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Implementing Bayesian inference is often computationally challenging in applications involving complex models, and sometimes calculating the likelihood itself is difficult. Synthetic likelihood is one approach for carrying out inference…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-15 David T. Frazier , David J. Nott , Christopher Drovandi , Robert Kohn

Estimation of permutation entropy (PE) using Bayesian statistical methods is presented for systems where the ordinal pattern sampling follows an independent, multinomial distribution. It is demonstrated that the PE posterior distribution is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-02-09 Douglas J. Little , Joshua P. Toomey , Deb M. Kane

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and Belief Propagation (BP) are the most popular algorithms for computational inference in Graphical Models (GM). In principle, MCMC is an exact probabilistic method which, however, often suffers from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-12 Sungsoo Ahn , Michael Chertkov , Jinwoo Shin

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has become an essential part of the Bayesian toolbox for addressing problems in which the likelihood is prohibitively expensive or entirely unknown, making it intractable. ABC defines a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-14 Hien D. Nguyen , Julyan Arbel , Hongliang Lü , Florence Forbes

We propose an effective Bethe ansatz for solving quantum many-body systems near an integrable point. Our approach retains the functional form of the Bethe wave function while renormalizing the Bethe roots to account for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-07 Wenlong Zhao , Yunfeng Jiang , Rui-Dong Zhu

We describe expectation propagation for approximate inference in dynamic Bayesian networks as a natural extension of Pearl s exact belief propagation.Expectation propagation IS a greedy algorithm, converges IN many practical cases, but NOT…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Tom Heskes , Onno Zoeter

We introduce a new cluster-cumulant expansion (CCE) based on the fixed points of iterative belief propagation (IBP). This expansion is similar in spirit to the loop-series (LS) recently introduced in [1]. However, in contrast to the latter,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Max Welling , Andrew E. Gelfand , Alexander T. Ihler

New asymptotic approximations of the non-central $t$ distribution are given, a generalization of the Student's $t$ distribution. Using new integral representations, we give new asymptotic expansions for large values of the noncentrality…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Amparo Gil , Javier Segura , Nico M Temme

We show how the notion of message passing can be used to streamline the algebra and computer coding for fast approximate inference in large Bayesian semiparametric regression models. In particular, this approach is amenable to handling…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-07 M. P. Wand

Computing the partition function $Z$ of a discrete graphical model is a fundamental inference challenge. Since this is computationally intractable, variational approximations are often used in practice. Recently, so-called gauge…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-06 Sungsoo Ahn , Michael Chertkov , Jinwoo Shin , Adrian Weller

Inference and optimization of real-value edge variables in sparse graphs are studied using the Bethe approximation and replica method of statistical physics. Equilibrium states of general energy functions involving a large set of real…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-11 K. Y. Michael Wong , D. Saad

We describe a method to derive, from first principles, the long-distance asymptotic behavior of correlation functions of integrable models in the framework of the algebraic Bethe ansatz. We apply this approach to the longitudinal spin- spin…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-09-25 N. Kitanine , K. K. Kozlowski , J. M. Maillet , N. A. Slavnov , V. Terras

We address the problem of learning the parameters in graphical models when inference is intractable. A common strategy in this case is to replace the partition function with its Bethe approximation. We show that there exists a regime of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Uri Heinemann , Amir Globerson

This paper studies Graphical SLOPE for precision matrix estimation, with emphasis on its ability to recover both sparsity and clusters of edges with equal or similar strength. In a fixed-dimensional regime, we establish that the root-$n$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Ivan Hejný , Giovanni Bonaccolto , Philipp Kremer , Sandra Paterlini , Małgorzata Bogdan , Jonas Wallin

We consider belief propagation (BP) as an efficient and scalable tool for state estimation and optimization problems in supply networks such as power grids. BP algorithms make use of factor graph representations, whose assignment to the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-09 Tim Ritmeester , Hildegard Meyer-Ortmanns

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a popular method for approximate inference in generative models with intractable but easy-to-sample likelihood. It constructs an approximate posterior distribution by finding parameters for which…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-09 Kimia Nadjahi , Valentin De Bortoli , Alain Durmus , Roland Badeau , Umut Şimşekli

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is typically used when the likelihood is either unavailable or intractable but where data can be simulated under different parameter settings using a forward model. Despite the recent interest in ABC,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-24 Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee , Taylor Pospisil

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a popular inference method when likelihoods are hard to come by. Practical bottlenecks of ABC applications include selecting statistics that summarize the data without losing too much information or…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-15 Khanh N. Dinh , Cécile Liu , Zijin Xiang , Zhihan Liu , Simon Tavaré

Theoretical attempts proposed so far to describe ordinary percolation processes on real-world networks rely on the locally tree-like ansatz. Such an approximation, however, holds only to a limited extent, as real graphs are often…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-30 Filippo Radicchi , Claudio Castellano

Conventional approximations to Bayesian inference rely on either approximations by statistics such as mean and covariance or by point particles. Recent advances such as the ensemble Gaussian mixture filter have generalized these notions to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Andrey A Popov