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Related papers: Polya urns via the contraction method

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P\'olya urns are urns where at each unit of time a ball is drawn and replaced with some other balls according to its colour. We introduce a more general model: the replacement rule depends on the colour of the drawn ball and the value of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-04 Cyril Banderier , Philippe Marchal , Michael Wallner

P{\'o}lya urns are urns where at each unit of time a ball is drawn and is replaced with some other balls according to its colour. We introduce a more general model: The replacement rule depends on the colour of the drawn ball and the value…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2018-06-22 Cyril Banderier , Philippe Marchal , Michael Wallner

P\'{o}lya urn is a stochastic process in which balls are randomly drawn from an urn of red and blue balls, and balls of the same color as the drawn balls are added. The probability of a ball of a certain color being drawn is equal to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-11-10 Shintaro Mori , Masato Hisakado , Kazuaki Nakayama

We propose an elementary but effective approach to studying a general class of Poissonized tenable and balanced urns on two colors. We characterize the asymptotic behavior of the process via a partial differential equation that governs the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-05 Chen Chen , Panpan Zhang

In this work we generalize Polya urn schemes with possibly infinitely many colors and extend the earlier models described in [4, 5, 7]. We provide a novel and unique approach of representing the observed sequence of colors in terms a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-17 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Debleena Thacker

We study an urn process containing red and blue balls and two different strategies to reinforce the urn. Namely, a generalized P\'olya-type strategy versus an i.i.d. one. At each step, one of the two reinforcement strategies is chosen by…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Manuel González-Navarrete , Rodrigo Lambert

This work is devoted to P\'olya-Young urns, a class of periodic P\'olya urns of importance in the analysis of Young tableaux. We provide several extension of the previous results of Banderier, Marchal and Wallner [Ann. Prob. (2020)] on…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-28 Markus Kuba

The P\'olya urn scheme is a discrete-time process concerning the addition and removal of colored balls. There is a known embedding of it in continuous-time, called the P\'olya process. We deal with a generalization of this stochastic model,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-29 Daniel Krenn , Hosam Mahmoud , Mark Daniel Ward

In this work, recent results on the moments of balanced P\'olya urns are generalized to unbalanced urns, with the condition that the expected change in total activity at each step is constant. We also provide applications of our results to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Colin Desmarais

We consider a version of the classical P\'olya urn scheme which incorporates innovations. The space $S$ of colors is an arbitrary measurable set. After each sampling of a ball in the urn, one returns $C$ balls of the same color and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-17 Jean Bertoin

The present paper aims at describing in details the asymptotic composition of a class of d-colour P\'olya urn: namely balanced, tenable and irreducible urns. We decompose the composition vector of such urns according to the Jordan…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-22 Cécile Mailler

Following Hales (2018), the evolution of P\'olya's urn may be interpreted as a walk, a P\'olya walk, on the integer lattice $\mathbb{N}^2$. We study the visibility properties of P\'olya's walk or, equivalently, the divisibility properties…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-09 José L. Fernández , Pablo Fernández

It is known that in an irreducible small P\'olya urn process, the composition of the urn after suitable normalization converges in distribution to a normal distribution. We show that if the urn also is balanced, this normal convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Svante Janson , Nicolas Pouyanne

This article describes a purely analytic approach to urn models of the generalized or extended P\'olya-Eggenberger type, in the case of two types of balls and constant ``balance,'' that is, constant row sum. The treatment starts from a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Philippe Flajolet , Joaquim Gabarro , Helmut Pekari

This paper develops an analytic theory for the study of some Polya urns with random rules. The idea is to extend the isomorphism theorem in Flajolet et al. (2006), which connects deterministic balanced urns to a differential system for the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-07-25 Basile Morcrette , Hosam M. Mahmoud

This paper introduces and analyzes a particular class of Polya urns: balls are of two colors, can only be added (the urns are said to be additive) and at every step the same constant number of balls is added, thus only the color…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-03-26 Basile Morcrette

Consider a generalized time-dependent P\'olya urn process defined as follows. Let $d\in \mathbb{N}$ be the number of urns/colors. At each time $n$, we distribute $\sigma_n$ balls randomly to the $d$ urns, proportionally to $f$, where $f$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Wioletta M. Ruszel , Debleena Thacker

We consider a two-color P\'{o}lya urn in the case when a fixed number $S$ of balls is added at each step. Assume it is a large urn that is, the second eigenvalue $m$ of the replacement matrix satisfies $1/2<m/S\leq1$. After $n$ drawings,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-30 Brigitte Chauvin , Nicolas Pouyanne , Reda Sahnoun

We derive a simple expression for the tail-asymptotics of an explosive birth process at a fixed observation time conditioned on non-explosion. Using the well-established exponential embedding, we apply this result to compute the tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-24 Thomas Gottfried , Stefan Grosskinsky

We consider P\'olya urns with infinitely many colours that are of a random walk type, in two related version. We show that the colour distribution a.s., after rescaling, converges to a normal distribution, assuming only second moments on…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-13 Svante Janson
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