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An inductive probabilistic classification rule must generally obey the principles of Bayesian predictive inference, such that all observed and unobserved stochastic quantities are jointly modeled and the parameter uncertainty is fully…
The celebrated theorem of Chung, Graham, and Wilson on quasirandom graphs implies that if the 4-cycle and edge counts in a graph $G$ are both close to their typical number in $\mathbb{G}(n,1/2),$ then this also holds for the counts of…
Simultaneous confidence intervals (SCIs) that are compatible with a given closed test procedure are often non-informative. More precisely, for a one-sided null hypothesis, the bound of the SCI can stick to the border of the null hypothesis,…
The classical random graph model $G(n,\lambda/n)$ satisfies a `duality principle', in that removing the giant component from a supercritical instance of the model leaves (essentially) a subcritical instance. Such principles have been proved…
We introduce binomial edge ideals attached to a simple graph $G$ and study their algebraic properties. We characterize those graphs for which the quadratic generators form a Gr\"obner basis in a lexicographic order induced by a vertex…
Lattice Conditional Independence models are a class of models developed first for the Gaussian case in which a distributive lattice classifies all the conditional independence statements. The main result is that these models can…
Let $S$ be a semigroup (written multiplicatively). Endowed with the operation of setwise multiplication induced by $S$ on its parts, the non-empty subsets of $S$ form themselves a semigroup, denoted by $\mathcal P(S)$. Accordingly, we say…
Inference on the parametric part of a semiparametric model is no trivial task. If one approximates the infinite dimensional part of the semiparametric model by a parametric function, one obtains a parametric model that is in some sense…
In the partially-observed outcome setting, a recent set of proposals known as "prediction-powered inference" (PPI) involve (i) applying a pre-trained machine learning model to predict the response, and then (ii) using these predictions to…
We consider the problem of inferring the conditional independence graph (CIG) of a multivariate stationary dicrete-time Gaussian random process based on a finite length observation. Using information-theoretic methods, we derive a lower…
Conditional independence has been widely used in AI, causal inference, machine learning, and statistics. We introduce categoroids, an algebraic structure for characterizing universal properties of conditional independence. Categoroids are…
For $q\in\mathbb{R}$, the $Q$-matrix $Q=Q_q$ of a connected simple graph $G=(V,E)$ is $Q_q=(q^{\partial(x,y)})_{x,y\in V}$, where $\partial$ denotes the path-length distance. Describing the set $\pi(G)$ consisting of those $q\in \mathbb{R}$…
The local Markov condition for a DAG to be an independence map of a probability distribution is well known. For DAGs with latent variables, represented as bi-directed edges in the graph, the local Markov property may invoke exponential…
One of the common obstacles for learning causal models from data is that high-order conditional independence (CI) relationships between random variables are difficult to estimate. Since CI tests with conditioning sets of low order can be…
In probabilistic modelling, joint distributions are often of more interest than their marginals, but the standard composition of stochastic channels is defined by marginalization. Last year at ACT, the notion of 'copy-composition' was…
Conditional independence in a multivariate normal (or Gaussian) distribution is characterized by the vanishing of subdeterminants of the distribution's covariance matrix. Gaussian conditional independence models thus correspond to algebraic…
Probabilistic independence is a useful concept for describing the result of random sampling---a basic operation in all probabilistic languages---and for reasoning about groups of random variables. Nevertheless, existing verification methods…
It is well-known that the notion of (strong) conditional independence (CI) is too restrictive to capture independencies that only hold in certain contexts. This kind of contextual independency, called context-strong independence (CSI), can…
A graph is well-covered if all its maximal independent sets are of the same cardinality (Plummer, 1970). If G is a well-covered graph, has at least two vertices, and G-v is well-covered for every vertex v, then G is a 1-well-covered graph…
A pseudo [2,b]-factor of a graph G is a spanning subgraph in which each component C on at least three vertices is a [2,b]-graph. The main contibution of this paper, is to give an upper bound to the number of components that are edges or…