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Max-stable random fields can be constructed according to Schlather (2002) with a random function or a stationary process and a kind of random event magnitude. These are applied for the modelling of natural hazards. We simply extend these…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-22 Mathias Raschke

Let a continuous random process $X$ defined on $[0,1]$ be $(m+\beta)$-smooth, $0\le m, 0<\beta\le 1$, in quadratic mean for all $t>0$ and have an isolated singularity point at $t=0$. In addition, let $X$ be locally like a $m$-fold…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-20 Konrad Abramowicz , Oleg Seleznjev

Due to complex physical phenomena, the distribution of heavy rainfall events is difficult to model spatially. Physically based numerical models can often provide physically coherent spatial patterns, but may miss some important…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-13 Marco Oesting , Philippe Naveau

For many expensive deterministic computer simulators, the outputs do not have replication error and the desired metamodel (or statistical emulator) is an interpolator of the observed data. Realizations of Gaussian spatial processes (GP) are…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-07 Pritam Ranjan , Ronald Haynes , Richard Karsten

We prove the strong consistency and the asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameters of a general conditionally heteroscedastic model with $\alpha$-stable innovations. Then, we relax the assumptions and only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-01 Guillaume Lepage

While max-stable processes are typically written as pointwise maxima over an infinite number of stochastic processes, in this paper, we consider a family of representations based on $\ell^p$ norms. This family includes both the construction…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-11 Marco Oesting

We introduce a class of spatial stochastic processes in the max-domain of attraction of familiar max-stable processes. The new class is based on Cox processes and comprises models with short range dependence. We show that statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-15 Martin Dirrler , Martin Schlather , Kirstin Strokorb

Mechanistic network models specify the mechanisms by which networks grow and change, allowing researchers to investigate complex systems using both simulation and analytical techniques. Unfortunately, it is difficult to write likelihoods…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Jonathan Larson , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

We study stationary max-stable processes $\{\eta(t)\colon t\in\mathbb R\}$ admitting a representation of the form $\eta(t)=\max_{i\in\mathbb N}(U_i+ Y_i(t))$, where $\sum_{i=1}^{\infty} \delta_{U_i}$ is a Poisson point process on $\mathbb…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-03 Sebastian Engelke , Zakhar Kabluchko

Motivated by the omnipresence of extreme value distributions in limit theorems involving extremes of random processes, we adapt Stein's method to include these laws as possible target distributions. We do so by using the generator approach…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-02 Bruno Costacèque , Laurent Decreusefond

The problem of the mean-square optimal linear estimation of linear functionals which depend on the unknown values of a multidimensional continuous time stationary stochastic process is considered. Estimates are based on observations of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Oleksandr Masyutka , Mikhail Moklyachuk , Maria Sidei

When passing from the univariate to the multivariate setting, modelling extremes becomes much more intricate. In this introductory exposition, classical multivariate extreme value theory is presented from the point of view of multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-25 Philippe Naveau , Johan Segers

Layered stable (multivariate) distributions and processes are defined and studied. A layered stable process combines stable trends of two different indices, one of them possibly Gaussian. More precisely, in short time, it is close to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-11 C. Houdré , R. Kawai

Max-stable random fields play a central role in modeling extreme value phenomena. We obtain an explicit formula for the conditional probability in general max-linear models, which include a large class of max-stable random fields. As a…

Computation · Statistics 2010-11-29 Yizao Wang , Stilian A. Stoev

For many environmental processes, recent studies have shown that the dependence strength is decreasing when quantile levels increase. This implies that the popular max-stable models are inadequate to capture the rate of joint tail decay,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-14 Raphael Huser , Thomas Opitz , Emeric Thibaud

Full likelihood-based inference for high-dimensional multivariate extreme value distributions, or max-stable processes, is feasible when incorporating occurrence times of the maxima; without this information, $d$-dimensional likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-01 J. L. Wadsworth

This paper is devoted to the prediction problem in extreme value theory. Our main result is an explicit expression of the regular conditional distribution of a max-stable (or max-infinitely divisible) process $\{\eta(t)\}_{t\in T}$ given…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-15 Clément Dombry , Frédéric Eyi-Minko

Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-31 Alexis Bienvenüe , Christian Y. Robert

We deal with the problem of the mean square optimal estimation of linear transformations of the unobserved values of a continuous time stochastic process with periodically correlated increments. Estimates are based on observations of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-12 Maksym Luz , Mikhail Moklyachuk

Multivariate peaks over thresholds modeling based on generalized Pareto distributions has up to now only been used in few and mostly 2-dimensional situations. This paper contributes theoretical understanding, physically based models,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-04 Holger Rootzén , Johan Segers , Jennifer L. Wadsworth