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A variety of estimators for the parameters of the Generalized Pareto distribution, the approximating distribution for excesses over a high threshold, have been proposed, always assuming the underlying data to be independent. We recently…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-26 Lukas Martig , Jürg Hüsler

We propose to use deep learning to estimate parameters in statistical models when standard likelihood estimation methods are computationally infeasible. We show how to estimate parameters from max-stable processes, where inference is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-02 Amanda Lenzi , Julie Bessac , Johann Rudi , Michael L. Stein

Max-stable distributions and processes are important models for extreme events and the assessment of tail risks. The full, multivariate likelihood of a parametric max-stable distribution is complicated and only recent advances enable its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-08 Clement Dombry , Sebastian Engelke , Marco Oesting

We consider nonlinear model predictive control (MPC) schemes without stabilizing terminal conditions, where the model used in the optimization step is generated based on input-output data only. We establish exponential stability for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Lea Bold , Irene Schimperna , Karl Worthmann , Johannes Köhler

We consider approximating analytic functions on the interval $[-1,1]$ from their values at a set of $m+1$ equispaced nodes. A result of Platte, Trefethen \& Kuijlaars states that fast and stable approximation from equispaced samples is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Ben Adcock , Alexei Shadrin

We consider a one-dimensional stationary time series of fixed duration $T$. We investigate the time $t_{\rm m}$ at which the process reaches the global maximum within the time interval $[0,T]$. By using a path-decomposition technique, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-11-23 Francesco Mori , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

Continuous-time Markov processes over finite state-spaces are widely used to model dynamical processes in many fields of natural and social science. Here, we introduce an maximum likelihood estimator for constructing such models from data…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-01 Robert T. McGibbon , Vijay S. Pande

We proposed a semi-parametric estimation procedure in order to estimate the parameters of a max-mixture model and also of a max-stable model (inverse max-stable model) as an alternative to composite likelihood. A good estimation by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-06 M. Ahmed , V Maume-Deschamps , P. Ribereau , C. Vial

Statistical modeling of multivariate and spatial extreme events has attracted broad attention in various areas of science. Max-stable distributions and processes are the natural class of models for this purpose, and many parametric families…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-09 Clement Dombry , Sebastian Engelke , Marco Oesting

In approximation of functions based on point values, least-squares methods provide more stability than interpolation, at the expense of increasing the sampling budget. We show that near-optimal approximation error can nevertheless be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Abdellah Chkifa , Matthieu Dolbeault

A finite point process is characterized by the distribution of the number of points (the size) of the process. In some applications, for example, in the context of packet flows in modern communication networks, it is of interest to infer…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-03 Ritwik Chaudhuri , Vladas Pipiras

The max-stable process is an asymptotically justified model for spatial extremes. In particular, we focus on the hierarchical extreme-value process (HEVP), which is a particular max-stable process that is conducive to Bayesian computing.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-25 Yuan Tian , Brian J. Reich

The structure of stationary first order max-autoregressive schemes with max-semi-stable marginals is studied. A connection between semi-selfsimilar extremal processes and this max-autoregressive scheme is discussed resulting in their…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-09 S Satheesh , E Sandhya

Large-scale Gaussian process models are becoming increasingly important and widely used in many areas, such as, computer experiments, stochastic optimization via simulation, and machine learning using Gaussian processes. The standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-02 Yongxiang Li , Qiang Zhou , Kwok Leung Tsui , Javier Cabrera

Aulbach et al. (2012) introduced the concept of D-norms in the framework of functional extreme value theory (EVT) extending the multivariate case in a natural manner. In particular, the distribution of a standard max-stable process (MSP)…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-04 Stefan Aulbach

Filtering and parameter estimation under partial information for multiscale problems is studied in this paper. After proving mean square convergence of the nonlinear filter to a filter of reduced dimension, we establish that the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-09 Andrew Papanicolaou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

We consider a process $Z$ on the real line composed from a L\'evy process and its exponentially tilted version killed with arbitrary rates and give an expression for the joint law of $Z$ seen from its supremum, the supremum $\overline Z$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-15 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

The randomized row method is a popular representative of the iterative algorithm because of its efficiency in solving the overdetermined and consistent systems of linear equations. In this paper, we present an extended randomized multiple…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-06 Nian-Ci Wu , Chengzhi Liu , Yatian Wang , Qian Zuo

We propose a principled method for projecting an arbitrary square matrix to the non-convex set of asymptotically stable matrices. Leveraging ideas from large deviations theory, we show that this projection is optimal in an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Wouter Jongeneel , Tobias Sutter , Daniel Kuhn

In this article, we quantify the functional convergence of the rescaled random walk with heavy tails to a stable process.This generalizes the Generalized Central Limit Theorem for stable random variables infinite dimension. We show that…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Lorick Huang , Laurent Decreusefond , Laure Coutin
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