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Automated decision making is often complicated by the complexity of the knowledge involved. Much of this complexity arises from the context sensitive variations of the underlying phenomena. We propose a framework for representing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Tze-Yun Leong

Bayes belief networks and influence diagrams are tools for constructing coherent probabilistic representations of uncertain knowledge. The process of constructing such a network to represent an expert's knowledge is used to illustrate a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Max Henrion

Pimentel et al. (2020) recently analysed probing from an information-theoretic perspective. They argue that probing should be seen as approximating a mutual information. This led to the rather unintuitive conclusion that representations…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-09-10 Tiago Pimentel , Ryan Cotterell

We are concerned with modeling the strength of links in networks by taking into account how often those links are used. Link usage is a strong indicator of how closely two nodes are related, but existing network models in Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-09 Ingmar Schuster

Within the last fifteen years, network theory has been successfully applied both to natural sciences and to socioeconomic disciplines. In particular, bipartite networks have been recognized to provide a particularly insightful…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-12-07 Fabio Saracco , Riccardo Di Clemente , Andrea Gabrielli , Tiziano Squartini

Recent advances in Bayesian probability theory and its application to cognitive science in combination with the development of a new generation of computational tools and methods for probabilistic computation have led to a 'probabilistic…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Christoph Unger , Hendrik Buschmeier

We develop a random model for relation algebras. We prove some preliminary results and pose questions that lay out a new direction of research.

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2018-02-20 Jeremy F. Alm

Bayesian interpretations of neural network have a long history, dating back to early work in the 1990's and have recently regained attention because of their desirable properties like uncertainty estimation, model robustness and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-03 Jack K Fitzsimons , Sebastian M Schmon , Stephen J Roberts

Vector space models have become popular in distributional semantics, despite the challenges they face in capturing various semantic phenomena. We propose a novel probabilistic framework which draws on both formal semantics and recent…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-06-28 Guy Emerson , Ann Copestake

In the subjective Bayesian approach uncertainty is described by a prior distribution chosen by the statistician. Fuzzy set theory is another way of representing uncertainty. Here we give a decision theoretic approach which allows a Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Glen Meeden

We propose a new method for conducting Bayesian prediction that delivers accurate predictions without correctly specifying the unknown true data generating process. A prior is defined over a class of plausible predictive models. After…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-24 Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Gael M. Martin , David T. Frazier

Bayesian inference gets its name from *Bayes's theorem*, expressing posterior probabilities for hypotheses about a data generating process as the (normalized) product of prior probabilities and a likelihood function. But Bayesian inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Thomas J. Loredo , Robert L. Wolpert

As a compact representation of joint probability distributions over a dependence graph of random variables, and a tool for modelling and reasoning in the presence of uncertainty, Bayesian networks are of great importance for artificial…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-10-06 Michael de Oliveira , Luis Soares Barbosa

Parameter identification problems are formulated in a probabilistic language, where the randomness reflects the uncertainty about the knowledge of the true values. This setting allows conceptually easily to incorporate new information, e.g.…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2013-03-19 Bojana V. Rosić , Anna Kučerová , Jan Sýkora , Oliver Pajonk , Alexander Litvinenko , Hermann G. Matthies

This paper presents the foundational ideas for a new way of modeling social aggregation. Traditional approaches have been using network theory, and the theory of random networks. Under that paradigm, every social agent is represented by a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Mirco A. Mannucci , Lisa Sparks , Daniele C. Struppa

We formally characterize a set of causality-based properties of metabolic networks. This set of properties aims at making precise several notions on the production of metabolites, which are familiar in the biologists' terminology. From a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2010-02-23 Chiara Bodei , Andrea Bracciali , Davide Chiarugi , Roberta Gori

Complex systems are often modeled as Boolean networks in attempts to capture their logical structure and reveal its dynamical consequences. Approximating the dynamics of continuous variables by discrete values and Boolean logic gates may,…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-29 Johannes Norrell , Joshua E. S. Socolar

Complex systems are characterized by many interacting units that give rise to emergent behavior. A particularly advantageous way to study these systems is through the analysis of the networks that encode the interactions among the system's…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-03-21 Alberto Aleta , Yamir Moreno

Models with intractable likelihood functions arise in areas including network analysis and spatial statistics, especially those involving Gibbs random fields. Posterior parameter es timation in these settings is termed a doubly-intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-16 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

Systems such as sensor networks and teams of autonomous robots consist of multiple autonomous entities that interact with each other in a distributed, asynchronous manner. These entities need to keep track of the state of the system as it…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Avi Pfeffer , Terry Tai
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