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In this paper, we propose some representations of a generalized linear birth process called fractional Yule process (fYp). We also derive the probability distributions of the random birth and sojourn times. The inter-birth time distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Dexter O. Cahoy , Federico Polito

We study a fractional birth-death process with state dependent birth and death rates. It is defined using a system of fractional differential equations that generalizes the classical birth-death process introduced by Feller (1939). We…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-24 K. K. Kataria , P. Vishwakarma

The paper proposes a formal estimation procedure for parameters of the fractional Poisson process (fPp). Such procedures are needed to make the fPp model usable in applied situations. The basic idea of fPp, motivated by experimental data…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-08 Dexter Cahoy , Vladimir V. Uchaikin , Wojbor A. Woyczynski

In this article, we provide different representations for a time-fractional birth and death process $N_{\alpha}(t)$, whose transition probabilities are governed by a time-fractional system of differential equations. More specifically, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Jorge Littin

In this note we highlight the role of fractional linear birth and linear death processes recently studied in \citet{sakhno} and \citet{pol}, in relation to epidemic models with empirical power law distribution of the events. Taking…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-28 Roberto Garra , Federico Polito

We consider a fractional version of the classical nonlinear birth process of which the Yule--Furry model is a particular case. Fractionality is obtained by replacing the first order time derivative in the difference-differential equations…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Enzo Orsingher , Federico Polito

In this paper, we introduce and examine a fractional linear birth--death process $N_{\nu}(t)$, $t>0$, whose fractionality is obtained by replacing the time derivative with a fractional derivative in the system of difference-differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-28 Enzo Orsingher , Federico Polito

We present a generalization of the Yule model for macroevolution in which, for the appearance of genera, we consider point processes with the order statistics property, while for the growth of species we use nonlinear time-fractional pure…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Federico Polito

This paper is devoted to the study of a fractional version of non-linear $\mathpzc{M}^\nu(t)$, $t>0$, linear $M^\nu (t)$, $t>0$ and sublinear $\mathfrak{M}^\nu (t)$, $t>0$ death processes. Fractionality is introduced by replacing the usual…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-02 Enzo Orsingher , Federico Polito , Ludmila Sakhno

With the aim of considering models with persistent memory we propose a fractional nonlinear modification of the classical Yule model often studied in the context of macrovolution. Here the model is analyzed and interpreted in the framework…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Petr Lansky , Federico Polito , Laura Sacerdote

In 1990, Jakeman (see \cite{jakeman1990statistics}) defined the binomial process as a special case of the classical birth-death process, where the probability of birth is proportional to the difference between a fixed number and the number…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Meena Sanjay Babulal , Sunil Kumar Gauttam , Aditya Maheshwari

We introduce and study a fractional variant of the linear birth-death process, namely, the generalized fractional linear birth-death process (GFLBDP) which is defined by taking the regularized Hilfer-Prabhakar derivative in the system of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-12 Manisha Dhillon , Pradeep Vishwakarma , Kuldeep Kumar Kataria

Birth-and-death processes are widely used to model the development of biological populations. Although they are relatively simple models, their parameters can be challenging to estimate, because the likelihood can become numerically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Anthony C. Davison , Sophie Hautphenne , Andrea Kraus

We consider birth-and-death processes of objects (animals) defined in ${\bf Z}^d$ having unit death rates and random birth rates. For animals with uniformly bounded diameter we establish conditions on the rate distribution under which the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Roberto Fernandez , Pablo A. Ferrari , Gustavo R. Guerberoff

This contribution deals with identification of fractional-order dynamical systems. System identification, which refers to estimation of process parameters, is a necessity in control theory. Real processes are usually of fractional order as…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Deepyaman Maiti , Ayan Acharya , R. Janarthanan , Amit Konar

We propose a generalization of the classical M/M/1 queue process. The resulting model is derived by applying fractional derivative operators to a system of difference-differential equations. This generalization includes both non-Markovian…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Dexter O. Cahoy , Federico Polito , Vir V. Phoha

We investigate parameter estimation in subcritical continuous-time birth-and-death processes with multiple births. We show that the classical maximum likelihood estimators for the model parameters, based on the continuous observation of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Sophie Hautphenne , Emma Horton

Stochastic kinetic models are often used to describe complex biological processes. Typically these models are analytically intractable and have unknown parameters which need to be estimated from observed data. Ideally we would have…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-13 Richard J. Boys , Holly F. Ainsworth , Colin S. Gillespie

Birth-death processes track the size of a univariate population, but many biological systems involve interaction between populations, necessitating models for two or more populations simultaneously. A lack of efficient methods for…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-08 Lam Si Tung Ho , Jason Xu , Forrest W. Crawford , Vladimir N. Minin , Marc A. Suchard

The fractional Poisson process (FPP) generalizes the standard Poisson process by replacing exponentially distributed return times with Mittag-Leffler distributed ones with an extra tail parameter, allowing for greater flexibility. The FPP…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-12 Merle Mendel , Roland Fried
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