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Related papers: A Defect in Dempster-Shafer Theory

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In many areas of engineering and sciences, decision rules and control strategies are usually designed based on nominal values of relevant system parameters. To ensure that a control strategy or decision rule will work properly when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Xinjia Chen

This article is an extension of the results of two earlier articles. In [J. Schubert, On nonspecific evidence, Int. J. Intell. Syst. 8 (1993) 711-725] we established within Dempster-Shafer theory a criterion function called the metaconflict…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Johan Schubert

Results on approximate deduction in the context of the calculus of evidence of Dempster-Shafer and the theory of interval probabilities are reported. Approximate conditional knowledge about the truth of conditional propositions was assumed…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Enrique H. Ruspini

Shafer's belief functions were introduced in the seventies of the previous century as a mathematical tool in order to model epistemic probability. One of the reasons that they were not picked up by mainstream probability was the lack of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-27 Timber Kerkvliet , Ronald Meester

I think we can agree that dealing with uncertainty is not easy. Probability is the main tool for dealing with uncertainty, and we know there are many probability-related puzzles and paradoxes. Here I describe a rather idiosyncratic…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-01-19 Yudi Pawitan

We explore the interplay between random and deterministic phenomena using a representation of uncertainty based on the measure-theoretic concept of outer measure. The meaning of the analogues of different probabilistic concepts is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-21 Jeremie Houssineau

Developing a general information processing model in uncertain environments is fundamental for the advancement of explainable artificial intelligence. Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence is a well-known and effective reasoning method for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Qianli Zhou , Tianxiang Zhan , Yong Deng

Dempster-Shafer Theory (DST) generalizes Bayesian probability theory, offering useful additional information, but suffers from a high computational burden. A lot of work has been done to reduce the complexity of computations used in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-15 Maxime Chaveroche , Franck Davoine , Véronique Cherfaoui

A considerable body of work in AI has been concerned with aggregating measures of confirmatory and disconfirmatory evidence for a common set of propositions. Claiming classical probability to be inadequate or inappropriate, several…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Benjamin N. Grosof

Belief and plausibility are weaker measures of uncertainty than that of probability. They are motivated by the situations when full probabilistic information is not available. However, information can also be contradictory. Therefore, the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Sabine Frittella , Ondrej Majer , Sajad Nazari

Jeffrey's rule of conditioning has been proposed in order to revise a probability measure by another probability function. We generalize it within the framework of the models based on belief functions. We show that several forms of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Philippe Smets

We present an alternative approach to modeling Einstein-Podolsky-Rosen-Bohm (EPRB)-type experiments. The basis for our approach will be to replace the conventional Kolmogorov theory of probability, with the more general Dempster-Schafer…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-04-24 Adam Stokes

Dempster-Shafer Theory (DST) provides a powerful framework for modeling uncertainty and has been widely applied to multi-attribute classification tasks. However, traditional DST-based attribute fusion-based classifiers suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Qiying Hu , Yingying Liang , Qianli Zhou , Witold Pedrycz

This paper presents several classes of fusion problems which cannot be directly attacked by the classical mathematical theory of evidence, also known as the Dempster-Shafer Theory (DST) either because the Shafer's model for the frame of…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jean Dezert , Florentin Smarandache

Shafer's theory of belief and the Bayesian theory of probability are two alternative and mutually inconsistent approaches toward modelling uncertainty in artificial intelligence. To help reduce the conflict between these two approaches,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Robert F. Bordley

This paper discusses belief revision under uncertain inputs in the framework of possibility theory. Revision can be based on two possible definitions of the conditioning operation, one based on min operator which requires a purely ordinal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Didier Dubois , Henri Prade

The main goal of this paper is to describe an axiomatic utility theory for Dempster-Shafer belief function lotteries. The axiomatic framework used is analogous to von Neumann-Morgenstern's utility theory for probabilistic lotteries as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-07-16 Thierry Denoeux , Prakash P. Shenoy

In this paper, an empirical evaluation of three inference methods for uncertain reasoning is presented in the context of Pathfinder, a large expert system for the diagnosis of lymph-node pathology. The inference procedures evaluated are (1)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-01-26 David Heckerman

In pattern recognition, handling uncertainty is a critical challenge that significantly affects decision-making and classification accuracy. Dempster-Shafer Theory (DST) is an effective reasoning framework for addressing uncertainty, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Juntao Xu , Tianxiang Zhan , Yong Deng

Outer measures can be used for statistical inference in place of probability measures to bring flexibility in terms of model specification. The corresponding statistical procedures such as Bayesian inference, estimators or hypothesis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Jeremie Houssineau , Neil K. Chada , Emmanuel Delande