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We propose a robust parameter estimation method for dynamical systems based on Statistical Learning techniques which aims to estimate a set of parameters that well fit the dynamics in order to obtain robust evidences about the qualitative…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-26 Diego Marcondes

The Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm is a key reference for inference in latent variable models; unfortunately, its computational cost is prohibitive in the large scale learning setting. In this paper, we propose an extension of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-26 Gersende Fort , Eric Moulines , Hoi-To Wai

Causal Bayesian Networks (CBNs) are an important tool for reasoning under uncertainty in complex real-world systems. Determining the graphical structure of a CBN remains a key challenge and is undertaken either by eliciting it from humans,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Neville K Kitson , Anthony C Constantinou

Complex network data is prevalent in various real-world domains, including physical, technological, and biological systems. Despite this prevalence, predicting trends and understanding behavioral patterns in complex systems remain…

Symbolic Computation · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Zezheng Song , Chunmei Wang , Haizhao Yang

Current methods for learning graphical models with latent variables and a fixed structure estimate optimal values for the model parameters. Whereas this approach usually produces overfitting and suboptimal generalization performance,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Hagai Attias

Finding the governing equations from data by sparse optimization has become a popular approach to deterministic modeling of dynamical systems. Considering the physical situations where the data can be imperfect due to disturbances and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-05 Zheng-Meng Zhai , Valerio Lucarini , Ying-Cheng Lai

Despite exceptional predictive performance of Deep sequence models (DSMs), the main concern of their deployment centers around the lack of uncertainty awareness. In contrast, probabilistic models quantify the uncertainty associated with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Wenlong Chen

Dynamical systems are used to model a variety of phenomena in which the bifurcation structure is a fundamental characteristic. Here we propose a statistical machine-learning approach to derive lowdimensional models that automatically…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-11 Yohei Kondo , Kunihiko Kaneko , Shuji Ishihara

We present a mathematical and computational framework for the problem of learning a dynamical system from noisy observations of a few trajectories and subject to side information. Side information is any knowledge we might have about the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Amir Ali Ahmadi , Bachir El Khadir

We consider structural equation modeling (SEM) with latent variables for diffusion processes based on high-frequency data. We derive the quasi-likelihood estimators for parameters in the SEM. The goodness-of-fit test based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-24 Shogo Kusano , Masayuki Uchida

In this paper, we attack the anomaly detection problem by directly modeling the data distribution with deep architectures. We propose deep structured energy based models (DSEBMs), where the energy function is the output of a deterministic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-17 Shuangfei Zhai , Yu Cheng , Weining Lu , Zhongfei Zhang

Bayesian network structure learning algorithms with limited data are being used in domains such as systems biology and neuroscience to gain insight into the underlying processes that produce observed data. Learning reliable networks from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-10 Diane Oyen , Terran Lane

Model-based Bayesian reinforcement learning has generated significant interest in the AI community as it provides an elegant solution to the optimal exploration-exploitation tradeoff in classical reinforcement learning. Unfortunately, the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Stephane Ross , Joelle Pineau

Performing multiple experiments is common when learning internal mechanisms of complex systems. These experiments can include perturbations to parameters or external disturbances. A challenging problem is to efficiently incorporate all…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Zuogong Yue , Johan Thunberg , Wei Pan , Lennart Ljung , Jorge Goncalves

While variable selection is essential to optimize the learning complexity by prioritizing features, automating the selection process is preferred since it requires laborious efforts with intensive analysis otherwise. However, it is not an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Makiya Nakashima , Alex Sim , Youngsoo Kim , Jonghyun Kim , Jinoh Kim

Mesoscale structures are an integral part of the abstraction and analysis of complex systems. They reveal a node's function in the network, and facilitate our understanding of the network dynamics. For example, they can represent…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-27 Luka V. Petrović , Vincenzo Perri

Understanding the dynamical behavior of complex systems is of exceptional relevance in everyday life, from biology to economy. In order to describe the dynamical organization of complex systems, existing methods require the knowledge of the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2017-03-07 Marco Fiorucci

In applications of nonlinear and complex dynamical systems, a common situation is that the system can be measured but its structure and the detailed rules of dynamical evolution are unknown. The inverse problem is to determine the system…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-09-15 Ying-Cheng Lai

Subset selection is a valuable tool for interpretable learning, scientific discovery, and data compression. However, classical subset selection is often avoided due to selection instability, lack of regularization, and difficulties with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-17 Daniel R. Kowal

Single Index Models (SIMs) are simple yet flexible semi-parametric models for machine learning, where the response variable is modeled as a monotonic function of a linear combination of features. Estimation in this context requires learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-01 Nikhil Rao , Ravi Ganti , Laura Balzano , Rebecca Willett , Robert Nowak