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Let $\xi$ be a Dawson--Watanabe superprocess in $\mathbb{R}^d$ such that $\xi_t$ is a.s. locally finite for every $t\geq 0$. Then for $d\geq2$ and fixed $t>0$, the singular random measure $\xi_t$ can be a.s. approximated by suitably…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-20 Olav Kallenberg

Let $\xi=(\xi_t)$ be a locally finite $(2,\beta)$-superprocess in $\RR^d$ with $\beta<1$ and $d>2/\beta$. Then for any fixed $t>0$, the random measure $\xi_t$ can be a.s. approximated by suitably normalized restrictions of Lebesgue measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-02 Xin He

We show that $\mathbb{P} ( \ell_X(0,T] \leq 1)=(c_X+o(1))T^{-(1-H)}$, where $\ell_X$ is the local time measure at $0$ of any recurrent $H$-self-similar real-valued process $X$ with stationary increments that admits a sufficiently regular…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-02 Christian Mönch

We consider a new type of lookdown processes where spatial motion of each individual is influenced by an individual noise and a common noise, which could be regarded as an environment. Then a class of probability measure-valued processes on…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-05 Hui He

A multitype Dawson-Watanabe process is conditioned, in subcritical and critical cases, on non-extinction in the remote future. On every finite time interval, its distribution is absolutely continuous with respect to the law of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-05 Nicolas Champagnat , Sylvie Roelly

We consider a super-Brownian motion $\{X_t, t\geq 0\}$ in a random environment described by a centered Gaussian field $\{W(t,x),t\geq 0, x\in\mathbb{R}^d\}$ whose correlation function is given by $\mathcal{C} (x,y)(t \wedge s)$. The process…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Zhen-Qing Chen , Yan-Xia Ren , Guohuan Zhao

The tail process $\boldsymbol{Y}=(Y_{\boldsymbol{i}})_{\boldsymbol{i}\in\mathbb{Z}^d}$ of a stationary regularly varying random field $\boldsymbol{X}=(X_{\boldsymbol{i}})_{\boldsymbol{i}\in\mathbb{Z}^d}$ represents the asymptotic local…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-15 Hrvoje Planinić

We study the distribution of the unobserved states of two measure-valued diffusions of Fleming-Viot and Dawson-Watanabe type, conditional on observations from the underlying populations collected at past, present and future times. If seen…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Filippo Ascolani , Antonio Lijoi , Matteo Ruggiero

We prove that the extremal process of branching Brownian motion, in the limit of large times, converges weakly to a cluster point process. The limiting process is a (randomly shifted) Poisson cluster process, where the positions of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-14 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Anton Bovier , Nicola Kistler

This paper studies small-time behavior at the supremum of a diffusion process. For a solution to the SDE $\mathrm{d} X_t=\mu(X_t)\mathrm{d} t+\sigma(X_t)\mathrm{d} W_t$ (where $W$ is a standard Brownian motion) we consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-18 Jakob Dalsgaard Thøstesen

Palm distributions play a central role in the study of point processes and their associated summary statistics. In this paper, we characterize the Palm distributions of the superposition of independent point processes, establishing a simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Mario Beraha , Federico Camerlenghi , Lorenzo Ghilotti

For a diffusion process $X(t)$ of drift $\mu(x)$ and of diffusion coefficient $D=1/2$, we study the joint distribution of the two local times $A(t)= \int_{0}^{t} d\tau \delta(X(\tau)) $ and $B(t)= \int_{0}^{t} d\tau \delta(X(\tau)-L) $ at…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-04 Alain Mazzolo , Cécile Monthus

This exposition explains the basic ideas of Stein's method for Poisson random variable approximation and Poisson process approximation from the point of view of the immigration-death process and Palm theory. The latter approach also enables…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Louis H. Y. Chen , Aihua Xia

This paper is devoted to the prediction problem in extreme value theory. Our main result is an explicit expression of the regular conditional distribution of a max-stable (or max-infinitely divisible) process $\{\eta(t)\}_{t\in T}$ given…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-15 Clément Dombry , Frédéric Eyi-Minko

For a one-dimensional super-Brownian motion with density $X(t,x)$, we construct a random measure $L_t$ called the boundary local time which is supported on $\partial \{x:X(t,x) = 0\} =: BZ_t$, thus confirming a conjecture of Mueller, Mytnik…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-25 Thomas Hughes

We completely characterize $\Delta$- and local subexponentialities of positive-half compound Poisson distributions and extend the characterization on two-sided distributions. Moreover, $\Delta$-subexponentiality of infinitely divisible…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-21 Muneya Matsui , Toshiro Watanabe

We study the local (in time) expansion of a continuous-time process and its conditional moments, including the process' characteristic function. The expansions are conducted by using the properties of the (time-extended) Ito signature, a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-10 Federico M. Bandi , Roberto Renò , Sara Svaluto-Ferro

Consider a measure $\mu_\lambda = \sum_x \xi_x \delta_x$ where the sum is over points $x$ of a Poisson point process of intensity $\lambda$ on a bounded region in $d$-space, and $\xi_x$ is a functional determined by the Poisson points near…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-05 Mathew D. Penrose , Andrew R. Wade

We obtain strong moment invariance principles for normalized multiple iterated sums and integrals of the form $\mathbb{S}^{(\nu)}(t)=N^{-\nu/2}\sum_{0\leq k_1<...<k_\nu\leq Nt}\xi(k_1)\otimes\cdots\otimes\xi(k_\nu)$, $t\in[0,T]$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Yuri Kifer

We consider the $N$-particle noncolliding Bernoulli random walk --- a discrete time Markov process in $\mathbb{Z}^{N}$ obtained from a collection of $N$ independent simple random walks with steps $\in\{0,1\}$ by conditioning that they never…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-05 Vadim Gorin , Leonid Petrov
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