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Related papers: Preference-Based Unawareness

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When ignorance due to the lack of knowledge, modeled as epistemic uncertainty using Dempster-Shafer structures on closed intervals, is present in the model parameters, a new uncertainty propagation method is necessary to propagate both…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-11 Gabriel Terejanu , Puneet Singla , Tarunraj Singh , Peter D. Scott

We present a representation of partial confidence in belief and preference that is consistent with the tenets of decision-theory. The fundamental insight underlying the representation is that if a person is not completely confident in a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 David Heckerman , Holly B. Jimison

In this paper, we consider the coherent theory of (epistemic) uncertainty of Walley, in which beliefs are represented through sets of probability distributions, and we focus on the problem of modeling prior ignorance about a categorical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-07-15 Alberto Piatti , Marco Zaffalon , Fabio Trojani , Marcus Hutter

While decision theory provides an appealing normative framework for representing rich preference structures, eliciting utility or value functions typically incurs a large cost. For many applications involving interactive systems this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Vu A. Ha , Peter Haddawy

We introduce a new approach to modeling uncertainty based on plausibility measures. This approach is easily seen to generalize other approaches to modeling uncertainty, such as probability measures, belief functions, and possibility…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-31 Nir Friedman , Joseph Y. Halpern

One of quantum theory's salient features is its apparent indeterminism, i.e. measurement outcomes are typically probabilistic. We formally define and address whether this uncertainty is unavoidable or whether post-quantum theories can offer…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-11-15 Johannes Fankhauser

The definition is a common form of human expert knowledge, a building block of formal science and mathematics, a foundation for database theory and is supported in various forms in many knowledge representation and formal specification…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-02-16 Marc Denecker , Bart Bogaerts , Joost Vennekens

In many situations humans have to reason with inconsistent knowledge. These inconsistencies may occur due to not fully reliable sources of information. In order to reason with inconsistent knowledge, it is not possible to view a set of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Nico Roos

The form and justification of inductive inference rules depend strongly on the representation of uncertainty. This paper examines one generic representation, namely, incomplete information. The notion can be formalized by presuming that the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Norman C. Dalkey

Completeness and transitivity are standard rationality conditions in economics. However, under ambiguity, decision makers sometimes violate these requirements because of the difficulty of forming accurate predictions about ambiguous events.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-16 Kensei Nakamura , Shohei Yanagita

The main goal of this paper is to evaluate knowledge base schemas, modeled as a set of entity types, each such type being associated with a set of properties, according to their focus. We intuitively model the notion of focus as ''the state…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Mattia Fumagalli , Daqian Shi , Fausto Giunchiglia

This paper illustrates how one can deduce preference from observed choices when attention is not only limited but also random. In contrast to earlier approaches, we introduce a Random Attention Model (RAM) where we abstain from any…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-02 Matias D. Cattaneo , Xinwei Ma , Yusufcan Masatlioglu , Elchin Suleymanov

Can stated preferences help in counterfactual analyses of actual choice? This research proposes a novel approach to researchers who have access to both stated choices in hypothetical scenarios and actual choices. The key idea is to use…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-27 Romuald Meango

Qualitative and quantitative approaches to reasoning about uncertainty can lead to different logical systems for formalizing such reasoning, even when the language for expressing uncertainty is the same. In the case of reasoning about…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Matthew Harrison-Trainor , Wesley H. Holliday , Thomas F. Icard

Can stated preferences inform counterfactual analyses of actual choice? This research proposes a novel approach to researchers who have access to both stated choices in hypothetical scenarios and actual choices, matched or unmatched. The…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-18 Romuald Meango , Marc Henry , Ismael Mourifie

We establish an equivalence between two seemingly different theories: one is the traditional axiomatisation of incomplete preferences on horse lotteries based on the mixture independence axiom; the other is the theory of desirable gambles…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Marco Zaffalon , Enrique Miranda

We consider the relation between knowledge and certainty, where a fact is known if it is true at all worlds an agent considers possible and is certain if it holds with probability 1. We identify certainty with probabilistic belief. We show…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Joseph Y. Halpern

The notion of uncertainty is of major importance in machine learning and constitutes a key element of machine learning methodology. In line with the statistical tradition, uncertainty has long been perceived as almost synonymous with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-24 Eyke Hüllermeier , Willem Waegeman

We present a general logical framework for reasoning about agents' cognitive attitudes of both epistemic type and motivational type. We show that it allows us to express a variety of relevant concepts for qualitative decision theory…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Emiliano Lorini

This article presents a formalism inspired by Dennett's notion of the intentional stance. Whereas Dennett's treatment of these concepts is informal, we aim to provide a more formal analogue. We introduce a framework based on stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-10 Simon McGregor , timorl , Nathaniel Virgo
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