English

Palm distributions of superposed point processes for statistical inference

Statistics Theory 2026-03-11 v2 Probability Statistics Theory

Abstract

Palm distributions play a central role in the study of point processes and their associated summary statistics. In this paper, we characterize the Palm distributions of the superposition of independent point processes, establishing a simple mixture representation depending on the point processes' Palm distributions and moment measures. We explore two statistical applications enabled by our main result. First, we consider minimum contrast estimation for corrupted point processes. Second, we investigate the class of shot noise Cox processes and derive explicit expressions for their higher-order Palm distributions. In the finite case, we further obtain a tractable expression for the Janossy density, which plays the role of a likelihood function and thus can be used for new likelihood-based inference strategies. Extensions to the superposition of multiple point processes and to higher-order Palm distributions are also presented.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2508.20924,
  title  = {Palm distributions of superposed point processes for statistical inference},
  author = {Mario Beraha and Federico Camerlenghi and Lorenzo Ghilotti},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2508.20924},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

This submission replaces arXiv:2409.14753

R2 v1 2026-07-01T05:10:33.594Z