiung Chiu , Chin Chun Ooi

I give a highly selective overview of the way statistical mechanics explains the microscopic origins of the time asymmetric evolution of macroscopic systems towards equilibrium and of first order phase transitions in equilibrium. These…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 Joel L. Lebowitz