Related papers: Simulation and estimation for the fractional Yule …
This paper introduces a discrete-time fractional Poisson process defined as a renewal process, where the waiting times follow a discrete Mittag-Leffler distribution. We investigate its fundamental properties by explicitly deriving the…
We develop an efficient algorithm to find optimal observation times by maximizing the Fisher information for the birth rate of a partially observable pure birth process involving $n$ observations. Partially observable implies that at each…
Traditionally, fractional counting processes, such as the fractional Poisson process, etc. have been defined using fractional differential and integral operators. Recently, Laskin (2024) introduced a generalized fractional counting process…
In this paper, we introduce and examine a fractional linear birth--death process $N_{\nu}(t)$, $t>0$, whose fractionality is obtained by replacing the time derivative with a fractional derivative in the system of difference-differential…
In this paper we use numerical simulations to calculate the particle yields. We demonstrate that in the model of local particle creation the deviation from the pure exponential distribution is natural even in equilibrium, and an approximate…
In this paper we develop pivotal inference for the final (FPE) and relative final prediction error (RFPE) of linear forecasts in stationary processes. Our approach is based on a self-normalizing technique and avoids the estimation of the…
We consider the problem of estimating the fractional order of a L\'{e}vy process from low frequency historical and options data. An estimation methodology is developed which allows us to treat both estimation and calibration problems in a…
The fractional Poisson process (FPP) is a counting process with independent and identically distributed inter-event times following the Mittag-Leffler distribution. This process is very useful in several fields of applied and theoretical…
The Yule-Simon distribution is usually employed in the analysis of frequency data. As the Bayesian literature, so far, ignored this distribution, here we show the derivation of two objective priors for the parameter of the Yule-Simon…
Fractional Levy motion (fLm) is the natural generalization of fractional Brownian motion in the context of self-similar stochastic processes and stable probability distributions. In this paper we give an explicit derivation of the…
In this work we study the limit distribution of an appropriately normalized cophenetic index of the pure-birth tree conditioned on $n$ contemporary tips. We show that this normalized phylogenetic balance index is a submartingale that…
A mixed Gaussian fractional process $\{Y(t)\}_{t \in {\Bbb R}} = \{PX(t)\}_{t \in {\Bbb R}}$ is a multivariate stochastic process obtained by pre-multiplying a vector of independent, Gaussian fractional process entries $X$ by a nonsingular…
The fractional Poisson process (FPP) generalizes the standard Poisson process by replacing exponentially distributed return times with Mittag-Leffler distributed ones with an extra tail parameter, allowing for greater flexibility. The FPP…
We prove that the Barab\'asi-Albert model converges weakly to a set of generalized Yule models via an appropriate scaling. To pursue this aim we superimpose to its graph structure a suitable set of processes that we call the planted model…
We propose a nonparametric estimation for a class of fractional stochastic differential equations (FSDE) with random effects. We precisely consider general linear fractional stochastic differential equations with drift depending on random…
We study different fractional extensions of the Poisson process and generalized counting processes by introducing time-change represented by the inverse to the sums of stable and tempered stable subordinators. We state the governing…
The purpose of this work is to describe a duality between a fragmentation associated to certain Dirichlet distributions and a natural random coagulation. The dual fragmentation and coalescent chains arising in this setting appear in the…
The analysis of the output from a large scale computer simulation experiment can pose a challenging problem in terms of size and computation. We consider output in the form of simulated crop yields from the Environmental Policy Integrated…
In now classic work, David Kendall (1966) recognized that the Yule process and Poisson process could be related by a (random) time change. Furthermore, he showed that the Yule population size rescaled by its mean has an almost sure…
We consider a random process $Y(t)=\exp\{X(t)\}$, where $X(t)$ is a centered second-order process which correlation function $R(t,s)$ can be represented as $\int_{\mathbb{R}} u(t,y)\overline{u(s,y)} dy.$ A multiplicative wavelet-based…