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In this paper, we propose a novel variable selection approach in the framework of sparse high-dimensional GLARMA models. It consists in combining the estimation of the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) coefficients of these models with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-14 Céline Lévy-Leduc , Sarah Ouadah , Laure Sansonnet

In this work we consider the problem of estimating a high-dimensional $p \times p$ covariance matrix $\Sigma$, given $n$ observations of confounded data with covariance $\Sigma + \Gamma \Gamma^T$, where $\Gamma$ is an unknown $p \times q$…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-03 Rajen D. Shah , Benjamin Frot , Gian-Andrea Thanei , Nicolai Meinshausen

Here, we have analysed a GARCH(1,1) model with the aim to fit higher order moments for different companies' stock prices. When we assume a gaussian conditional distribution, we fail to capture any empirical data when fitting the first three…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-03-31 Luke De Clerk , Sergey Savel'ev

In a regression model with multiple response variables and multiple explanatory variables, if the difference of the mean vectors of the response variables for different values of explanatory variables is always in the direction of the first…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Koji Tsukuda , Shun Matsuura

The literature on multivariate time series is, largely, limited to either models based on the multivariate Gaussian distribution or models specifically developed for a given application. In this paper we develop a general approach which is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Jonas Andersson , Dimitris Karlis

This paper studies the inference of the regression coefficient matrix under multivariate response linear regressions in the presence of hidden variables. A novel procedure for constructing confidence intervals of entries of the coefficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-21 Xin Bing , Wei Cheng , Huijie Feng , Yang Ning

The generalized log-gamma (GLG) model is a very flexible family of distributions to analyze datasets in many different areas of science and technology. In this paper, we propose estimators which are simultaneously highly robust and highly…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-07 Claudio Agostinelli , Isabella Locatelli , Alfio Marazzi , Victor J. Yohai

The advantages of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) are exploited to develop parameter estimation and model selection methods for GARCH (Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) style models. It provides an alternative method…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-06 Dan Li , Adam Clements , Christopher Drovandi

We devise a simplified parameter estimator for a second order stochastic differential equation by a first order system based on the Smoluchowski-Kramers approximation. We establish the consistency of the estimator by using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-28 Ziying He , Jinqiao Duan , Xiujun Cheng

The estimation of linear causal models (also known as structural equation models) from data is a well-known problem which has received much attention in the past. Most previous work has, however, made an explicit or implicit assumption of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Patrik O. Hoyer , Shohei Shimizu , Antti J. Kerminen

This paper considers a semiparametric generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (S-GARCH) model. For this model, we first estimate the time-varying long run component for unconditional variance by the kernel estimator, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-05 Feiyu Jiang , Dong Li , Ke Zhu

We consider component-wise equivariant estimation of order restricted location/scale parameters of a general bivariate distribution under quite general conditions on underlying distributions and the loss function. This paper unifies various…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-05 Naresh Garg , Neeraj Misra

Consider the problem of joint parameter estimation and prediction in a Markov random field: i.e., the model parameters are estimated on the basis of an initial set of data, and then the fitted model is used to perform prediction (e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Martin J. Wainwright

Statistical inference on the explained variation of an outcome by a set of covariates is of particular interest in practice. When the covariates are of moderate to high-dimension and the effects are not sparse, several approaches have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-24 Hua Yun Chen

Existing models for high-dimensional time series are overwhelmingly developed within the finite-order vector autoregressive (VAR) framework. However, the more flexible vector autoregressive moving averages (VARMA) have been much less…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-01 Feiqing Huang , Kexin Lu , Yao Zheng

We consider estimation of a multivariate normal mean vector under sum of squared error loss. We propose a new class of smooth estimators parameterized by \alpha dominating the James-Stein estimator. The estimator for \alpha=1 corresponds to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-14 Yuzo Maruyama

This paper introduces a new kind of seasonal fractional autoregressive process (SFAR) driven by fractional Gaussian noise (fGn). The new model includes a standard seasonal AR model and fGn. {The estimation of the parameters of this new…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-01 Chunhao Cai , Yiwu Shang

In multivariate time series, the estimation of the covariance matrix of the observation innovations plays an important role in forecasting as it enables the computation of the standardized forecast error vectors as well as it enables the…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-02-04 K. Triantafyllopoulos

Classical regression analysis relates the expectation of a response variable to a linear combination of explanatory variables. In this article, we propose a covariance regression model that parameterizes the covariance matrix of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-03-01 Peter D. Hoff , Xiaoyue Niu

We study a generalized ARCH model with liquidity given by a general stationary process. We provide minimal assumptions that ensure the existence and uniqueness of the stationary solution. In addition, we provide consistent estimators for…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-25 Pauliina Ilmonen , Soledad Torres , Ciprian Tudor , Lauri Viitasaari , Marko Voutilainen