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We present an information-based uncertainty quantification method for general Markov Random Fields. Markov Random Fields (MRF) are structured, probabilistic graphical models over undirected graphs, and provide a fundamental unifying…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-20 Panagiota Birmpa , Markos A. Katsoulakis

The comprehensive integration of machine learning healthcare models within clinical practice remains suboptimal, notwithstanding the proliferation of high-performing solutions reported in the literature. A predominant factor hindering…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-12 Ling Huang , Su Ruan , Yucheng Xing , Mengling Feng

Fiber orientation is decisive for the mechanical performance of composite materials. During manufacturing, variations in material and process parameters can influence fiber orientation. We employ multilevel polynomial surrogates to model…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Stjepan Salatovic , Sebastian Krumscheid , Florian Wittemann , Luise Kärger

Quantifying uncertainties for machine learning models is a critical step to reduce human verification effort by detecting predictions with low confidence. This paper proposes a method for uncertainty quantification (UQ) of table structure…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Kehinde Ajayi , Leizhen Zhang , Yi He , Jian Wu

We consider the problem of camouflaging for bodies with specular surface in the framework of geometric optics. The index of visibility introduced in [Plakhov 2017] measures the mean deviation of light rays incident on the body's surface. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-10 Alexander Plakhov , Vera Roshchina

Motivated by inequalities in Fourier analysis, we present an improvement on the lower bound for the sign uncertainty principle of Bourgain, Clozel and Kahane in high dimensions. Additionally, our methods can be used to match the existing…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2025-05-23 Roni Edwin

Effective quantification of uncertainty is an essential and still missing step towards a greater adoption of deep-learning approaches in different applications, including mission-critical ones. In particular, investigations on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-14 Marco Forgione , Dario Piga

This paper develops a class of potential outcomes models characterized by three main features: (i) Unobserved heterogeneity can be represented by a vector of potential outcomes and a type describing the manner in which an instrument…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-10 Manu Navjeevan , Rodrigo Pinto , Andres Santos

By use of window functions, time-frequency analysis tools like Short Time Fourier Transform overcome a shortcoming of the Fourier Transform and enable us to study the time- frequency characteristics of signals which exhibit transient os-…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-07-25 Sangnam Nam

Parameter inference and uncertainty quantification are important steps when relating mathematical models to real-world observations, and when estimating uncertainty in model predictions. However, methods for doing this can be…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-27 Michael J. Plank , Matthew J. Simpson

Attribution scores reflect how important the feature values in an input entity are for the output of a machine learning model. One of the most popular attribution scores is the SHAP score, which is an instantiation of the general Shapley…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-14 Santiago Cifuentes , Leopoldo Bertossi , Nina Pardal , Sergio Abriola , Maria Vanina Martinez , Miguel Romero

We present strategies to quantify theoretical uncertainties in modern ab-initio calculations of electromagnetic observables in light and medium-mass nuclei. We discuss how uncertainties build up from various sources, such as the…

Plasticity is one of the most important properties of the nervous system, which enables animals to adjust their behavior to the ever-changing external environment. Changes in synaptic efficacy between neurons constitute one of the major…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2018-01-23 Taishi Iwasaki , Hideitsu Hino , Masami Tatsuno , Shotaro Akaho , Noboru Murata

In this PhD thesis, we propose a novel framework for uncertainty quantification in machine learning, which is based on proper scores. Uncertainty quantification is an important cornerstone for trustworthy and reliable machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Sebastian G. Gruber

The goals of this chapter are twofold. First, we wish to introduce molecular dynamics (MD) and uncertainty quantification (UQ) in a common setting in order to demonstrate how the latter can increase confidence in the former. In some cases,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-01-09 Paul N. Patrone , Andrew Dienstfrey

Complexity of the problem of choosing among uncertain acts is a salient feature of many of the environments in which departures from expected utility theory are observed. I propose and axiomatize a model of choice under uncertainty in which…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-10-17 Quitzé Valenzuela-Stookey

Surface normal estimation from a single image is an important task in 3D scene understanding. In this paper, we address two limitations shared by the existing methods: the inability to estimate the aleatoric uncertainty and lack of detail…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Gwangbin Bae , Ignas Budvytis , Roberto Cipolla

Uncertainty quantification in automated image analysis is highly desired in many applications. Typically, machine learning models in classification or segmentation are only developed to provide binary answers; however, quantifying the…

Mode shape information play the essential role in deciding the spatial pattern of vibratory response of a structure. The uncertainty quantification of mode shape, i.e., predicting mode shape variation when the structure is subjected to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-02-24 Kai Zhou , Jiong Tang

Information-theory based variational principles have proven effective at providing scalable uncertainty quantification (i.e. robustness) bounds for quantities of interest in the presence of nonparametric model-form uncertainty. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Jeremiah Birrell , Luc Rey-Bellet
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