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Surrogate markers are often employed in clinical trials to replace primary outcomes that may be difficult, expensive, or time-consuming to measure directly. These markers can accelerate the evaluation of new treatments, provided they…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Pietro Carlotti , Layla Parast

The estimation of the treatment effect is often biased in the presence of unobserved confounding variables which are commonly referred to as hidden variables. Although a few methods have been recently proposed to handle the effect of hidden…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-01 Kevin Jiang , Yang Ning

Test-Time Adaptation (TTA) has recently emerged as a promising strategy for tackling the problem of machine learning model robustness under distribution shifts by adapting the model during inference without access to any labels. Because of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Sebastian Cygert , Damian Sójka , Tomasz Trzciński , Bartłomiej Twardowski

We propose a surrogate-assisted reference vector adaptation (SRVA) method to solve expensive multi- and many-objective optimization problems with various Pareto front shapes. SRVA is coupled with a multi-objective Bayesian optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Nobuo Namura

During the design process of an autonomous underwater vehicle (AUV), the pressure vessel has a critical role. The pressure vessel contains dry electronics, power sources, and other sensors that can not be flooded. A traditional design…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Harsh Vardhan , Janos Sztipanovits

In this dissertation, we focus on several important problems in structured prediction. In structured prediction, the label has a rich intrinsic substructure, and the loss varies with respect to the predicted label and the true label pair.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-18 Heejin Choi

Canonical Variate Analysis (CVA) is a multivariate statistical technique and a direct application of Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) that aims to find linear combinations of variables that best differentiate between groups in a dataset.…

Computation · Statistics 2025-09-23 Raeesa Ganey , Sugnet Lubbe

Prediction rule ensembles (PRE) provide interpretable prediction models with relatively high accuracy.PRE obtain a large set of decision rules from a (boosted) decision tree ensemble, and achieves sparsitythrough application of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-29 Benny Markovitch , Marjolein Fokkema

When doing impact evaluation and making causal inferences, it is important to acknowledge the heterogeneity of the treatment effects for different domains (geographic, socio-demographic, or socio-economic). If the domain of interest is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-12 Setareh Ranjbar , Nicola Salvati , Barbara Pacini

Accurately estimating treatment effects over time is crucial in fields such as precision medicine, epidemiology, economics, and marketing. Many current methods for estimating treatment effects over time assume that all confounders are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-11 Mouad El Bouchattaoui , Myriam Tami , Benoit Lepetit , Paul-Henry Cournède

Policy makers typically face the problem of wanting to estimate the long-term effects of novel treatments, while only having historical data of older treatment options. We assume access to a long-term dataset where only past treatments were…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-11 Keith Battocchi , Eleanor Dillon , Maggie Hei , Greg Lewis , Miruna Oprescu , Vasilis Syrgkanis

In recent years, the use of machine learning-based surrogate models for computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations has emerged as a promising technique for reducing the computational cost associated with engine design optimization.…

Different CT segmentation datasets are typically obtained from different scanners under different capture settings and often provide segmentation labels for a limited and often disjoint set of organs. Using these heterogeneous data…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-14 Asim Ukaye , Numan Saeed , Karthik Nandakumar

Most leading implementations of black-box variational inference (BBVI) are based on optimizing a stochastic evidence lower bound (ELBO). But such approaches to BBVI often converge slowly due to the high variance of their gradient estimates…

Learning the Individual Treatment Effect (ITE) is essential for personalized decision-making, yet causal inference has traditionally focused on aggregated treatment effects. While integrating conformal prediction with causal inference can…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-23 Chenyin Gao , Peter B. Gilbert , Larry Han

For stochastic process models, parameter inference is often severely bottlenecked by computationally expensive likelihood functions. Simulation-based inference (SBI) bypasses this restriction by constructing amortized surrogate likelihoods,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Alexander Shen , Mikael Kuusela

Classical randomized experiments, equipped with randomization-based inference, provide assumption-free inference for treatment effects. They have been the gold standard for drawing causal inference and provide excellent internal validity.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-22 Zihao Yang , Tianyi Qu , Xinran Li

Unmeasured confounding presents a significant challenge in causal inference from observational studies. Classical approaches often rely on collecting proxy variables, such as instrumental variables. However, in applications where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-16 Xiaochuan Shi , Dehan Kong , Linbo Wang

This paper develops an improved surrogate data test to show experimental evidence, for all the simple vowels of US English, for both male and female speakers, that Gaussian linear prediction analysis, a ubiquitous technique in current…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-10-23 Max Little , Patrick E. McSharry , Irene M. Moroz , Stephen J. Roberts

The breeding method is a computationally cheap way to generate flow-adapted ensembles to be used in probabilistic forecasts. Its main disadvantage is that the ensemble may lack diversity and collapse to a low-dimensional subspace. To still…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-05-01 Brent Giggins , Georg A. Gottwald