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We consider a controlled second order differential equation which is partially observed with an additional fractional noise. we study the asymptotic (for large observation time) design problem of the input and give an efficient estimator of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-09 Chunhao Cai , Wujun LV

In this paper, we study an approximation scheme for L\'evy processes with drift in terms of a representation that is akin to the celebrated Mehler formula for L\'evy-Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes. The approximation scheme is based on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Max Nendel

Bayesian inference provides a principled way of estimating the parameters of a stochastic process that is observed discretely in time. The overdamped Brownian motion of a particle confined in an optical trap is generally modelled by the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-02-01 Sudipta Bera , Shuvojit Paul , Rajesh Singh , Dipanjan Ghosh , Avijit Kundu , Ayan Banerjee , R. Adhikari

The fractional Ornstein-Uhleneck (fOU) process is described by the overdamped Langevin equation $\dot{x}(t)+\gamma x=\sqrt{2 D}\xi(t)$, where $\xi(t)$ is the fractional Gaussian noise with the Hurst exponent $0<H<1$. For $H\neq 1/2$ the fOU…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-03 Alexander Valov , Baruch Meerson

We consider the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, a stochastic process widely used in finance, physics, and biology. Parameter estimation of the OU process is a challenging problem. Thus, we review traditional tracking methods and compare…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-24 Jacob Fein-Ashley

We consider the paths of a Gaussian random process $x(t)$, $x(0)=0$ not exceeding a fixed positive level over a large time interval $(0,T)$, $T\gg 1$. The probability $p(T)$ of such event is frequently a regularly varying function at…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 G. Molchan , A. Khokhlov

In this brief note we give an upper bound for $P(\tau_u < T)$ with $T>0$, where $\tau_u$ is the exit time defined as $\tau_u:=\inf \{ t\geq 0 \, : \, X_t\geq u \}$ and $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ is the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes which…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-16 Wilson Cabanillas B

In the present paper, we consider that $N$ diffusion processes $X^1,\dots,X^N$ are observed on $[0,T]$, where $T$ is fixed and $N$ grows to infinity. Contrary to most of the recent works, we no longer assume that the processes are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Fabienne Comte , Nicolas Marie

Let $B^{H}$ be a $d$-dimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in(0,1)$, $f:[0,1]\longrightarrow\mathbb{R}^{d}$ a Borel function, and $E\subset[0,1]$, $F\subset\mathbb{R}^{d}$ are given Borel sets. The focus of this paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Mohamed Erraoui , Youssef Hakiki

Fractional Brownian motion is a self-affine, non-Markovian and translationally invariant generalization of Brownian motion, depending on the Hurst exponent $H$. Here we investigate fractional Brownian motion where both the starting and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-11-09 Mathieu Delorme , Kay Jörg Wiese

This paper deals with the consistency and a rate of convergence for a Nadaraya-Watson estimator of the drift function of a stochastic differential equation driven by an additive fractional noise. The results of this paper are obtained via…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-15 Fabienne Comte , Nicolas Marie

We consider a stochastic differential equation of the form $dr_t = (a - b r_t) dt + \sigma\sqrt{r_t}dW_t$, where $a$, $b$ and $\sigma$ are positive constants. The solution corresponds to the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. We study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-12 Olena Dehtiar , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

We consider Riemann sum approximations of stochastic integrals with respect to the fractional Browian motion of index $H\geq \frac12$. We show the convergence of these schemes at first and second order. The processes obtained in the limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-20 Valentin Garino , Ivan Nourdin , Pierre Vallois

This paper provides a precise error analysis for the maximum likelihood estimate $\hat{a}_{\text{ML}}(u_1^n)$ of the parameter $a$ given samples $u_1^n = (u_1, \ldots, u_n)'$ drawn from a nonstationary Gauss-Markov process $U_i = a U_{i-1}…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-03-29 Peida Tian , Victoria Kostina

We study the problem of unbiased estimation of expectations with respect to (w.r.t.) $\pi$ a given, general probability measure on $(\mathbb{R}^d,\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}^d))$ that is absolutely continuous with respect to a standard Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-26 Hamza Ruzayqat , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

This paper consider the LAN property for the mixed O-U process under high-frequency observation when H>3/4. As considered in mixed fractional Brownian motion, we will also use the projection step to get the non-diagonal rate matrix.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Chunhao Cai , Yiwu Shang , Cong Zhang

Let $B_H(\cdot)$ be a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1]$. Motivated by applications to maximal inequalities for fractional Brownian motion, in this note we derive bounds for…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-17 Krzysztof Debicki , Agata Tomanek

For fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H the Berman constant is defined. In this paper we consider a general random field (rf) Z that is a spectral rf of some stationary max-stable rf X and derive the properties of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Krzysztof Dębicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Zbigniew Michna

We study high-dimensional Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes driven by L\'evy noise and consider drift matrices that decompose into a low-rank plus sparse component, capturing a few latent factors together with a sparse network of direct…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Marina Palaisti

We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems where the slow motion is driven by fractional Brownian motion. We develop statistical estimators for both the Hurst index as well as a vector of unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-26 Solesne Bourguin , Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos
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