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Max-stable processes are a popular tool for the study of environmental extremes, and the extremal skew-$t$ process is a general model that allows for a flexible extremal dependence structure. For inference on max-stable processes with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-21 B. Beranger , A. G. Stephenson , S. A. Sisson

We develop a general framework for extracting highly uniform bounds on local stability for stochastic processes in terms of information on fluctuations or crossings. This includes a large class of martingales: As a corollary of our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-05 Morenikeji Neri , Thomas Powell

In this paper we consider the persistence properties of random processes in Brownian scenery, which are examples of non-Markovian and non-Gaussian processes. More precisely we study the asymptotic behaviour for large $T$, of the probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Fabienne Castell , Nadine Guillotin-Plantard , Frederique Watbled

Let $X=(X_t, t\geq 0)$ be a superprocess in a random environment governed by a Gaussian noise $W=\{W(t, x),t\geq 0,x\in\mathbb{R}^d\}$ white in time and colored in space with correlation kernel $g$. We consider the occupation time process…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Ziling Cheng , Jieliang Hong , Dan Yao

The aim of this paper is to represent any continuous local martingale as an almost sure limit of a nested sequence of simple, symmetric random walks, time changed by a discrete quadratic variation process. One basis of this is a similar…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-10 Balazs Szekely , Tamas Szabados

This paper aims to lay the foundations for statistics over local fields, such as the field of $p$-adic numbers. Over such fields, we give characterizations for maximum likelihood estimation and conditional independence for multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-17 Yassine El Maazouz , Ngoc Mai Tran

We study lower and upper bounds for the density of a diffusion process in ${\mathbb{R}}^n$ in a small (but not asymptotic) time, say $\delta$. We assume that the diffusion coefficients $\sigma_1,\ldots,\sigma_d$ may degenerate at the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-03 Vlad Bally , Lucia Caramellino , Paolo Pigato

Let $\{X_i(t),t\ge0\}, 1\le i\le n$ be independent copies of a random process $\{X(t), t\ge0\}$. For a given positive constant $u$, define the set of $r$th conjunctions $C_r(u):=\{t\in[0,1]: X_{r:n}(t)>u\}$ with $ X_{r:n}$ the $r$th largest…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-16 Chengxiu Ling

This tutorial provides an introduction to Palm distributions for spatial point processes. Initially, in the context of finite point processes , we give an explicit definition of Palm distributions in terms of their density functions. Then…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-20 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Jesper Møller , Rasmus Waagepetersen

The analysis of spatial extremes requires the joint modeling of a spatial process at a large number of stations and max-stable processes have been developed as a class of stochastic processes suitable for studying spatial extremes. Spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-28 Soyoung Jeon , Richard L. Smith

We consider the behavior of spatial point processes when subjected to a class of linear transformations indexed by a variable T. It was shown in Ellis [Adv. in Appl. Probab. 18 (1986) 646-659] that, under mild assumptions, the transformed…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Dominic Schuhmacher

We consider Galton-Watson trees associated with a critical offspring distribution and conditioned to have exactly $n$ vertices. These trees are embedded in the real line by affecting spatial positions to the vertices, in such a way that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jean-Francois Le Gall

In environmental science applications, extreme events frequently exhibit a complex spatio-temporal structure, which is difficult to describe flexibly and estimate in a computationally efficient way using state-of-art parametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-22 Marco Oesting , Raphaël Huser

We consider a discrete model that describes a locally regulated spatial population with mortality selection. This model was studied in parallel by Bolker and Pacala and Dieckmann, Law and Murrell. We first generalize this model by adding…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nicolas Fournier , Sylvie Meleard

We propose a constructive approach to building temporal point processes that incorporate dependence on their history. The dependence is modeled through the conditional density of the duration, i.e., the interval between successive event…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Xiaotian Zheng , Athanasios Kottas , Bruno Sansó

We consider a Galton-Watson tree where each node is marked independently of each others with a probability depending on its outdegree. We give a complete picture of the local convergence of critical or sub-critical marked Galton-Watson…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-29 Romain Abraham , Sonia Boulal , Pierre Debs

We establish empirical quantile process CLTs based on $n$ independent copies of a stochastic process $\{X_t: t \in E\}$ that are uniform in $t \in E$ and quantile levels $\alpha \in I$, where $I$ is a closed sub-interval of $(0,1)$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-22 James Kuelbs , Joel Zinn

Exchangeability -- in which the distribution of an infinite sequence is invariant to reorderings of its elements -- implies the existence of a simple conditional independence structure that may be leveraged in the design of statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-25 Trevor Campbell , Saifuddin Syed , Chiao-Yu Yang , Michael I. Jordan , Tamara Broderick

In this paper we study the local spectral statistics in the localised region of various random operator models, including the $d$-dimensional the Anderson model and random Schr\"odinger operators. It is already established, in the above…

Spectral Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-08 M. Krishna

We consider a general discrete-time branching random walk on a countable set X. We relate local, strong local and global survival with suitable inequalities involving the first-moment matrix M of the process. In particular we prove that,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-18 Fabio Zucca