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Under losses which are potentially heavy-tailed, we consider the task of minimizing sums of the loss mean and standard deviation, without trying to accurately estimate the variance. By modifying a technique for variance-free robust mean…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-12 Matthew J. Holland

We consider the pricing and the sensitivity calculation of continuously monitored barrier options. Standard Monte Carlo algorithms work well for pricing these options. Therefore they do not behave stable with respect to numerical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Thomas Gerstner , Bastian Harrach , Daniel Roth

To obtain reliable results of expertise, which usually use individual and group expert pairwise comparisons, it is important to summarize (aggregate) expert estimates provided that they are sufficiently consistent. There are several ways to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-07 Vitaliy Tsyganok , Andriy Olenko , Pavlo Roik , Oksana Vlasenko

In this article we compare the performances of a logistic regression and a feed forward neural network for credit scoring purposes. Our results show that the logistic regression gives quite good results on the dataset and the neural network…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-23 Matthieu Garcin , Samuel Stephan

Maximum likelihood estimation in nonlinear models can exhibit substantial instability in finite samples when the data provide limited information about certain parameters. Such instability is driven by rare but extreme realizations of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Masamune Iwasawa

The success of the Lasso in the era of high-dimensional data can be attributed to its conducting an implicit model selection, i.e., zeroing out regression coefficients that are not significant. By contrast, classical ridge regression can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-23 Yunyi Zhang , Dimitris N. Politis

Bounded proofs are convenient to use due to the high degree of automation that exhaustive checking affords. However, they fall short of providing the robust assurances offered by unbounded proofs. We sketch how completeness thresholds serve…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Tobias Reinhard , Justus Fasse , Bart Jacobs

Partition-wise models offer a flexible approach for modeling complex and multidimensional data that are capable of producing interpretable results. They are based on partitioning the observed data into regions, each of which is modeled with…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-07 Rex C. Y. Cheung , Alexander Aue , Thomas C. M. Lee

Risk estimation is at the core of many learning systems. The importance of this problem has motivated researchers to propose different schemes, such as cross validation, generalized cross validation, and Bootstrap. The theoretical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Ji Xu , Arian Maleki , Kamiar Rahnama Rad , Daniel Hsu

The robustness of classifiers has become a question of paramount importance in the past few years. Indeed, it has been shown that state-of-the-art deep learning architectures can easily be fooled with imperceptible changes to their inputs.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-12 Théo Giraudon , Vincent Gripon , Matthias Löwe , Franck Vermet

Density ratio estimation in high dimensions can be reframed as integrating a certain quantity, the time score, over probability paths which interpolate between the two densities. In practice, the time score has to be estimated based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Hanlin Yu , Arto Klami , Aapo Hyvärinen , Anna Korba , Omar Chehab

The problem of testing two simple hypotheses in a general probability space is considered. For a fixed type-I error probability, the best exponential decay rate of the type-II error probability is investigated. In regular asymptotic cases…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-02-27 Marat V. Burnashev

Recently the European Union Agency for Railways (ERA) has received a mandate for 'the development of common safety methods for assessing the safety level and the safety performance of railway operators at national and Union level'.…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-06 Jens Braband , Hendrik Schäbe

We address the problem of image denoising in additive white noise without placing restrictive assumptions on its statistical distribution. In the recent literature, specific noise distributions have been considered and correspondingly,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-01-28 Sagar Venkatesh Gubbi , Chandra Sekhar Seelamantula

Stability is an important aspect of a classification procedure because unstable predictions can potentially reduce users' trust in a classification system and also harm the reproducibility of scientific conclusions. The major goal of our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-23 Will Wei Sun , Guang Cheng , Yufeng Liu

Statistical estimation and inference for marginal hazard models with varying coefficients for multivariate failure time data are important subjects in survival analysis. A local pseudo-partial likelihood procedure is proposed for estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Jianwen Cai , Jianqing Fan , Haibo Zhou , Yong Zhou

It is preferred that feature selectors be \textit{stable} for better interpretabity and robust prediction. Ensembling is known to be effective for improving the stability of feature selectors. Since ensembling is time-consuming, it is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-04 Rina Onda , Zhengyan Gao , Masaaki Kotera , Kenta Oono

We construct an on-line estimator with equidistant design for tracking a smooth function from Stone-Ibragimov-Khasminskii class. This estimator has the optimal convergence rate of risk to zero in sample size. The procedure for setting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 L. Goldentayer , R. Liptser

Multiple importance sampling estimators are widely used for computing intractable constants due to its reliability and robustness. The celebrated balance heuristic estimator belongs to this class of methods and has proved very successful in…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-05 Felipe J Medina-Aguayo , Richard G Everitt

The Mapper algorithm does not include a check for whether the cover produced conforms to the requirements of the nerve lemma. To perform a check for obstructions to the nerve lemma, statistical considerations of multiple testing quickly…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2018-08-30 Mikael Vejdemo-Johansson , Alisa Leshchenko