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Recursive Bayesian inference, in which posterior beliefs are updated in light of accumulating data, is a tool for implementing Bayesian models in applications with streaming and/or very large data sets. As the posterior of one iteration…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Henry R. Scharf

Machine learning predictions are increasingly used to supplement incomplete or costly-to-measure outcomes in fields such as biomedical research, environmental science, and social science. However, treating predictions as ground truth…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-29 Yilin Song , Dan M. Kluger , Harsh Parikh , Tian Gu

Model selection in machine learning (ML) is a crucial part of the Bayesian learning procedure. Model choice may impose strong biases on the resulting predictions, which can hinder the performance of methods such as Bayesian neural networks…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-09 Simón Rodríguez Santana , Luis A. Ortega , Daniel Hernández-Lobato , Bryan Zaldívar

Symbolic execution is an effective path oriented and constraint based program analysis technique. Recently, there is a significant development in the research and application of symbolic execution. However, symbolic execution still suffers…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Yufeng Zhang , Zhenbang Chen , Ji Wang

Reconstructing the evolutionary history relating a collection of molecular sequences is the main subject of modern Bayesian phylogenetic inference. However, the commonly used Markov chain Monte Carlo methods can be inefficient due to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-12 Tianyu Xie , Frederick A. Matsen , Marc A. Suchard , Cheng Zhang

Psi-calculi is a parametric framework for process calculi similar to popular pi-calculus extensions such as the explicit fusion calculus, the applied pi-calculus and the spi calculus. Mechanised proofs of standard algebraic and congruence…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Johannes Åman Pohjola

Recently several researchers have investigated techniques for using data to learn Bayesian networks containing compact representations for the conditional probability distributions (CPDs) stored at each node. The majority of this work has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-05-19 David Maxwell Chickering , David Heckerman , Christopher Meek

Much progress has been made in semi-supervised learning (SSL) by combining methods that exploit different aspects of the data distribution, e.g. consistency regularisation relies on properties of $p(x)$, whereas entropy minimisation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Carl Allen , Ivana Balažević , Timothy Hospedales

Process mining is a technique that performs an automatic analysis of business processes from a log of events with the promise of understanding how processes are executed in an organisation. Several models have been proposed to address this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-26 Catarina Moreira

Recursive Bayesian inference (RBI) provides optimal Bayesian latent variable estimates in real-time settings with streaming noisy observations. Active RBI attempts to effectively select queries that lead to more informative observations to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-11 Yeganeh M. Marghi , Aziz Kocanaogullari , Murat Akcakaya , Deniz Erdogmus

Optimal reconstruction of a source sequence from multiple noisy traces corrupted by random insertions, deletions, and substitutions typically requires joint processing of all traces, leading to computational complexity that grows…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Aria Nouri

This paper explores the role of independence of causal influence (ICI) in Bayesian network inference. ICI allows one to factorize a conditional probability table into smaller pieces. We describe a method for exploiting the factorization in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Nevin Lianwen Zhang , Li Yan

We derive a new Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) by formulating the problem of estimating the number of clusters in an observed data set as maximization of the posterior probability of the candidate models. Given that some mild…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-28 Freweyni K. Teklehaymanot , Michael Muma , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

Bayesian Likelihood-Free Inference (LFI) approaches allow to obtain posterior distributions for stochastic models with intractable likelihood, by relying on model simulations. In Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC), a popular LFI method,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-08 Lorenzo Pacchiardi , Ritabrata Dutta

Simulation-based inference (SBI) methods such as approximate Bayesian computation (ABC), synthetic likelihood, and neural posterior estimation (NPE) rely on simulating statistics to infer parameters of intractable likelihood models.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-06 Daolang Huang , Ayush Bharti , Amauri Souza , Luigi Acerbi , Samuel Kaski

Inference problems with conjectured statistical-computational gaps are ubiquitous throughout modern statistics, computer science and statistical physics. While there has been success evidencing these gaps from the failure of restricted…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Matthew Brennan , Guy Bresler

Causally insufficient structures (models with latent or hidden variables, or with confounding etc.) of joint probability distributions have been subject of intense study not only in statistics, but also in various AI systems. In AI, belief…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-06-04 Mieczysław A. Kłopotek

Targeting in-memory one-dimensional search keys, we propose a novel DIstribution-driven Learned Index tree (DILI), where a concise and computation-efficient linear regression model is used for each node. An internal node's key range is…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Pengfei Li , Hua Lu , Rong Zhu , Bolin Ding , Long Yang , Gang Pan

In this paper, we present a novel approach to accelerate the Bayesian inference process, focusing specifically on the nested sampling algorithms. Bayesian inference plays a crucial role in cosmological parameter estimation, providing a…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-17 Isidro Gómez-Vargas , J. Alberto Vázquez

Neuro-Symbolic Artificial Intelligence (NeSy AI) has emerged as a promising direction for integrating neural learning with symbolic reasoning. Typically, in the probabilistic variant of such systems, a neural network first extracts a set of…