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We construct and analyze an estimator of association between random variables based on their similarity in both direction and magnitude. Under special conditions, the proposed measure becomes a robust and consistent estimator of the linear…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Ilya Archakov

In this paper, we investigate the parameter estimation problem for reflected OU processes. Both the estimates based on continuously observed processes and discretely observed processes are considered. The explicit formulas for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-03 Han Yuecai , Zhang Dingwen

This is Part II of a two-part work on the estimation for a multi-layer generalized linear model (ML-GLM) in large system limits. In Part I, we had analyzed the asymptotic performance of an exact MMSE estimator, and obtained a set of coupled…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-21 Qiuyun Zou , Haochuan Zhang , Hongwen Yang

A class of multivariate spectral representations for real-valued nonstationary random variables is introduced, which is characterised by a general complex Gaussian distribution. In this way, the temporal signal properties -- harmonicity,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-29 Bruno Scalzo , Ljubisa Stankovic , Danilo P. Mandic

We propose a new estimator, the quadratic form estimator, of the Kronecker product model for covariance matrices. We show that this estimator has good properties in the large dimensional case (i.e., the cross-sectional dimension $n$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-23 Oliver B. Linton , Haihan Tang

We propose a unified framework for establishing existence of nonparametric M-estimators, computing the corresponding estimates, and proving their strong consistency when the class of functions is exceptionally rich. In particular, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-11 Johannes O. Royset , Roger J-B Wets

This paper proposes a desparsified GMM estimator for estimating high-dimensional regression models allowing for, but not requiring, many more endogenous regressors than observations. We provide finite sample upper bounds on the estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-11 Mehmet Caner , Anders Bredahl Kock

The central problem we address in this work is estimation of the parameter support set S, the set of indices corresponding to nonzero parameters, in the context of a sparse parametric likelihood model for discrete multivariate time series.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-07 Trevor D. Ruiz , Sharmodeep Bhattacharyya , Sarah C. Emerson

We derive generalization error bounds for traditional time-series forecasting models. Our results hold for many standard forecasting tools including autoregressive models, moving average models, and, more generally, linear state-space…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-18 Daniel J. McDonald , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Mark Schervish

We consider the problem of estimating a high-dimensional covariance matrix from a small number of observations when covariates on pairs of variables are available and the variables can have spatial structure. This is motivated by the…

The random matrix theory method of planar Gaussian diagrammatic expansion is applied to find the mean spectral density of the Hermitian equal-time and non-Hermitian time-lagged cross-covariance estimators, firstly in the form of master…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-22 Andrzej Jarosz

We propose leave-out estimators of quadratic forms designed for the study of linear models with unrestricted heteroscedasticity. Applications include analysis of variance and tests of linear restrictions in models with many regressors. An…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-28 Patrick Kline , Raffaele Saggio , Mikkel Sølvsten

We address structured covariance estimation in Elliptical distribution. We assume it is a priori known that the covariance belongs to a given convex set, e.g., the set of Toeplitz or banded matrices. We consider the General Method of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Ilya Soloveychik , Ami Wiesel

This paper introduces one new multivariate volatility model that can accommodate an appropriately defined network structure based on low-frequency and high-frequency data. The model reduces the number of unknown parameters and the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-28 Huiling Yuan , Guodong Li , Junhui Wang

This paper introduces a new fixed effects estimator for linear panel data models with clustered time patterns of unobserved heterogeneity. The method avoids non-convex and combinatorial optimization by combining a preliminary consistent…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-21 Martin Mugnier

We obtain Schauder estimates for a class of concave fully nonlinear nonlocal parabolic equations of order $\sigma\in (0,2)$ with rough and non-symmetric kernels. As a application, we prove that the solution to a translation invariant…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-04-07 Hongjie Dong , Hong Zhang

The Vector AutoRegressive Moving Average (VARMA) model is fundamental to the theory of multivariate time series; however, identifiability issues have led practitioners to abandon it in favor of the simpler but more restrictive Vector…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-09 Ines Wilms , Sumanta Basu , Jacob Bien , David S. Matteson

This article explores the existing normalizing and variance-stabilizing (NoVaS) method on predicting squared log-returns of financial data. First, we explore the robustness of the existing NoVaS method for long-term time-aggregated…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-05 Kejin Wu , Sayar Karmakar

We introduce and study Multi-Quantile estimators for the parameters $( \xi, \sigma, \mu)$ of Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distributions to provide a robust approach to extreme value modeling. Unlike classical estimators, such as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-03 Sen Lin , Ao Kong , Robert Azencott

GARCH models are useful tools in the investigation of phenomena, where volatility changes are prominent features, like most financial data. The parameter estimation via quasi maximum likelihood (QMLE) and its properties are by now well…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-07 László Varga , András Zempléni