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During the last few sports seasons a lot of discussion has been generated for the several, high-profile, "comebacks" that were observed in almost all sports. The Cavaliers won the championship after being down 3-1 in the 2016 NBA finals'…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-15 Konstantinos Pelechrinis

Predicting the outcome of sports events is a hard task. We quantify this difficulty with a coefficient that measures the distance between the observed final results of sports leagues and idealized perfectly balanced competitions in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-27 Raquel YS Aoki , Renato M Assuncao , Pedro OS Vaz de Melo

Volleyball has become a competitive sport with high physical and technical performance. Matches results are based on the players and teams'skills as technical and tactical strategies to succeed in a championship. At this point, some studies…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-19 Taciana K. O. Shimizu , Francisco Louzada , Adriano K. Suzuki

We study the problem of training sequential generative models for capturing coordinated multi-agent trajectory behavior, such as offensive basketball gameplay. When modeling such settings, it is often beneficial to design hierarchical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-25 Eric Zhan , Stephan Zheng , Yisong Yue , Long Sha , Patrick Lucey

In this paper, we present Mambanet: a hybrid neural network for predicting the outcomes of Basketball games. Contrary to other studies, which focus primarily on season games, this study investigates playoff games. MambaNet is a hybrid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Reza Khanmohammadi , Sari Saba-Sadiya , Sina Esfandiarpour , Tuka Alhanai , Mohammad M. Ghassemi

We consider penalized regression models under a unified framework where the particular method is determined by the form of the penalty term. We propose a fully Bayesian approach that incorporates both sparse and dense settings and show how…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Ding Xiang , Galin L. Jones

This paper presents a novel approach for optimizing betting strategies in sports gambling by integrating Von Neumann-Morgenstern Expected Utility Theory, deep learning techniques, and advanced formulations of the Kelly Criterion. By…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-27 Vélez Jiménez , Román Alberto , Lecuanda Ontiveros , José Manuel , Edgar Possani

Nearly all simulation-based games have environment parameters that affect incentives in the interaction but are not explicitly incorporated into the game model. To understand the impact of these parameters on strategic incentives, typical…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Madelyn Gatchel , Bryce Wiedenbeck

Penalized likelihood approaches are widely used for high-dimensional regression. Although many methods have been proposed and the associated theory is now well-developed, the relative efficacy of different approaches in finite-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-29 Fan Wang , Sach Mukherjee , Sylvia Richardson , Steven M. Hill

Player performance prediction is a serious problem in every sport since it brings valuable future information for managers to make important decisions. In baseball industries, there already existed variable prediction systems and many types…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Hsuan-Cheng Sun , Tse-Yu Lin , Yen-Lung Tsai

Basketball analytics has significantly advanced our understanding of the game, with shot selection emerging as a critical factor in both individual and team performance. With the advent of player tracking technologies, a wealth of granular…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-12 Jiahao Cao , Hou-Cheng Yang , Guanyu Hu

A popular quantitative approach to evaluating player performance in sports involves comparing an observed outcome to the expected outcome ignoring player involvement, which is estimated using statistical or machine learning methods. In…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-22 Robert Bajons , Lucas Kook

We developed an artificial intelligence approach to predict the transfer fee of a football player. This model can help clubs make better decisions about which players to buy and sell, which can lead to improved performance and increased…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-31 Daniil Sulimov

NBA team managers and owners try to acquire high-performing players. An important consideration in these decisions is how well the new players will perform in combination with their teammates. Our objective is to identify elite five-person…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-28 Susan E. Martonosi , Martin Gonzalez , Nicolas Oshiro

We explore a new way to evaluate generative models using insights from evaluation of competitive games between human players. We show experimentally that tournaments between generators and discriminators provide an effective way to evaluate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-16 Catherine Olsson , Surya Bhupatiraju , Tom Brown , Augustus Odena , Ian Goodfellow

Professional sports constitute an important part of people's modern life. People spend substantial amounts of time and money supporting their favorite players and teams, and sometimes even riot after games. However, how team performance…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-09-07 Jason Shuo Zhang , Chenhao Tan , Qin Lv

Forecasting players in sports has grown in popularity due to the potential for a tactical advantage and the applicability of such research to multi-agent interaction systems. Team sports contain a significant social component that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Luca Scofano , Alessio Sampieri , Giuseppe Re , Matteo Almanza , Alessandro Panconesi , Fabio Galasso

We address the question of how to quantify the contributions of groups of players to team success. Our approach is based on spectral analysis, a technique from algebraic signal processing, which has several appealing features. First, our…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-26 Stephen Devlin , David Uminsky

Baseball is a game of strategic decisions including bullpen usage, pinch-hitting and intentional walks. Managers must adjust their strategies based on the changing state of the game in order to give their team the best chance of winning. In…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Tristan Mott , Caleb Bradshaw , David Grimsman , Christopher Archibald

In sports analytics, player tracking data have driven significant advancements in the task of player evaluation. We present a novel generative framework for evaluating the observed frame-by-frame player positioning against a distribution of…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-24 Quang Nguyen , Ronald Yurko
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