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The fractional birth and the fractional death processes are more desirable in practice than their classical counterparts as they naturally provide greater flexibility in modeling growing and decreasing systems. In this paper, we propose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-30 Dexter O. Cahoy , Federico Polito

We present a generalization of the Yule model for macroevolution in which, for the appearance of genera, we consider point processes with the order statistics property, while for the growth of species we use nonlinear time-fractional pure…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Federico Polito

We consider a fractional version of the classical nonlinear birth process of which the Yule--Furry model is a particular case. Fractionality is obtained by replacing the first order time derivative in the difference-differential equations…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Enzo Orsingher , Federico Polito

With the aim of considering models with persistent memory we propose a fractional nonlinear modification of the classical Yule model often studied in the context of macrovolution. Here the model is analyzed and interpreted in the framework…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Petr Lansky , Federico Polito , Laura Sacerdote

The paper proposes a formal estimation procedure for parameters of the fractional Poisson process (fPp). Such procedures are needed to make the fPp model usable in applied situations. The basic idea of fPp, motivated by experimental data…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-08 Dexter Cahoy , Vladimir V. Uchaikin , Wojbor A. Woyczynski

We introduce and study a fractional variant of the linear birth-death process, namely, the generalized fractional linear birth-death process (GFLBDP) which is defined by taking the regularized Hilfer-Prabhakar derivative in the system of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-12 Manisha Dhillon , Pradeep Vishwakarma , Kuldeep Kumar Kataria

In 1990, Jakeman (see \cite{jakeman1990statistics}) defined the binomial process as a special case of the classical birth-death process, where the probability of birth is proportional to the difference between a fixed number and the number…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-15 Meena Sanjay Babulal , Sunil Kumar Gauttam , Aditya Maheshwari

In this article, we provide different representations for a time-fractional birth and death process $N_{\alpha}(t)$, whose transition probabilities are governed by a time-fractional system of differential equations. More specifically, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Jorge Littin

We study a fractional birth-death process with state dependent birth and death rates. It is defined using a system of fractional differential equations that generalizes the classical birth-death process introduced by Feller (1939). We…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-24 K. K. Kataria , P. Vishwakarma

We consider a stochastic process for the generation of species which combines a Yule process with a simple model for hybridization between pairs of co-existent species. We assume that the origin of the process, when there was one species,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-09-11 Krzysztof Bartoszek , Graham Jones , Bengt Oxelman , Serik Sagitov

Birth-death processes track the size of a univariate population, but many biological systems involve interaction between populations, necessitating models for two or more populations simultaneously. A lack of efficient methods for…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-08 Lam Si Tung Ho , Jason Xu , Forrest W. Crawford , Vladimir N. Minin , Marc A. Suchard

Fractional generalizations of the Poisson process and branching Furry process are considered. The link between characteristics of the processes, fractional differential equations and Levy stable densities are discussed and used for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-02-15 Vladimir V. Uchaikin , Dexter O. Cahoy , Renat T. Sibatov

In this paper, we introduce a generalized birth process (GBP) which performs jumps of size $1,2,\dots,k$ whose rates depend on the state of the process at time $t\geq0$. We derive a non-exploding condition for it. The system of differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 K. K. Kataria , M. Khandakar

We propose a generalization of the classical M/M/1 queue process. The resulting model is derived by applying fractional derivative operators to a system of difference-differential equations. This generalization includes both non-Markovian…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Dexter O. Cahoy , Federico Polito , Vir V. Phoha

In this note we highlight the role of fractional linear birth and linear death processes recently studied in \citet{sakhno} and \citet{pol}, in relation to epidemic models with empirical power law distribution of the events. Taking…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-28 Roberto Garra , Federico Polito

Stochastic modelling of fatigue (and other material's deterioration), as well as of cumulative damage in risk theory, are often based on compound sums of independent random variables, where the number of addends is represented by an…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-02 L. Beghin , J. Gajda , A. Maheshwari

This paper introduces the Generalized Space-Time Fractional Skellam Process (GSTFSP) and the Generalized Space Fractional Skellam Process (GSFSP). We investigate their distributional properties including the probability generating function…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-14 Kartik Tathe , Sayan Ghosh

A Yule tree is the result of a branching process with constant birth and death rates. Such a process serves as an instructive null model of many empirical systems, for instance, the evolution of species leading to a phylogenetic tree.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-04-02 Michael Sheinman , Florian Massip , Peter F. Arndt

In this paper, we use a linear birth and death process with immigration to model infectious disease propagation when contamination stems from both person-to-person contact and contact with the environment. Our aim is to estimate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-11 Ibrahim Bouzalmat , Benoîte de Saporta , Solym M. Manou-Abi

The Yule--Simon distribution has been out of the radar of the Bayesian community, so far. In this note, we propose an explicit Gibbs sampling scheme when a Gamma prior is chosen for the shape parameter. The performance of the algorithm is…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-04 Fabrizio Leisen , Luca Rossini , Cristiano Villa
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