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We consider polling models in the sense of Takagi (MIT Press, 1986). In our case, the feature of the server is that it may be forced to wait idly for new messages at an empty queue instead of switching to the next station. We propose four…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-15 Frank Aurzada , Sebastian Schwinn

In settings ranging from weather forecasts to political prognostications to financial projections, probability estimates of future binary outcomes often evolve over time. For example, the estimated likelihood of rain on a specific day…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-05 Zhiyuan Jerry Lin , Hao Sheng , Sharad Goel

We study the evolution of observables of dynamical systems. For linear systems, we show that observables satisfy a closed differential equation whose minimal order is determined by the dynamical system and observation operator. This yields…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Xinyu Liu , Dongbin Xiu

Consider an urn initially containing $b$ black and $w$ white balls. Select a ball at random and observe its color. If it is black, stop. Otherwise, return the white ball together with another white ball to the urn. Continue selecting at…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-05 Norbert Henze , Mark P. Holmes

We use a method of Luczak (arXiv:1212.3231) to investigate the equilibrium distribution of a dynamic routing model on a network. In this model, there are $n$ nodes, each pair joined by a link of capacity $C$. For each pair of nodes, calls…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-24 Graham Brightwell , Malwina Luczak

In this note we evaluate the expected waiting time to complete a collection of coupons, in the case of coupons which arrives in groups of constant size, independently and with unequal probabilities. As an application we will be able to…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-08 Marco Ferrante , Nadia Frigo

Anticipated synchronisation occurs when a driven dynamical system synchronises with the future state of the driver system to which it is unidirectionally coupled. Previous theoretical and experimental studies have focused on setups with a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-04 David Ortiz del Campo , Tobias Galla , Raúl Toral

A simple iteration methodology for the solution of a set of a linear algebraic equations is presented. The explanation of this method is based on a pure geometrical interpretation and pictorial representation. Convergence using this method…

Computational Physics · Physics 2010-12-30 Avas V. Khugaev , Renat A. Sultanov , D. Guster

A general principle is advanced allowing the classification of nonunique solutions to nonlinear evolution equations, corresponding to different spatio-temporal patterns. This is done by defining the probability distribution of patterns,…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 V. I. Yukalov

We determine the distributions of lengths of runs in random sequences of elements from a totally ordered set (total order) or partially ordered set (partial order). In particular, we produce novel formulae for the expected value, variance,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-15 Tanner Reese

We propose a simple doubly stochastic block Gauss--Seidel algorithm for solving linear systems of equations. By varying the row partition parameter and the column partition parameter of the coefficient matrix, we recover the Landweber…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-09 Kui Du , Xiaohui Sun

The pattern $(k_1, k_2, \dots, k_\ell)$ is defined to have at least $k_1$ consecutive $1$'s followed by at least $k_2$ consecutive $2$'s, $\dots$, followed by at least $k_\ell$ consecutive $\ell$'s. By iteratively applying the method that…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Yong Kong

The linearizability of differential equations was first considered by Lie for scalar second order semi-linear ordinary differential equations. Since then there has been considerable work done on the algebraic classification of linearizable…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2008-04-25 Asghar Qadir

It is commonly required to detect change points in sequences of random variables. In the most difficult setting of this problem, change detection must be performed sequentially with new observations being constantly received over time.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-08 Gordon J Ross

Motivated by a recent work of Tr\"umper we consider the general Collatz word (up-down pattern) and the sequences following this pattern. The recurrences for the first and last sequence entries are given, obtained from repeated application…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-04 Wolfdieter Lang

Tandem queueing networks are widely used to model systems where services are provided in sequential stages. In this study, we assume that each station in the tandem system operates under a general renewal process. Additionally, we assume…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-13 Eliran Sherzer

People often deviate from expected utility theory when making risky and intertemporal choices. While the effects of probabilistic risk and time delay have been extensively studied in isolation, their interplay and underlying theoretical…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-10 Ho Ka Chan , Taro Toyoizumi

Change-point detection and estimation procedures have been widely developed in the literature. However, commonly used approaches in change-point analysis have mainly been focusing on detecting change-points within an entire time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-27 Chak Fung Choi , Chunxue Li , Chun Yip Yau , Zifeng Zhao

Time delays may cause dramatic changes to the dynamics of interacting oscillators. Coupled networks of interacting dynamical systems can behave unexpectedly when the signal between the vertices are time delayed. It has been shown for a very…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-06-19 Alexandre Wagemakers , Miguel A. F. Sanjuán

Superposition of sigmoid function over a finite time interval is shown to be equivalent to the linear combination of the solutions of a linearly parameterized system of logistic differential equations. Due to the linearity with respect to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Ivan Tyukin , Cees van Leeuwen , Danil Prokhorov