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I examine the hypothesis that consciousness can be understood as a state of matter, "perceptronium", with distinctive information processing abilities. I explore five basic principles that may distinguish conscious matter from other…

Popular Physics · Physics 2023-08-16 Max Tegmark

We study conditioning on null events, or surprises, and behaviorally characterize the Ordered Surprises (OS) representation of beliefs. For feasible events, our Decision Maker (DM) is Bayesian. For null events, our DM considers a hierarchy…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-08-09 Adam Dominiak , Matthew Kovach , Gerelt Tserenjigmid

Recent approaches to goal recognition have leveraged planning landmarks to achieve high-accuracy with low runtime cost. These approaches, however, lack a probabilistic interpretation. Furthermore, while most probabilistic models to goal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-02-24 Kin Max Gusmão , Ramon Fraga Pereira , Felipe Meneguzzi

We study notions of fairness in decision-making systems when individuals have diverse preferences over the possible outcomes of the decisions. Our starting point is the seminal work of Dwork et al. which introduced a notion of individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-12 Michael P. Kim , Aleksandra Korolova , Guy N. Rothblum , Gal Yona

This paper presents an approach for developing the explanation capabilities of rule-based expert systems managing imprecise and uncertain knowledge. The treatment of uncertainty takes place in the framework of possibility theory where the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Henri Farrency , Henri Prade

Machine learning algorithms have achieved superhuman performance in specific complex domains. However, learning online from few examples and compositional learning for efficient generalization across domains remain elusive. In humans, such…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-11 V. A. Aksyuk

We discuss the Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence. We introduce a concept of monotonicity which is related to the diminution of the range between belief and plausibility. We show that the accumulation of knowledge in this framework exhibits…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Ronald R. Yager

There is a lively debate in the current literature on epistemology on which type of ignorance may provide a moral excuse. A good candidate is the one in which an agent has never thought about or considered as true a proposition $p$. From a…

Logic · Mathematics 2025-11-06 Ekaterina Kubyshkina , Marcio Kléos Pereira , Mattia Petrolo

We present information value, a measure which quantifies the predictability of an utterance relative to a set of plausible alternatives. We introduce a method to obtain interpretable estimates of information value using neural text…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-23 Mario Giulianelli , Sarenne Wallbridge , Raquel Fernández

Several rules for social choice are examined from a unifying point of view that looks at them as procedures for revising a system of degrees of belief in accordance with certain specified logical constraints. Belief is here a social…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-05-06 Rosa Camps , Xavier Mora , Laia Saumell

This paper considers the notion of possible events which are insignificant in probabilistic analysis (i.e. events that have zero probability). The paper discusses the method of modal logic based on "possible worlds" and discusses a…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-11-08 Ben O'Neill

This work demonstrates how the concept of the entropic potential of events -- a parameter quantifying the influence of discrete events on the expected future entropy of a system -- can enhance uncertainty quantification, decision-making,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Mark Zilberman

The definition of preferences assigned to individuals is a concept that concerns many disciplines, from economics, with the search of an acceptable outcome for an ensemble of individuals, to decision making an analysis of vote systems. We…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Elena Ramirez Barrios , Juan G. Diaz Ochoa

The correct way to quantify predictive uncertainty in neural networks remains a topic of active discussion. In particular, it is unclear whether the state-of-the art entropy decomposition leads to a meaningful representation of model, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-07 Lisa Wimmer , Bernd Bischl , Ludwig Bothmann

In recent work, Stalnaker proposes a logical framework in which belief is realized as a weakened form of knowledge. Building on Stalnaker's core insights, and using frameworks developed by Bjorndahl and Baltag et al., we employ topological…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-08-01 Adam Bjorndahl , Aybüke Özgün

We develop a framework for interacting with uncertain environments in reinforcement learning (RL) by leveraging preferences in the form of utility functions. We claim that there is value in considering different risk measures during…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Hannes Eriksson , Christos Dimitrakakis

The intuitive notion of evidence has both semantic and syntactic features. In this paper, we develop an {\em evidence logic} for epistemic agents faced with possibly contradictory evidence from different sources. The logic is based on a…

Logic · Mathematics 2013-07-05 Johan van Benthem , David Fernández-Duque , Eric Pacuit

That an agent's possible evidential states form a Boolean algebra (on which it is natural to define a probability measure) is an assertion that ideally should be proved, rather than assumed, in justifying rational choice as a representation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Fatemeh Borhani , Edward J. Green

In this work, we present the first general logic of attention. Attention is a powerful cognitive ability that allows agents to focus on potentially complex information, such as logically structured propositions, higher-order beliefs, or…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Gaia Belardinelli , Thomas Bolander , Sebastian Watzl

We introduce an Attention Overload Model that captures the idea that alternatives compete for the decision maker's attention, and hence the attention that each alternative receives decreases as the choice problem becomes larger. Using this…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-09-17 Matias D. Cattaneo , Paul Cheung , Xinwei Ma , Yusufcan Masatlioglu
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