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Forecasting is critical in areas such as finance, biology, and healthcare. Despite the progress in the field, making accurate forecasts remains challenging because real-world time series contain both global trends, local fine-grained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Zihao Chen , Alexandre Andre , Wenrui Ma , Ian Knight , Sergey Shuvaev , Eva Dyer

Multivariate time series forecasting with hierarchical structure is widely used in real-world applications, e.g., sales predictions for the geographical hierarchy formed by cities, states, and countries. The hierarchical time series (HTS)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Fan Zhou , Chen Pan , Lintao Ma , Yu Liu , Shiyu Wang , James Zhang , Xinxin Zhu , Xuanwei Hu , Yunhua Hu , Yangfei Zheng , Lei Lei , Yun Hu

Decision trees are well-known due to their ease of interpretability. To improve accuracy, we need to grow deep trees or ensembles of trees. These are hard to interpret, offsetting their original benefits. Shapley values have recently become…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-26 Peng Yu , Chao Xu , Albert Bifet , Jesse Read

Recent studies have shown that by introducing prior knowledge, multi-scale analysis of complex and non-stationary time series in real environments can achieve good results in the field of long-term forecasting. However, affected by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Bin Wang , Heming Yang , Jinfang Sheng

Random cut forest (RCF) algorithms have been developed for anomaly detection, particularly in time series data. The RCF algorithm is an improved version of the isolation forest (IF) algorithm. Unlike the IF algorithm, the RCF algorithm can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Sijin Yeom , Jae-Hun Jung

Time series forecasting has widespread applications in urban life ranging from air quality monitoring to traffic analysis. However, accurate time series forecasting is challenging because real-world time series suffer from the distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Wenying Duan , Xiaoxi He , Lu Zhou , Lothar Thiele , Hong Rao

Intrusion detection system (IDS) is one of extensively used techniques in a network topology to safeguard the integrity and availability of sensitive assets in the protected systems. Although many supervised and unsupervised learning…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-04-03 Yuyang Zhou , Guang Cheng , Shanqing Jiang , Mian Dai

Background: Fault tree analysis (FTA) is a well established method for qualitative as well as probabilistic reliability and safety analysis. As a Boolean model it does not support modelling of dynamic effects like sequence dependencies…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-05-19 Simon J. Schilling

Interpretability of learning algorithms is crucial for applications involving critical decisions, and variable importance is one of the main interpretation tools. Shapley effects are now widely used to interpret both tree ensembles and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-03 Clément Bénard , Gérard Biau , Sébastien da Veiga , Erwan Scornet

This work develops formal statistical inference procedures for machine learning ensemble methods. Ensemble methods based on bootstrapping, such as bagging and random forests, have improved the predictive accuracy of individual trees, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-11 Lucas Mentch , Giles Hooker

When dealing with sensitive data in automated data-driven decision-making, an important concern is to learn predictors with high performance towards a class label, whilst minimising for the discrimination towards any sensitive attribute,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 António Pereira Barata , Frank W. Takes , H. Jaap van den Herik , Cor J. Veenman

In this paper, for the purpose of data centre energy consumption monitoring and analysis, we propose to detect the running programs in a server by classifying the observed power consumption series. Time series classification problem has…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-06-08 Yuanlong Li , Han Hu , Yonggang Wen , Jun Zhang

Multivariate time series naturally exist in many fields, like energy, bioinformatics, signal processing, and finance. Most of these applications need to be able to compare these structured data. In this context, dynamic time warping (DTW)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-10-18 Maria-Irina Nicolae , Éric Gaussier , Amaury Habrard , Marc Sebban

Dynamic regression trees are an attractive option for automatic regression and classification with complicated response surfaces in on-line application settings. We create a sequential tree model whose state changes in time with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-11-23 Matthew A. Taddy , Robert B. Gramacy , Nicholas G. Polson

Accurate forecasting of sequential data streams is a cornerstone of modern Web services, supporting applications such as traffic management, user behavior modeling, and online anomaly prevention. However, in many Web environments, new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Shichao Ma , Zhengyang Zhou , Qihe Huang , Binwu Wang , Yang Wang

While recent advancements in foundation models have significantly impacted machine learning, rigorous tests on the performance of time series foundation models (TSFMs) remain largely underexplored. This paper presents an empirical study…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-09 Syamantak Datta Gupta

The Learnable Tree Filter presents a remarkable approach to model structure-preserving relations for semantic segmentation. Nevertheless, the intrinsic geometric constraint forces it to focus on the regions with close spatial distance,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Lin Song , Yanwei Li , Zhengkai Jiang , Zeming Li , Xiangyu Zhang , Hongbin Sun , Jian Sun , Nanning Zheng

We show that the limit in our definition of tree shift topological entropy is actually the infimum, as is the case for both the topological and measure-theoretic entropies in the classical situation when the time parameter is $\mathbb Z$.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-09-12 Karl Petersen , Ibrahim Salama

Exploratory data analysis is crucial for developing and understanding classification models from high-dimensional datasets. We explore the utility of a new unsupervised tree ensemble called uncharted forest for visualizing class…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 Casey Kneale , Steven D. Brown

Quantile feature selection over correlated multivariate time series data has always been a methodological challenge and is an open problem. In this paper, we propose a general Bayesian dimension reduction methodology for feature selection…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-30 Ning Ning
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