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Related papers: Uncertainties in Atomic Data and Their Propagation…

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Based on Monte Carlo approach and conventional error analysis theory, taking the heaviest doubly magic nucleus $^{208}$Pb as an example, we firstly evaluate the propagated uncertainties of universal potential parameters for three typical…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2021-02-02 Zhen-Zhen Zhang , Hua-Lei Wang , Hai-Yan Meng , Min-Liang Liu

With the plentiful information available in the Gaia BP/RP spectra, there is significant scope for applying discriminative models to extract stellar atmospheric parameters and abundances. We describe an approach to leverage an `Uncertain…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-20 Connor P. Fallows , Jason L. Sanders

Thermal history models, that have been used to understand the geological history of Earth, are now being coupled to climate models to map conditions that allow planets to maintain surface water over geologic time - a criteria considered…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2020-01-08 Johnny Seales , Adrian Lenardic , William Moore

The purpose of this paper is to study metrics suitable for assessing uncertainty of power spectra when these are based on finite second-order statistics. The family of power spectra which is consistent with a given range of values for the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Johan Karlsson , Tryphon T. Georgiou

We present early results from a study addressing the question of how one treats the propagation of incertitude, that is, epistemic uncertainty, in input parameters in astrophysical simulations. As an example, we look at the propagation of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-06-05 Alan C. Calder , Melissa M. Hoffman , Donald E. Willcox , Maximilian P. Katz , F. Douglas Swesty , Scott Ferson

Probabilistic graphical models are a fundamental tool in probabilistic modeling, machine learning and artificial intelligence. They allow us to integrate in a natural way expert knowledge, physical modeling, heterogeneous and correlated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-20 Panagiota Birmpa , Jinchao Feng , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Luc Rey-Bellet

Diffuse scattering is a rich source of information about disorder in crystalline materials, which can be modelled using atomistic techniques such as Monte Carlo and molecular dynamics simulations. Modern X-ray and neutron scattering…

Materials Science · Physics 2018-12-21 Joseph A. M. Paddison

We describe how to consistently incorporate solar model uncertainties, along with experimental errors and correlations, when analyzing solar neutrino data to derive confidence limits on parameter space for proposed solutions of the solar…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2008-11-26 Evalyn Gates , Lawrence M. Krauss , Martin White

Representing and quantifying uncertainty in physical parameterisations is a central challenge in weather and climate modelling, and approaches are often developed separately for different timescales. Here, we introduce a unified framework…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-01 Laura A. Mansfield , Hannah M. Christensen

Machine-learning models in chemistry - when based on descriptors of atoms embedded within molecules - face essential challenges in transferring the quality of predictions of local electronic structures and their associated properties across…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-09-27 Frederik Ø. Kjeldal , Janus J. Eriksen

We introduce a new multi-objective optimization approach to determine uncertainty-quantified nuclear reaction parameters in the Hauser-Feshbach framework. By simultaneously accounting for all available data across multiple reaction channels…

Model atoms are an integral part in the solution of non-LTE problems. They comprise the atomic input data that are used to specify the statistical equilibrium equations and the opacities and emissivities of radiative transfer. A realistic…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-03-17 Norbert Przybilla

Recent data released by the AMS experiment on the primary spectra and secondary-to-primary ratios in cosmic rays (CRs) can pose tight constraints to astrophysical models of CR acceleration and transport in the Galaxy, thereby providing a…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2018-07-31 Nicola Tomassetti

Based on the Kompaneets approximation, we develop a robust methodology to calculate spectral redistribution via inelastic neutrino-nucleon scattering in the context of core-collapse supernova simulations. The resulting equations conserve…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2021-08-26 Tianshu Wang , Adam Burrows

Molecular dynamics simulation is now a widespread approach for understanding complex systems on the atomistic scale. It finds applications from physics and chemistry to engineering, life and medical science. In the last decade, the approach…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-04-28 Shunzhou Wan , Robert C. Sinclair , Peter V. Coveney

In computational materials science, mechanical properties are typically extracted from simulations by means of analysis routines that seek to mimic their experimental counterparts. However, simulated data often exhibit uncertainties that…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-12-07 Paul N. Patrone , Anthony J. Kearsley , Andrew M. Dienstfrey

In this paper we discuss two approximate methods previously suggested for modeling hyperfine spectral line emission for molecules whose collisional transitions rates between hyperfine levels are unknown. Hyperfine structure is seen in the…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2015-05-18 Eric Keto , George Rybicki

Uncertainty quantification by ensemble learning is explored in terms of an application from computational optical form measurements. The application requires to solve a large-scale, nonlinear inverse problem. Ensemble learning is used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-03 Lara Hoffmann , Ines Fortmeier , Clemens Elster

The majority of research on efficient and scalable algorithms in computational science and engineering has focused on the forward problem: given parameter inputs, solve the governing equations to determine output quantities of interest. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-05 Tobin Isaac , Noemi Petra , Georg Stadler , Omar Ghattas

Consistent experiment data are crucial to adjust parameters of physics models and to determine best estimates of observables. However, often experiment data are not consistent due to unrecognized systematic errors. Standard methods of…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-03-05 Georg Schnabel
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