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We investigate the impact of available information on the estimation of the default probability within a generalized structural model for credit risk. The traditional structural model where default is triggered when the value of the firm's…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-19 Imke Redeker , Ralf Wunderlich

In the accompanied paper [14], a delayed nonlinear model for pricing corporate liabilities was developed. Using self-financed strategy and duplication we were able to derive two Random Partial Differential Equations (RPDEs) describing the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-04-09 Elisabeth Kemajou , Antoine Tambue , Salah Mohammed

This work has the objective of estimating default probabilities and correlations of credit portfolios given default rate information through a Bayesian framework using Stan. We use Vasicek's single factor credit model to establish the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-23 Jesus A. Pinera-Esquivel

In this paper we introduce a class of information-based models for the pricing of fixed-income securities. We consider a set of continuous- time information processes that describe the flow of information about market factors in a monetary…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-27 Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

To construct a no-arbitrage defaultable bond market, we work on the state price density framework. Using the heat kernel approach (HKA for short) with the killing of a Markov process, we construct a single defaultable bond market that…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-24 Yuta Inoue , Takahiro Tsuchiya

The aim of this paper is to introduce a new formalism for the deterministic analysis associated with backward stochastic differential equations driven by general c{\`a}dl{\`a}g martingales. When the martingale is a standard Brownian motion,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Ismail Laachir , Francesco Russo

This paper presents a new method to assess default risk based on applying the CEV process to the KMV model. We find that the volatility of the firm asset value may not be a constant, so we assume the firm's asset value dynamics are given by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-23 Wen Su

In the classical model of stock prices which is assumed to be Geometric Brownian motion, the drift and the volatility of the prices are held constant. However, in reality, the volatility does vary. In quantitative finance, the Heston model…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-21 Arunangshu Biswas , Anindya Goswami , Ludger Overbeck

We extend the valuation of contingent claims in presence of default, collateral and funding to a random functional setting and characterise pre-default value processes by martingales. Pre-default value semimartingales can also be described…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Damiano Brigo , Federico Graceffa , Alexander Kalinin

Measuring the corporate default risk is broadly important in economics and finance. Quantitative methods have been developed to predictively assess future corporate default probabilities. However, as a more difficult yet crucial problem,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-26 Miao Yuan , Cheng Yong Tang , Yili Hong , Jian Yang

Multi-asset option pricing under local- and stochastic-volatility models leads naturally to high-dimensional parabolic PDEs. We develop an end-to-end quantum PDE framework for European option pricing under local-volatility Black--Scholes…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-27 Nikita Guseynov , Nana Liu , Chi Seng Pun , Tushar Vaidya

We consider option pricing using a discrete-time Markov switching stochastic volatility with co-jump model, which can model volatility clustering and varying mean-reversion speeds of volatility. For pricing European options, we develop a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-29 Michael C. Fu , Bingqing Li , Rongwen Wu , Tianqi Zhang

Although persistent excitation is often acknowledged as a sufficient condition to exponentially converge in the field of adaptive parameter estimation, it must be noted that in practical applications this may be unguaranteed. Recently, more…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-19 Siyu Chen , Jing Na , Yingbo Huang

The purpose of this paper is to study the generalized Fong--Vasicek two-factor interest rate model with stochastic volatility. In this model the dispersion of the stochastic short rate (square of volatility) is assumed to be stochastic as…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 B. Stehlikova , D. Sevcovic

We present a general framework for the estimation of corporate default based on a firm's capital structure, when its assets are assumed to follow a pure jump L\'evy processes; this setup provides a natural extension to usual default metrics…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-13 Jean-Philippe Aguilar , Nicolas Pesci , Victor James

This study proposes a stochastic model for loss-given-default (LGD) which provides the LGD distribution based on credit market and company-specific financial conditions. The model utilizes last passage time of a linear diffusion…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-04 Masahiko Egami , Rusudan Kevkhishvili

In this study, we introduce new estimation methods for the required rate of return of the stochastic dividend discount model (DDM) and the private company valuation model, which will appear below. To estimate the required rate of return, we…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-07 Battulga Gankhuu

We introduce a Vasicek-type short rate model which has two additional parameters representing memory effect. This model presents better results in yield curve fitting than the classical Vasicek model. We derive closed-form expressions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-04 Akihiko Inoue , Shingo Moriuchi , Yusuke Nakamura

This paper presents closed-form analytical formulas for pricing volatility and variance derivatives with nonlinear payoffs under discrete-time observations. The analysis is based on a probabilistic approach assuming that the underlying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-19 Nontawat Bunchak , Udomsak Rakwongwan , Phiraphat Sutthimat

In this paper, we study a continuous time structural asset value model for two correlated firms using a two-dimensional Brownian motion. We consider the situation of incomplete information, where the information set available to the market…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-28 Wai-Ki Ching , Jia-Wen Gu , Harry Zheng