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Related papers: Extended gambler's ruin problem

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We consider a modification of the dividend maximization problem from ruin theory. Based on a classical risk process we maximize the difference of expected cumulated discounted dividends and total expected discounted additional funding…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-21 Josef Anton Strini , Stefan Thonhauser

We consider a generalization of the classical risk model when the premium intensity depends on the current surplus of an insurance company. All surplus is invested in the risky asset, the price of which follows a geometric Brownian motion.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-28 Yuliya Mishura , Mykola Perestyuk , Olena Ragulina

The concept of intransitiveness for games, which is the condition for which there is no first-player winning strategy can arise surprisingly, as happens in the Penney game, an extension of the heads or tails. Since a game can be converted…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-07 Alberto Baldi , Franco Bagnoli

We apply the theory of linear recurrence sequences to find an expression for the ultimate ruin probability in a discrete-time risk process. We assume the claims follow an arbitrary distribution with support $\{0,1,\ldots,m\}$, for some…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-14 David J. Santana , Luis Rincón

We deal with a generalization of the classical risk model when an insurance company gets additional funds whenever a claim arrives and consider some practical approaches to the estimation of the ruin probability. In particular, we get an…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Yuliya Mishura , Olena Ragulina , Oleksandr Stroyev

This paper considers the ruin problem with random premiums, whose densities have rational Laplace transforms, and investments in a risky asset whose price follows a geometric Brownian motion. The asymptotic behavior of the ruin probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Viktor Antipov

We analyze the Gambler's problem, a simple reinforcement learning problem where the gambler has the chance to double or lose the bets until the target is reached. This is an early example introduced in the reinforcement learning textbook by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-14 Baoxiang Wang , Shuai Li , Jiajin Li , Siu On Chan

We study the recovering bandits problem, a variant of the stochastic multi-armed bandit problem where the expected reward of each arm varies according to some unknown function of the time since the arm was last played. While being a natural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-01 Ciara Pike-Burke , Steffen Grünewälder

This article studies in detail the solution of an integral equation due to Rongming et al. [13]. The methods involve complex analysis. As an application, we find the ruin probability of a given Bonus-Malus system in a steady state. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-23 Dan Kucerovsky , Amir T. Payandeh Najafabadi

We study multidimensional Cram\'er-Lundberg risk processes where agents, located on a large sparse network, receive losses form their neighbors. To reduce the dimensionality of the problem, we introduce classification of agents according to…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-15 Hamed Amini , Zhongyuan Cao , Andreea Minca , Agnès Sulem

We introduce a class of extensive form games where players might not be able to foresee the possible consequences of their decisions and form a model of their opponents which they exploit to achieve a more profitable outcome. We improve…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-05-31 Paolo Turrini

The dynamics of a single microscopic or mesoscopic non quantum system interacting with a macroscopic environment is generally stochastic. In the same way, the reduced density operator of a single quantum system interacting with a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-04-06 Fabrice Debbasch

We consider a discrete random walk on a diagonal lattice in two and three dimensions and obtain explicit solutions of absorption probabilities and probabilities of return in several domains. In three dimensions we consider both the cube and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-15 T. J. van Uem

In this short note, we derive explicit formulas for the joint densities of the time to ruin and the number of claims until ruin in perturbed classical risk models, by constructing several auxiliary random processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-22 Peng Liu , Chunsheng Zhang , Lanpeng Ji

We study a dynamic model of a non-life insurance portfolio. The foundation of the model is a compound Poisson process that represents the claims side of the insurer. To introduce clusters of claims appearing, e.g. with catastrophic events,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-03 Jonathan Klinge , Maren Diane Schmeck

We obtain expected number of arrivals, absorption probabilities and expected time before absorption for a discrete random walk on the integers with an infinite set of equidistant multiple function barriers

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Theo van Uem

For a multivariate L\'evy process satisfying the Cram\'er moment condition and having a drift vector with at least one negative component, we derive the exact asymptotics of the probability of ever hitting the positive orthant that is being…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Konstantin Borovkov , Zbigniew Palmowski

The authors propose a new variation of random walks called ladder chains $L(r,s,p)$. We extend concepts such as ruin probability, hitting time, transience and recurrence of random walks to ladder chain. Take $L(2,2,p)$ for instance, we find…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-10 Chenhe Zhang , Xiang Fang

We introduce a betting game, where the gambler aims to guess the last success epoch from past observed data. The player may bet on the event that no further successes occur, or choose a `trap' which is any span of future times. In the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-25 Alexander Gnedin , Zakaria Derbazi

This paper considers a variant of the classical Cram\'er-Lundberg model that is particularly appropriate in the credit context, with the distinguishing feature that it corresponds to a finite number of obligors. The focus is on computing…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-07 Guusje Delsing , Michel Mandjes