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The problem of estimating the parameters of a linear regression model $Z(s,t)=m_1g_1(s,t)+ \cdots + m_pg_p(s,t)+U(s,t)$ based on observations of $Z$ on a spatial domain $G$ of special shape is considered, where the driving process $U$ is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-02 Sándor Baran , Kinga Sikolya

We consider a stochastic differential equation with additive fractional noise with Hurst parameter $H>1/2$, and a non-linear drift depending on an unknown parameter. We show the Local Asymptotic Normality property (LAN) of this parametric…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-07 Yanghui Liu , Eulalia Nualart , Samy Tindel

We study the first-passage dynamics of a non-Markovian stochastic process with time-averaged feedback, which we model as a one-dimensional Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process wherein the particle drift is modified by the empirical mean of its…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-16 Francesco Coghi , Romain Duvezin , John S. Wettlaufer

We will study the least square estimator $\hat{\theta}_{T,S}$ for the drift parameter $\theta$ of the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck sheet which is defined as the solution of the Langevin equation X_{t,s}= -\theta \int^{t}_{0} \int^{s}_{0}…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-06 Jorge Clarke De La Cerda , Ciprian Tudor

We study high-dimensional drift estimation for L\'evy-driven Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes based on discrete observations. Assuming sparsity of the drift matrix, we analyze Lasso and Slope estimators constructed from approximate likelihoods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Niklas Dexheimer , Natalia Jeszka

A non-parametric diffusion model with an additive fractional Brownian motion noise is considered in this work. The drift is a non-parametric function that will be estimated by two methods. On one hand, we propose a locally linear estimator…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-13 Bruno Saussereau

We present a method to infer the arbitrary space-dependent drift and diffusion of a nonlinear stochastic model driven by multiplicative fractional Gaussian noise from a single trajectory. Our method, fractional Onsager-Machlup optimisation…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-11-07 Johannes A. Kassel , Benjamin Walter , Holger Kantz

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating the lead-lag parameter between two stochastic processes driven by fractional Brownian motions (fBMs) of the Hurst parameter greater than 1/2. First we propose a lead-lag model between two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Kohei Chiba

We study the nonparametric Nadaraya-Watson estimator of the drift function for ergodic stochastic processes driven by fractional Brownian motion of Hurst parameter H > 1/2. The estimator is based on the discretely observed stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Han Yuecai , Zhang Dingwen

This paper studies one-dimensional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, with the distinguishing feature that they are reflected on a single boundary (put at level 0) or two boundaries (put at levels 0 and d>0). In the literature they are referred…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Gang Huang , Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

This paper deals with the problems of consistence and strong consistence of the maximum likelihood estimators of the mean and variance of the drift fractional Brownian motions observed at discrete time instants. A central limit theorem for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-28 Hu Yaozhong , Xiao Weilin , Zhang Weiguo

Piecewise $\alpha$-stable Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes arising in queue networks usually do not have an explicit dissipation, which makes the related numerical methods such as Euler-Maruyama (EM) scheme more difficult to analyze. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-11 Xinghu Jin , Guodong Pang , Yu Wang , Lihu Xu

In this article we study the asymptotic behaviour of the realized quadratic variation of a process $\int_{0}^{t}u_{s}dY_{s}^{(1)}$% , where $u$ is a $\beta$-H\"older continuous process with $\beta > 1-H$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-28 Salwa Bajja , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Lauri Viitasaari

The maximum likelihood approach is adapted to the problem of estimation of drift and diffusion functions of stochastic processes from measured time series. We reconcile a previously devised iterative procedure [Kleinhans et al., Physics…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Kleinhans , R. Friedrich

In the present paper we propose a new stochastic diffusion process with drift proportional to the Weibull density function defined as X $\epsilon$ = x, dX t = $\gamma$ t (1 - t $\gamma$+1) - t $\gamma$ X t dt + $\sigma$X t dB t , t…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-26 H Elotma

In this paper, we investigate a deep learning method for predicting path-dependent processes based on discretely observed historical information. This method is implemented by considering the prediction as a nonparametric regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-20 Xudong Zheng , Yuecai Han

We study the approximation of stochastic differential equations driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H>1/2$. For the mean-square error at a single point we derive the optimal rate of convergence that can be achieved…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-19 Andreas Neuenkirch

We discuss maximum likelihood estimation of parameters for models governed by a stochastic differential equation driven by a mixed fractional Brownian motion with random effects.

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-03 B. L. S. Prakasa Rao

In this work we present a Gaussian process that arise from the iteration of p fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes generated by the same fractional Brownian motion. This iteration results, when the values of lambdas are pairwise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-22 Juan Kalemkerian

The probability density is a fundamental quantity for characterizing diffusion processes. However, it is seldom known except in a few renowned cases, including Brownian motion and the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and their bridges, geometric…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-03-05 Alain Mazzolo